NFL Week 5 Game Preview: Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs

Written By Eli Hershkovich on October 10, 2022 - Last Updated on October 11, 2022
Chiefs Raiders Odds

The Las Vegas Raiders visit the Kansas City Chiefs at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday, Oct. 10. This primetime showdown, wrapping up NFL Week 5 odds, showcases the Chiefs as spread favorites and on the moneyline. The total is set at . Read more for a full analysis on Chiefs – Raiders odds.

In this piece, we’ll break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on Monday Night Football odds, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds. Click on Chiefs – Raiders odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table above, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a “minus” sign is the favorite. The Chiefs would need at least a eight-point win if you bet on Kansas City to cover the point spread (-7). A spread bet on the Raiders would win if Las Vegas emerges victorious or loses by six or less.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. 

Chiefs vs. Raiders Betting News

As of Monday, the Chiefs have manufactured 86% of the spread tickets and 85% of the overall handle, respectively. This data comes via BetMGM Sportsbook, which has Kansas City at after opening at -7.5.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Weather Report

A high temperature of 72 degrees, with scattered clouds and 1 mph winds, are the expected conditions at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Injury Report

Kansas City Injuries

JuJu Smith-SchusterWRQuadQuestionable
Harrison ButkerKAnkleOut
Michael DannaDECalfQuestionable
Trey SmithFBPectoralQuestionable

Las Vegas Injuries

Foster MoreauTEKneeQuestionable
Jayon BrownLBHamstringOut
Sam WebbCBHamstringQuestionable
Justin HerronFBACLOut

Chiefs Offense Vs. Raiders Defense

Chiefs OffenseStats (Rank)Raiders Defense
32.3 (2)Points/Gm25 (23)
0.5 (1)Points/Play0.4 (18)
384.8 (4)Yards/Gm357 (22)
267.8 (7)Pass Yards/Gm253.8 (22)
117 (11)Rush Yards/Gm103.3 (10)
6 (6)Yards/Play5.8 (21)
7.3 (7)Yards/Pass7.5 (26)
4.5 (12)Yards/Rush3.9 (8)
51.1% (3)3rd Down %35.4% (11)
73.7% (4)Red Zone %76.9% (29)
4 (5)Turnovers3 (29)
5 (2)Sacks5 (31)

Raiders Offense Vs. Chiefs Defense

Raiders OffenseStats (Rank)Chiefs Defense
24 (10)Points/Gm24 (20)
0.4 (4)Points/Play0.4 (18)
356.3 (13)Yards/Gm329.5 (13)
243.3 (14)Pass Yards/Gm263.8 (27)
113 (14)Rush Yards/Gm65.8 (1)
5.6 (12)Yards/Play5 (8)
6.3 (21)Yards/Pass6 (7)
5 (8)Yards/Rush3.3 (3)
39.6% (13)3rd Down %37.7% (16)
44.4% (28)Red Zone %80% (30)
5 (10)Turnovers4 (21)
10 (21)Sacks11 (6)

Why Chiefs Can Cover The Spread

After Patrick Mahomes & Co. bulldozed the Buccaneers‘ defense in Week 4, they’ll face off against a Raiders unit that’s allowing the ninth-most EPA per play. Outside of ex-Colts cornerback Rock Ya-Sin, Las Vegas doesn’t showcase anyone reliable in the secondary.

Patrick Graham’s bunch is inconsistent versus the run, too, letting up the 11th-highest Rushing Success Rate (SR). For context, a play is successful if teams produce:

  • 50 percent of the yards needed to move the chains on first down
  • 70 percent of yards to gain on second down
  • 100 percent of yards to gain on third or fourth down

Therefore, Kansas City running backs Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Isiah Pacheco should find holes behind their offensive line, which has generated the league’s top-graded Run Block Win Rate (RBWR) thus far. That metric measures how often an offensive lineman holds his block for at least 2.5 seconds.

Why Raiders Can Cover The Spread

Although those variables could certainly come into play, Andy Reid’s team is posed with a difficult situational spot. Not only is it coming off an emotional victory in Tampa Bay, but it’ll also take on the Bills next Sunday — an outcome that may help determine the AFC playoff picture down the road.

Some bettors don’t buy into circumstantial results in general. However, the once winless Raiders covered as 2.5-point favorites against the Broncos in Week 4, and that was considered a must-win situation. These types of spots don’t always translate into winning bets, but they’re worth considering at the least.

Will the Chiefs come out flat? Only time will tell. Nevertheless, Derek Carr and his receiving core are in position to break out versus their below-average secondary.

Las Vegas’ key to success will likely be determined by whether it can maintain a methodical pace, keeping the ball out of Mahomes’ hands in the process. The Raiders’ tempo in neutral situations is right around league average, and their first-half paces slots in at No. 17 overall.

For what it’s worth, Reid’s bunch is 6-12 against the spread (33.3%) when favored by a field goal or more at home over the last two-plus seasons. This “trend” implies that the Chiefs have been slightly overvalued of late.

Related: Super Bowl 57 Odds

Reasons To Bet The Over

Assuming there isn’t a letdown for the Kansas City’s offense, this game will presumably be a high-scoring affair — with Las Vegas in catch-up mode throughout. Mind you, 68% of the total handle is on the over.

Reasons To Bet The Under

If the Chiefs offense no shows for any reason, Josh McDaniels’ conservative mindset — in regards to the clock and even the field — will pay dividends for this angle. In each of the Raiders’ last two games, McDaniels has opted for field goals on manageable fourth-down opportunities.

Final Thoughts

I grabbed Raiders +7.5 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook on Monday afternoon. Let’s hope that your other wagers performed well up until this point. Remember not to chase losing bets just because it’s the final game of the Week 5 slate.

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