NFL Week 5 Game Preview: Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos

Written By Eli Hershkovich on October 6, 2022
Broncos Colts Odds

The Indianapolis Colts visit the Denver Broncos at 8:20 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 6. This primetime game, which kicks off NFL Week 5 odds, showcases the Broncos as spread favorites and on the moneyline. Broncos Colts odds feature a total set at .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on Thursday Night Football odds, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds. Click on Broncos – Colts odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Broncos – Colts: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table above, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting on the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a “minus” sign is the favorite. The Broncos would need at least a four-point win if you bet on Denver to cover the point spread (-3.5). A spread bet on the Colts would win if Indianapolis wins the game outright or loses by three points or fewer.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can decide to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game.

Broncos – Colts: Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. 

Broncos vs. Colts: Betting News

As of Thursday, the Broncos have manufactured 72% of the spread handle and 66% of the tickets, respectively. This data comes from BetMGM Sportsbook, which has Denver priced at . Additional updates can be found below.

Broncos – Colts: Weather Report

The weather forecast for Denver on Thursday is dry (few clouds) and calm (9 mph winds), with a high temperature of 70 degrees.

Broncos – Colts: Injury Report

Denver Injuries

Randy GregoryOLBKneeOut
Billy TurnerFBKneeQuestionable
Darius PhillipsCBHamstringQuestionable
Tyrie ClevelandWRHamstringQuestionable
P.J. LockeFBConcussionOut
Quinn MeinerzFBHamstringOut
Aaron PatrickOLBHeadOut
Jonathon CooperOLBHamstringOut

Indianapolis Injuries

Darius LeonardLBConcussionOut
Tyquan LewisDEConcussionOut
Julian BlackmonSAnkleOut
Jonathan TaylorRBAnkleOut

Broncos Offense vs. Colts Defense

Broncos OffenseStats (Rank)Colts Defense
16.5 (30)Points/Gm21.3 (13)
0.3 (13)Points/Play0.3 (3)
335.8 (21)Yards/Gm297.0 (6)
226.3 (18)Pass Yards/Gm207.5 (10)
109.5 (18)Rush Yards/Gm89.5 (6)
5.4 (16)Yards/Play4.8 (5)
6.9 (14)Yards/Pass6.7 (15)
4.2 (19)Yards/Rush3.1 (2)
35.1% (23)3rd Down %36.5% (14)
30.0% (32)Red Zone %80.0% (30)
4 (5)Turnovers3 (29)
12 (25)Sacks7 (22)

Colts Offense vs. Broncos Defense

Colts OffenseStats (Rank)Broncos Defense
14.3 (32)Points/Gm17.0 (5)
0.2 (32)Points/Play0.3 (3)
339.8 (19)Yards/Gm284.8 (4)
252.0 (10)Pass Yards/Gm170.8 (5)
87.8 (27)Rush Yards/Gm114.0 (18)
5.0 (24)Yards/Play4.9 (7)
6.5 (18)Yards/Pass5.3 (4)
3.5 (27)Yards/Rush4.9 (20)
39.6% (13)3rd Down %33.3% (8)
46.2% (26)Red Zone %33.3% (1)
9 (28)Turnovers4 (21)
15 (28)Sacks11 (6)

Beat The Closing Line Podcast Goes In-Depth On NFL Week 5

For the audio-only version of the pod, subscribe to “Beat The Closing Line” on Apple Podcasts.

Broncos – Colts: Betting Insights

Why Broncos Can Cover The Spread

The head coach-quarterback combo of Nathaniel Hackett and Russell Wilson has failed to click thus far, as Denver has manufactured the league’s 11th-lowest EPA per play. The veteran starter is dealing with a right (throwing) shoulder injury as well. Although that would normally cause plenty of concern, the consensus is that Wilson won’t be limited by the ailment.

If that’s actually the case, Wilson & Co. have a juicy matchup. I’ve been low on the Colts’ defense since Week 1, and it’s been downgraded with linebacker Shaquille Leonard (concussion) out.

Although Indianapolis have performed admirably versus the opposing backfield thus far, it’s up against a Broncos offensive line that owns the fourth-rated Run Block Win Rate. That metric illustrates the rate in which linemen sustain their blocks for 2.5 seconds or longer.

Combine that with Leonard’s prowess against the run, and the Broncos should find success on the ground — even without running back Javonte Williams (torn ACL). If this notion comes to fruition, Wilson will uncover additional holes in Gus Bradley’s Cover-3 scheme.

Not only has Wilson fared well against zone defenses amid his 11-year career, but the Colts’ subpar secondary will also be without safety Julian Blackmon (ankle).

On the flip side, Indy’s inconsistent offense could be in a heap of trouble without star tailback Jonathan Taylor (ankle). Plus, the Broncos’ blitz-oriented unit has an edge against an underperforming offensive line. That’s without edge rusher Randy Gregory (knee), too.

Why Colts Can Cover The Spread

The opposite could certainly be the case with Wilson’s shoulder tendinitis. Moreover, Taylor’s absence is already baked into this market. Therefore, any additional line movement on game day for Broncos – Colts odds may be an unwarranted shift.

If Matt Ryan receives some unexpected time in the pocket, he’ll likely have success targeting Denver’s defensive backs. Outside of stud corner Patrick Surtain, they’ve underwhelmed in Ejiro Evero’s 3-4 look.

Related: Super Bowl 57 Odds

Reasons To Bet The Over

Considering the total opened at 43.5, the betting market has already accounted for the variables that would drive one towards the under. But beyond a contrarian mindset, the Colts would need to manufacture a positive game script from the get-go for the total to go over.

The Raiders accomplished that in their win over the Broncos, and they accrued 6.2 Yards Per Play (YPP). It’s a difficult proposition, though, as Indianapolis boasts a much less explosive offense.

Reasons To Bet The Under

The Colts have managed to go under the total in nine straight games. That’s a byproduct of the subpar QB play between Ryan and ex-Colt Carson Wentz. Assuming their opponent dictates the tempo, the under should be in a fine spot throughout.

Final Thoughts

Given the uncertainty on both sides of the ball, I’m staying away from this game. Good luck with betting Broncos – Colts odds if you decide to do so.

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