NFL Week 6 Betting Preview: Minnesota Vikings At Miami Dolphins

Written By Brett Gibbons on October 14, 2022
vikings dolphins odds

The Minnesota Vikings (4-1) visit the Miami Dolphins (3-2) on Sunday, Oct. 16. Kickoff is at 1:00 p.m. EST from Hard Rock Stadium and will be broadcast on FOX. The Vikings are road favorites and the Dolphins are on the moneyline. Vikings at Dolphins odds feature an over/under set at .

In this article we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds.

NFL Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

To place a bet, click on the Vikings Dolphins odds in the table below. Toggle between spread, moneyline, or point total in the dropdown menu.

Follow along with TheLines for NFL Week 6 odds and game previews.

Vikings At Dolphins Player Props

Search for a player in our NFL Player Props Search tool below by typing their name into the search bar. To place a bet, click on the odds in the table.

Vikings At Dolphins Betting News & Angles

Vikings At Dolphins Weather

As of Oct. 11, the forecast in Miami Gardens calls for temperatures mid-80s and 10 to 12 mph winds at kickoff. There’s a minimal chance for precipitation and should be a mostly sunny day.

Vikings At Dolphins Injury Report

Minnesota Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatus
Andrew Booth Jr.CBQuadQuestionable
Jalen NailorWRHamstringQuestionable
Akayleb EvansCBHeadQuestionable
Ty ChandlerRBAnkleOut

Miami Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatus
Teddy BridgewaterQBHeadDoubtful
Terron ArmsteadOTToeQuestionable
Tyreek HillWRFootQuestionable
Xavien HowardCBGroinQuestionable
Durham SmytheTEHamstringQuestionable
Salvon AhmedRBBackQuestionable
Tua TagovailoaQBConcussionOut
Erik EzukanmaWRGameday inactiveQuestionable

Vikings Offense Vs. Dolphins Defense

Vikings OStats (Rank)Dolphins D
23.0 (12th)Points/Gm26.2 (29th)
0.351 (14th)Points/Play0.413 (27th)
361.0 (10th)Yards/Gm386.8 (25th)
259.2 (8th)Pass Yards/Gm276.8 (28th)
101.8 (21st)Rush Yards/Gm110.0 (13th)
5.5 (16th)Yards/Play6.1 (29th)
6.5 (19th)Yards/Pass7.9 (30th)
4.2 (21st)Yards/Rush4.1 (9th)
42.86% (7th)3rd Down %49.21% (30th)
57.89% (16th)Red Zone TD %70.59% (27th)
1.2 (9th)Turnovers0.8 (27th)
1.6 (t-7th)Sacks1.8 (23rd)

Dolphins Offense Vs. Vikings Defense

Dolphins OStats (Rank)Vikings D
23.0 (12th)Points/Gm20.4 (14th)
0.398 (6th)Points/Play0.330 (14th)
347.8 (16th)Yards/Gm369.8 (24th)
265.0 (5th)Pass Yards/Gm249.4 (22nd)
82.8 (30th)Rush Yards/Gm120.4 (20th)
6.0 (5th)Yards/Play6.0 (26th)
7.6 (4th)Yards/Pass7.8 (29th)
3.9 (24th)Yards/Rush4.4 (15th)
40.74% (12th)3rd Down %36.21% (14th)
66.67% (6th)Red Zone TD %76.92% (29th)
1.2 (9th)Turnovers1.4 (13th)
1.8 (t-10th)Sacks2.2 (t-12th)

Vikings At Dolphins Betting Insights

Why The Vikings Can Cover The Spread

Tua Tagovailoa will not play this coming week. Backup Teddy Bridgewater is progressing through concussion protocol, but as of Wednesday has not participated in football activities. Per head coach Mike McDaniel, rookie Skylar Thompson will be the QB1, who was just held to a paltry 4.4 yards per attempt last week against the Jets.

The Dolphins defense is also a real mess. Despite a 21.4% blitz rate (14th-highest), the Dolphins are generating pressure on just 12.8% of dropbacks– third-worst in the NFL. Kirk Cousins is one of the better QBs in the NFL against the blitz, posting among the highest QB ratings against the blitz. Add in that Miami does a poor job getting to the QB even when blitzing and this is a good matchup for Cousins.

Why The Dolphins Can Cover The Spread

The Dolphins make their money on big plays behind the most explosive receiving duo in the NFL: Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Their 6.0 yards per play as a team is fifth in the NFL, data that includes this past week under Thompson. The Vikings are allowing an equal 6.0 yards per play and a gaping 7.8 yards per pass, fourth-worst in the NFL. The Vikings don’t roster a cornerback ranked inside PFF’s top 50 corners so far on the season, a unit that’s given up plenty of yards when challenged this season.

Big play potential on the edge is the biggest advantage for the Dolphins in this game– a proven winning formula.

Reasons To Bet The Over

The Dolphins offense under Thompson just won’t score enough to cover points even if Minnesota spots their season-average 23 points.

However, this team can score and score fast given their weapons. For the same reason as the Dolphins covering the spread, the Vikings have been bad at containing explosive plays, particularly through the air, amplified on Primetime TV against the Eagles back in Week 2. Both teams have the capability to push the ball downfield and score in multiple ways.

With the latest news on Tua and Bridgewater out, this number could dip into enticingly-low territory.

Reasons To Bet The Under

Not to be a broken record, but the prospect of Thompson at QB is really the only reason you need to want to bet the under. With him as the QB1, the Dolphins offense is in trouble. Also keep an eye on the status of Hill, who was stepped on and sported a walking boot after the Dolphins’ loss to the Jets last week, per McDaniel.

The Vikings offense does have the potential to have the floor fall out from underneath them and stagnate. They managed just eight second-half points against the Bears in Week 5 and Justin Jefferson was held to peanuts after starting the first quarter with eight receptions and over 100 yards. Scoring TDs in the red zone is also a sore spot for Minnesota in the early goings.

Vikings At Dolphins Props: Matchups To Watch For

Dolphins Players Vs. The Injury Report: Only slightly facetious here, the Dolphins’ latest injury report is a list of who’s who. Led by Tua, the list features Hill, star corner Xavien Howard, veteran corner Byron Jones, and All Pro tackle Terron Armstead. Waddle also appeared on the injury report mid-last week. Without some– or all– of these players, the Dolphins’ production and production given up will look a lot different.

Be diligent on player news here and watch for fluctuating (or even unchanged) Vikings Dolphins odds on player props.

Dolphins pass catchers vs. Vikings red zone defense: Only three teams are allowing more red zone touchdowns this season than the Vikings. The trick for Minnesota has been keeping opponents out of the red zone– the Vikings are tied for eighth-fewest in the NFL in red zone attempts allowed on the year. However, speedy and crafty route runners like Waddle and Hill are dangerous players in the red zone. They present a serious mismatch for a spotty Vikings unit of corners around the goal line.

  • Treek Hill anytime TD:
  • Jaylen Waddle anytime TD:

Final Thoughts

With Skylar Thompson as the QB1, the Vikings and the points on the road or the under is the lean. The fact that this number opened at Vikings -3 on the road seemed to be operating under the assumption that it was Thompson all along. Because of that, this number may not move off Vikings -3.5 and could provide opportunity for bettors. Best of luck betting Vikings Dolphins odds.

Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons