NFL Week 4 Teaser Legs: So Many Options, But Which Have Red Flags?

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on September 29, 2021
NFL Week 4 teasers

Teaser bets remain a popular option with many NFL bettors. But, you must use caution when selecting which teams you’ll tease, as you can’t win long-term without a sound strategy. At TheLines, we’ll go over each week’s NFL slate to see which teams fit best in teasers. Today, we look at options for NFL Week 4 teasers.

Be sure to go over our primer on teaser bets hereIt’s imperative that you understand what to look for, from the numbers to the sportsbook juice being paid.

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The Best NFL Week 4 Teaser Spots

NFL Week 4 teasers, much like Week 3, present plenty of options. Favorites and underdogs alike in the prime teaser range dot the card. Let’s take a look at the five best options.

Bengals (-7.5) Vs. Jaguars

For the second straight week, the Thursday Night Football matchup features a favorite that looks mighty teasable. Can the Bengals come through like the Panthers did?

The Bengals do have one advantage relative to the Panthers in that they host Jacksonville rather than hitting the road. A rookie QB and a rookie head coach on the road with a short week to prep sets up rather nicely for the Bengals.

Looking at the teams themselves, the Bengals have played stronger football than many expected in 2021. Their defense in particular has shined, shutting down the Bears and Steelers and holding a Vikings group that looks pretty explosive to 5.4 yards per play and 24 points. Football Outsiders has them fourth in early DVOA ranking.

That’s big here because it keeps the total to a manageable , which is good for NFL Week 4 teasers purposes.

A concern here centers around the Bengals’ offensive game plan. Will they continue to run so frequently against a team that’s been far weaker against the pass? Also, the light could come on at any time for super-prospect Trevor Lawrence, even if he’s looked admittedly pedestrian so far.

Falcons (+1.5) Vs. Football Team

One of the more disappointing squads in the early going has been the Washington Football Team. Expected to field one of the fiercest defenses in the league, they have shockingly stumbled their way to 29th in DVOA.

If there’s hope, it comes from the fact that while Pro Football Reference has them seventh-worst in sack rate, they do rank second in total pressures. Perhaps opposing wide receivers are simply beating the coverage too quickly, and QBs have easy outlets to hit when pressured.

A Falcons offensive line that looked vulnerable the first two weeks presents a potential opportunity to right the ship. Plus, Calvin Ridley and Kyle Pitts have yet to gel with Matt Ryan in the new offense.

And yet, another manageable total of puts this on the radar. Further, Washington QB Taylor Heinicke has looked pretty erratic so far. For a stuck-in-the-mud offense with only one real threat out wide in Terry McLaurin, covering a big number like -7.5 should be difficult.

Colts (+2) At Dolphins

This looks like potentially an even better spot than the first two, given the very low total of and the fact you’re getting a pile of points against such a bad offense in Miami.

The Dolphins played two misleadingly close games in Weeks 1 and 3. They should have lost to the Patriots, and only a pick-six and 104 yards in penalties for the Raiders kept that game close. Plus, the Dolphins won big in the highest-leverage spots, going 3-for-4 on fourth down while Las Vegas went 0-for-1.

Any of these things start turning against the Dolphins, and they will find themselves on the wrong end of additional beatings like the 35-0 one Buffalo handed them in Week 2.

Jacoby Brissett completed just two passes beyond 15 yards against the Raiders, and that safe style won’t do it for covering a big number like -8.

The combination of a turnover-prone QB in Carson Wentz and the ball-hawking Miami defense could pose a problem, but expect a slow churn from both offenses here, highly conducive to covering +8.

Saints (-2) Vs. Giants

Another seemingly lovely spot features a very low total — — and a home favorite in the Saints. These spots generally do well and have been excellent in the early going this season.

However, some red flags exist around this one.

For one thing, how much can we really buy into the Saints’ 2-1 record? They totaled just 261 yards passing between those victories. That doesn’t look like a sustainable way to win games going forward. Sure, Daniel Jones may hand them some more turnovers as he is wont to do, but is the market giving this team too much credit?

On the other hand, the Saints should get pretty fired up for this one. The Caesars Superdome figures to be rocking as the fans get to fill the stands for the first time this season thanks to Hurricane Ida. Can the Giants, with a poor offensive line and a young quarterback, overcome the hostile environs?

Titans (-1.5) Vs. Jets

Here we have surely the most popular teaser side of the week. Everyone with a betting account perks up when a chance to fade the Jets comes up. And while many surely won’t shy away from laying the full number, even more figure to be happy giving just -1.5 here.

Certainly, the Titans fit the bill here in that they are sitting on a desirable teaser number of -7.5 and the total is about where we want it . Given that, we won’t try to steer you fully away.

But just keep in mind this is the NFL. Road favorites frequently underperform in these spots. And the Jets haven’t been as bad as you probably think.

As horrific as the bottom line has looked for this offense, Football Outsiders doesn’t even have them at the bottom of the league, listing two offenses below them. It’s lost in the shuffle at this point, but the Jets had some success moving the ball in the second half against a Panthers defense that’s been among the league’s best.

And at some point, Zach Wilson will stop giving the ball away constantly. An anemic Titans pass rush may offer the chance he needs to perform at least passably.

Other Potential NFL Week 4 Teaser Candidates

If this smorgasbord of teaser options doesn’t sate your appetite for buying six points, a few more sides either have teaser potential or sit near numbers that indicate they could have teaser potential sometime this week. We’ll quickly run through them.

Vikings (+2.5) Vs. Browns

Coming off a couple of tough losses, the Vikings righted the ship in impressive fashion by beating the Seahawks at home.

Given that, you may find yourself tempted to click them into a teaser here. A home underdog crossing the key numbers we want would usually fit the bill. However, one of the highest totals of the week, , should make you think twice here.

The Vikings look like a team that will play plenty of shootouts. Their offense has been pretty strong since the opening-week offensive line collapse against the Bengals. But their cornerback play has been horrific so far. PFF grades new starter Bashaud Breeland as one of the worst players in the league and Patrick Peterson hasn’t been much better.

Chiefs (-7.5) At Eagles

It’s been a rough start for the Chiefs. But, market confidence likely remains, as BetMGM’s Christian Cipollini told TheLines Podcast.


And no seemingly easier way exists to bet on a bounce back than needing only a narrow road win against the Eagles. An Eagles team that took a well-documented deuce all over the field in front of a national TV audience on Monday.

But, this has an even higher total than Vikes/Browns — . And it’s another road favorite, and one that performed rather poorly of late to boot. This option among NFL Week 4 teasers presents some traditional red flags, despite it being the Chiefs.

Seahawks (+2.5) At 49ers

The Seahawks are bouncing between +2.5 and +3 across the market for their road tilt against San Francisco.

Obviously, if you like them, you’re better off taking the +3 if you can find it. But if you can’t, you can consider throwing the Seahawks in an NFL Week 4 teaser. Again, the total is a tad on the high side at .

Keep an eye on the line movement here.

Ravens (+1.5) At Broncos

Line movement took the Ravens from short favorites to short underdogs here. Thus, you could have actually potentially teased both teams past +7 here.

In any case, the Ravens currently do sit with a plus number, but only a few shops have +1.5. So this is another spot to keep an eye on the line movement and see if Broncos support comes in.

Unlike the last few options, this option for NFL Week 4 teasers looks pretty good if the line cooperates. For one thing, the market may undervalue the Ravens after a rough showing against the Lions. That came in an understandable letdown spot, though, coming off of the biggest win of their season.

For another, with only projected points, this game just makes more mathematical sense for teasers.

 

Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
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Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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