NFL Week 5 Betting Preview: Seattle Seahawks At New Orleans Saints
An intriguing NFC match-up is scheduled for Sunday afternoon in the Mercedes Benz Superdome, as the 2-2 Seattle Seahawks visit the 1-3 New Orleans Saints. Right now, Seahawks Saints odds show New Orleans favored by on the spread and moneyline favorites.
In this article, we’ll look at the important stats and trends for this key NFC tilt. We’ll break down the match-ups, metrics, and best available odds for players looking to take a position on this game featuring two teams headed in seemingly opposite directions.
Seahawks Saints Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under
Here are the complete NFL Week 5 odds. Just use the dropdown menu for Seahawks Saints odds and select the market and best price.
Spread bets are usually the most popular option when wagering on the NFL. It determines the margin of victory. If the Saints are 5.5-point favorites, they must win by six or more to cover, so a 27-20 win would suffice. If the Seahawks win outright, or lose by 5 or less, say 20-17, they’ll cover as the underdogs.
Moneyline bets are the more straightforward option to go with most sports. The wager is based on the winner, with the price showing how strong a favorite or underdog a team is. New Orleans being higher than -200 in odds suggests they are significant favorites at home.
Over/under bets focus on the final score of the game, regardless of the outcome. A 27-21 finish would hit the over at 46, while 24-21 would just cash the under bets.
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Seahawks vs. Saints Player Props
This is a great way to find the best options for stat-based wagers, like Anytime Touchdown, yards, or sacks. Type in a team or player name to search through the available prices.
Player props are becoming increasingly popular options so this is a great way to find the best price or totals for someone like DK Metcalf or Alvin Kamara.
Seahawks vs. Saints Betting News and Angles
Saints Vs. Seahawks Weather
This contest will be played indoors (Caesars Superdome). Weather will not be a factor.
Saints Vs. Seahawks Injury Report
New Orleans Injuries
Player Pos. Injury Status Taysom Hill TE Rib Questionable Jarvis Landry WR Ankle Questionable Calvin Throckmorton FB Ankle Questionable Payton Turner DE Chest Questionable P.J. Williams CB Quad Questionable Malcolm Roach FB Undisclosed Questionable Carl Granderson DE Eye Probable Jameis Winston QB Back Questionable Andrus Peat OG Concussion Questionable Marcus Maye FB Rib Questionable Michael Thomas WR Foot Questionable Alvin Kamara RB Ribs Questionable
Seattle Injuries
Player Pos. Injury Status L.J. Collier DE Elbow Questionable Justin Coleman CB Calf Questionable Darryl Johnson DE Ankle Questionable Phil Haynes OG Ankle Probable Penny Hart WR Illness Probable Dareke Young WR Quad Questionable Damien Lewis OG Calf Questionable Quinton Jefferson DE Elbow Questionable Gabe Jackson OG Knee Questionable Rashaad Penny RB Shoulder Questionable Joey Blount FS Hamstring Probable
Saints Offense Vs. Seahawks Defense
Saints Offense Stats (Rank) Seahawks Defense 19.0 (18) Points/Gm 28.8 (31) 0.3 (13) Points/Play 0.5 (29) 364.3 (8) Yards/Gm 428.0 (31) 252.3 (9) Pass Yards/Gm 274.0 (28) 112.0 (15) Rush Yards/Gm 154.0 (29) 6.0 (6) Yards/Play 6.7 (32) 7.1 (10) Yards/Pass 8.7 (32) 5.1 (6) Yards/Rush 5.1 (26) 34.7% (24) 3rd Down % 46.8% (29) 75.0% (3) Red Zone % 52.9% (13) 11 (32) Turnovers 6 (12) 13 (26) Sacks 7 (22)
Seahawks Offense Vs. Saints Defense
Seahawks Offense Stats (Rank) Saints Defense 23.8 (11) Points/Gm 24.0 (20) 0.4 (4) Points/Play 0.4 (18) 361.0 (10) Yards/Gm 328.3 (12) 246.3 (12) Pass Yards/Gm 203.5 (9) 114.8 (13) Rush Yards/Gm 124.8 (20) 6.3 (3) Yards/Play 5.0 (8) 7.4 (3) Yards/Pass 6.2 (10) 5.2 (4) Yards/Rush 4.0 (10) 55.3% (2) 3rd Down % 32.8% (7) 41.7% (30) Red Zone % 36.4% (3) 6 (16) Turnovers 4 (21) 6 (5) Sacks 7 (22)
Betting Insights For Seahawks Saints Odds
Why the Seahawks can Cover the Spread
Seattle comes off a win as an underdog in Detroit last week, pushing their record to 2-2 ATS and SU. Their ATS margin of -0.8 is far smaller than their margin of victory/defeat at -5.0. It’s another 1 PM ET kickoff window, where Pete Carroll has been 14-1 SU since 2018. The Saints have also failed to cover in both times they’ve been favored this year, against the Falcons and the Panthers.
Why the Saints can Cover the Spread
New Orleans covered last week against Minnesota for the first time this year. While he has yet to cover this year, Jameis Winston went 4-3 ATS last season before his season-ending injury against Tampa.
Reasons to Bet the Over
Both teams are 2-2 on hitting the Over in their games, including both games last week. Both teams have a positive average of the total going over, with the Seahawks at +8.8 points per game. If the Saints get their offensive playmakers back who missed Week 4, that certainly helps their chances to score.
Reasons to Bet the Under
The teams met last year in Seattle, with the Saints winning a 13-10 defensive battle. While the Seahawks have done well this year in ball control, especially on third downs, they’ve struggled in the red zone. That could lead to more time of possession for less points, especially against a very good Saints’ red zone defense.
Seahawks vs. Saints Props: Key Matchups
Saints RB Alvin Kamara vs. Seahawks Run D: Kamara was a late scratch in London last week. As long as his rib injury hasn’t worsened, expect him to suit up in an advantageous match-up. Last week, Jamaal Williams scored twice with 109 rushing yards for the Lions. If Kamara can go, expect him to put up similar numbers. The Saints lost Latavius Murray from their practice squad. Kamara will likely get the majority of touches and some passes.
Seahawks TEs vs. Saints Pass D: Last week, I suggested Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf would have good yardage days against the Lions. Those two combined for 13 catches and 240 yards. However, the TDs came from the tight ends. As Geno Smith gets more comfortable in this offense, Will Dissly and Noah Fant will be looked to help the team’s struggling red zone numbers. The Saints secondary will have their hands full with No. 14 and No. 16. Look for some value from the tight ends.
Geno Smith vs. Saints Pass D: Looks like Seattle made a smart call with keeping Geno Smith under center this year. He’s coming off a second straight game with 300+ yards in the win at Detroit. Compared to his four-game stretch as QB last year, he’s got over 300 more passing yards in 2022, while leading the league with a 77.3 completion percentage. However, the Saints are ninth in passing defense entering Week 5. This could be a good test for his progress.
Final Thoughts
Early money has gone towards the Seahawks +5.5 (80 percent) and Over 46 (94 percent) on DraftKings. However, with the Saints’ top 3 offensive stars out last week with injury, this feels like a good time to hold. If Kamara, Winston, and Michael Thomas are a go, this line could move the Saints’ way, along with the total. If they are still limited in practice, the books could move the line towards Seattle and drop the total.
The NFC West looks to be in utter turmoil with everyone at 2-2. Seattle’s win at Detroit looks good, if high-scoring. While the Saints played valiantly in London, they didn’t get the win against the Vikings. Both teams feel like they’re in a must-win spot. Best of luck handicapping Seahawks Saints odds.