NFL Week 5 Betting Preview: Houston Texans At Jacksonville Jaguars

Written By Jeffrey Schreiber on October 9, 2022
texans commanders spread

The Houston Texans visit the Jacksonville Jaguars at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 9. The Texans Jaguars spread sits at Jacksonville favorites and  on the moneyline. The total (over/under) is .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds. Click on the Texans Jaguars spread or any other odds in this post to bet now and lock in promos for new users.


When using the odds table above, click the dropdown menu to switch from the Texans Jaguars spread to select the type of bet you want.

Wagering on the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a “minus” sign is the favorite. The Jaguars would need at least a eight-point win if you bet on Jacksonville to cover the point spread (-7). A spread bet on the Texans would win if Houston wins the game or loses by six points or fewer. When there is a flat number like this one (-7) a push comes into play.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game.

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In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks.  This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. 


The spread for this game on Wednesday at Fanduel Sportsbook was Jaguars -7 with the over/under at 43.5. Additional updates can be found below.


The weather isn’t expected to have an impact on this matchup, as the temperature is expected to settle in at 80 degrees by kickoff. You should be wary of allowing the potential weather to impact your handicap. Games with lots of rain and snow usually drive down totals but doesn’t always mean it will go Under. Sportsbooks obviously adjust their lines based on weather, so it’s up to the bettor to decide if the book adjusted the line enough. 

Jaguars Vs. Texans Injury Report

Jacksonville Injuries

Cole Van LanenFBHamstringQuestionable
K’Lavon ChaissonOLBAnkleQuestionable
Folorunso FatukasiFBQuadQuestionable
Zay JonesWRAnkleQuestionable

Houston Injuries

Christian HarrisLBHamstringQuestionable
Kenyon GreenFBKneeProbable
Derek Stingley Jr.DBElbowQuestionable
Chris MooreWRHipQuestionable
Maliek CollinsFBKneeQuestionable
Kurt HinishFBIllnessQuestionable
Jonathan GreenardFBAnkleQuestionable
Tytus HowardOTAnkleProbable
Mario AddisonDEThighQuestionable
Austin DeculusFBKneeQuestionable
Blake CashmanLBHeadQuestionable
Brevin JordanTEAnkleQuestionable


Texans OStats (Rank)Jaguars D
18.3 (#25)Points/Gm16.8 (#4)
0.308 (#20)Points/Play0.265 (#5)
302 (#27)Yards/Gm330.3 (#14)
207 (#24)Pass Yards/Gm236.5 (#16)
95 (#25)Rush Yards/Gm93.8 (#8)
5.1 (#23Yards/Play5.2 (#13)
5.8 (#25)Yards/Pass6.7 (#18)
4.5 (#12)Yards/Rush3.6 (#5)
26.92 (#31)3rd Down % 37.50 #15)
55.56 (#19)Red Zone TD %53.85 (#16)
1.3 (#10)Turnovers2.3 (#3)
7.19% (#23)Sacks6% (#19)


Jaguars OStats (Rank)Texans D
26.3 (#6)Points/Gm23.3 (#17)
0.420 (#6)Points/Play0.327 (#15)
336.5 (#20)Yards/Gm412.3 (#29)
226.3 (#18)Pass Yards/Gm240.3 (#18)
110.3 (#17)Rush Yards/Gm172 (#31)
5.4 (#18)Yards/Play5.8 (#22)
6.8 (#16)Yards/Pass7 (#21)
4 (#24)Yards/Rush5.1 (#26)
38.78 (#16)3rd Down %40.35 (#18)
56.25 (#15)Red Zone TD %46.67 (#9)
1.5 (#16)Turnovers1.5 (#12)
4.29% (#7)Sacks7.43% (#9)


Why Texans Can Cover The Spread

Now top 10 in the NFL in rushing yards (313), Dameon Pierce is also coming off year highs in targets (6) and snaps (68%) despite negative game script in Week 4’s loss to the Chargers. This encouraging usage indicates Pierce is headed toward a true every-down role. Last week, Eagles RBs torched the Jaguars run defense for a stat line of 172 yards and three TD’s (5.1 YPC). Nico Collins accumulated a season-high 82 yards against the Chargers while Brandin Cooks’ leads the team on Air Yards share (31%) and target share (26%). Jacksonville is graded as a bottom-ten pass defense by PFF in 2022. Houston will look to play another contested division game against an opponent they have beaten eight-straight times.

Why Jaguars Can Cover The Spread

The Jaguars struggled in their Week 4 loss to Philadelphia but now return home to face Davis Mills, who’s thrown four INT’s in his last two starts while fumbling four times and absorbing 11 sacks in his first four games this season. Jacksonville is sitting top 10 in Offense DVOA, Offense EPA and points per play in 2022. The Jaguars are facing a Houston defense which rank bottom 10 in Defense EPA, yards per rush, and penalties per game. Look for Jacksonville to capitalize on these mismatches and pick-up their first win against Houston since 2017.

Reasons To Bet The Over

The Jaguars have played four games this season and three of them have gone over the total. Each of the last three meetings between these two teams has gone over 45 points. Houston isn’t a strong offense by any metric but if they fall behind by multiple scores, don’t be surprised to see them score a few garbage time TD’s. The Jaguars should do their part in the scoring department in this game as they head into Sunday averaging 26.3 points per game (sixth-most in the NFL).

Reasons To Bet The Under

The Jaguars should have no problem controlling this game via running the football. Houston is a bottom three graded rushing defense and the 31st ranked rush defense by PFF. The Texans may also struggle to move the ball on the Jaguars who rank top five in PFF’s run defense, Defense EPA, points per play allowed. The Jaguars can easily burn clock and slow down the play-volume in this game, leading to a low scoring affair. Houston is averaging the seventh-fewest points in the NFL this year (18.3). The total has hit the under in five of Jacksonville’s last six home games.

Texans vs Jaguars props: Matchups to watch

Texans RBs vs Jaguars defense: The Jaguars have been exposed by opposing RBs in the run-game and receiving-game. Jacksonville has allowed the second-most catches and yards to opposing RBs in 2022. Last week, Eagles RBs torched the Jaguars run defense for a stat line of 172 yards and three TD’s (5.1 YPC).

  • Dameon Pierce rushing yards prop: O/U / ()

Christian Kirk vs Texans Cornerbacks: The Texans have allowed 3/4 opposing Number. 1 WR’s they have faced to produce 120+ receiving yard games. The only team that they didn’t allow a 120-yard receiving performance from thus far was the Bears. Kirk continues to dominate targets and Air Yards share (34%), while Houston has allowed the NFL’s 11th-most yards to wide receivers (685).

  • Christian Kirk receiving yards prop: O/U / ()


The Texans should have no answer for the Jaguars in this matchup. Jacksonville should win their first game against Houston in five years by more than a touchdown. The Jaguars last win against Houston was a final score of 45-7. Best of luck with betting the Texans Jaguars spread and props.

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Jeffrey Schreiber Avatar
Written by
Jeffrey Schreiber

Jeffrey Schreiber is a sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media. Jeff is recent college graduate with a background in finance and analytics. His goal is to provide readers with data and information behind the "why" to make a bet. His most memorable betting moment came during the divisional round of the 2022 NFL playoffs when he turned $37 in same-game parlay bets into $25,000.

View all posts by Jeffrey Schreiber