NFL Week 5 Betting Preview: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Written By Simon Lehrer on October 8, 2022
falcons bucs odds

The Atlanta Falcons head to Tampa this Sunday to face Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. The Falcons are currently spread underdogs and on the moneyline. Falcons Bucs odds feature a total of .

Both teams are tied for first place in in the NFC South. Tampa Bay is 4-0 against Atlanta with Brady under center. Listed below are the Falcons Bucs odds and props, along with a betting preview for Sunday’s game.

Falcons Bucs Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using this Falcons Bucs odds table, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread means the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite. In this case, the Bucs would have to win by at least 11 points if you bet them to cover the point spread (-10). A spread bet on the Falcons would win if Atlanta wins the game or loses by less than 10. A Bucs win by 10 would result in a push and wagers refunded.  

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

Falcons At Bucs Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player to find the best available prices across all Falcons Bucs odds. You’ll see all the props offered at online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike bigger markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences in potential payouts.

Falcons At Buccaneers Betting News & Angles

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for 49ers – Panthers odds.

Early-week money moved the Bucs from -8.5 to out of teasers territory. Some buy back on the Falcons took place once this line hit double digits. The Under has hit in three of the Bucs’ four games this season, while the over has hit in three out of four games for the Falcons. Both teams are 2-2 against the spread.

Buccaneers Vs. Falcons Weather

The weather report for Tampa on Sunday is dry (clear sky) and calm (10 mph winds), with a high temperature of 85 degrees Fahrenheit (as of 9:13 AM on October 8).

Buccaneers Vs. Falcons Injury Report

Tampa Bay Injuries

Logan RyanFBFootOut
Akiem HicksDEFootOut
Breshad PerrimanWRKneeQuestionable
Julio JonesWRKneeQuestionable
Cameron BrateTEConcussionOut

Atlanta Injuries

Cordarrelle PattersonRBKneeOut
Isaiah OliverCBKneeQuestionable
Kyle PittsTEHamstringOut

Buccaneers Offense Vs. Falcons Defense

Buccaneers OffenseStats (Rank)Falcons Defense
20.5 (16)Points/Gm25.3 (25)
0.3 (13)Points/Play0.4 (18)
317.0 (25)Yards/Gm386.3 (25)
251.8 (10)Pass Yards/Gm260.0 (25)
65.3 (31)Rush Yards/Gm126.3 (21)
5.2 (19)Yards/Play5.9 (23)
6.5 (18)Yards/Pass7.0 (20)
3.1 (30)Yards/Rush4.9 (21)
34.6% (24)3rd Down %44.4% (25)
66.7% (6)Red Zone %62.5% (20)
6 (15)Turnovers7 (7)
7 (8)Sacks8 (19)

Falcons Offense Vs. Buccaneers Defense

Falcons OffenseStats (Rank)Buccaneers Defense
25.8 (8)Points/Gm17.0 (6)
0.4 (4)Points/Play0.3 (3)
349.0 (15)Yards/Gm321.0 (8)
181.0 (29)Pass Yards/Gm213.8 (13)
168.0 (4)Rush Yards/Gm107.3 (12)
5.9 (9)Yards/Play4.8 (6)
7.4 (3)Yards/Pass5.6 (6)
5.1 (6)Yards/Rush4.3 (14)
38.5% (16)3rd Down %41.7% (20)
56.2% (15)Red Zone %72.7% (28)
8 (27)Turnovers9 (3)
7 (8)Sacks14 (5)

Falcons At 49ers Betting Insights

Why The Bucs Can Cover The Spread

The Buccaneers are coming off their worst defensive performance of the year, but also their best offensive performance in a 41-31 loss to Kansas City. Combine that with two blowouts over this Falcons coaching staff last year and Atlanta missing Patterson and Pitts, two key offensive weapons, and it’s easy to see how Tampa Bay could win by double digits.

Why The Falcons Can Cover The Spread

It’s a big spread. If you believe the Pitts and Patterson injuries are not significant enough to move this line to double digits, then there is theoretical value on backing a division underdog at double digits.

Atlanta also appears improved versus preseason expectations. Prior to Week 1, their win total was 4.5, the lowest in the NFL. That number has moved to 5.5 (Over -170/under +140 on Caesars Sportsbook), although they are still underdogs in every game this season. All of Atlanta’s games so far have been decided by four points or less. 

Reasons To Bet The Over

Last week on Sunday Night Football, the Super Bowl LV rematch accounted for 72 points. Tampa Bay will face a much weaker defense this time around and is healthier at WR than it has been all season long. Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and at least one of Julio Jones and Russell Gage should play.

Reasons To Bet The Under

The Bucs failed to score more than 20 points in each of their first three matchups, while holding opponents to a league-low 9 points per game. The under hit in all three of those games.

Even after allowing 41 points last week, the Bucs still have one of the highest-rated defenses in the NFL. They have given up just 5.6 yards per attempt this season, sixth-best in the league. Tampa Bay also has an elite pass rush, with its 14 sacks ranking fourth in the NFL. Defensive end Akiem Hicks is out. Otherwise, the Buccaneers defense should be healthy against a banged up Atlanta offense.

Plus, the Falcons won last week 23-20 despite a poor offensive performance. Marcus Mariota completed just seven passes out of 19 attempts, throwing for 139 yards and an interception. Atlanta’s ground game picked up the slack, rushing for more than 150 yards and two touchdowns, something that will be a lot tougher to duplicate against Tampa Bay.

Falcons At Bucs Matchups To Watch For

Falcons RBs vs. Bucs DL: With Cordarelle Patterson (IR, ankle) ruled out for at least the next four weeks, Tyler Allgeier and Caleb Huntley are expected to get most of the Falcons’ rushing opportunities. The rookie Allgeier put up 84 yards on 10 carries, mostly after Patterson got hurt. Marcus Mariota has relied heavily on dump-offs to his running back both in Atlanta and throughout his career, so Allgeier and Huntley will need to catch some passes out of the backfield in order to combat the loss of Patterson. 

  • Allgeier scrimmage yards: O/U / ()

Tom Brady vs. Falcons secondary: Atlanta’s defense has allowed 25.2 points per game, sixth-worst in the NFL. They have played a relatively easy schedule so far, with their wins coming against New Orleans and Seattle. The Falcons rank in the bottom 10 for passing yards allowed, rushing yards allowed, and points allowed. They have also allowed a 69.1% completion rate so far this season, fourth-worst in the NFL. On a positive note, they have benefitted from forcing turnovers, with the eighth-most takeaways in the league. 

Tom Brady put up his best stat line of the season last week, throwing for 385 yards and 3 TD. Most of that performance came with the Bucs trailing by multiple touchdowns, but it was a step in the right direction for Brady and the offense. Tampa Bay still ranks towards the bottom of the league with 6.8 yards per pass attempt.

While Brady has been consistent since a poor performance in the season opener, his receiving core has been the opposite. However, the Bucs should finally have all their offensive weapons on the field Sunday against Atlanta, with Evans, Godwin, and Leonard Fournette all healthy and expected to play.

  • Tom Brady passing yards: O/U / ()

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