NFL Week 4 Odds: Cleveland Browns At Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

Written By Brett Gibbons on September 30, 2022 - Last Updated on October 1, 2022
Browns Falcons Odds

The Cleveland Browns (2-1) visit the Atlanta Falcons (1-2) on Sunday, Oct. 2. Kickoff is at 1:00 p.m. EST from Mercedes-Benz Stadium and will be broadcast on CBS. The Browns are road favorites and the Falcons are on the moneyline. Browns Falcons odds feature an over/under set at .

In this article we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds.

Browns Falcons Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

To place a bet, click on the odds in the table below. Toggle between spread, moneyline, or point total in the dropdown menu.

Follow along with TheLines for NFL Week 4 odds and game previews.

Browns At Falcons Player Props

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Browns At Falcons Betting News & Angles

Browns Offense Vs. Falcons Defense

Browns OStats (Rank)Falcons D
28.3 (6th)Points/Gm27.0 (26th)
0.405 (9th)Points/Play0.429 (26th)
378.7 (5th)Yards/Gm380.7 (22nd)
188.0 (27th)Pass Yards/Gm271.3 (27th)
190.7 (1st)Rush Yards/Gm109.3 (15th)
5.4 (15th)Yards/Play6.0 (25th)
6.1 (20th)Yards/Pass7.1 (23rd)
5.0 (6th)Yards/Rush4.8 (21st)
47.8% (6th)3rd Down %47.5% (27th)
61.5% (13th)Red Zone TD %69.2% (23rd)
0.3 (1st)Turnovers1.7 (7th)
1.3 (t-4th)Sacks2.3 (12th)

Falcons Offense Vs. Browns Defense

Falcons OStats (Rank)Browns D
26.7 (9th)Points/Gm24.0 (23rd)
0.442 (5th)Points/Play0.419 (25th)
354.3 (14th)Yards/Gm323.7 (15th)
197.7 (26th)Pass Yards/Gm240.0 (18th)
156.7 (5th)Rush Yards/Gm83.7 (7th)
5.9 (9th)Yards/Play5.6 (19th)
7.5 (6th)Yards/Pass6.9 (20th)
4.9 (7th)Yards/Rush4.1 (11th)
40.0% (12th)3rd Down %37.1% (16th)
58.3% (15th)Red Zone TD %70.0% (25th)
2.3 (28th)Turnovers1.0 (19th)
2.0 (t-10th)Sacks2.3 (12th)

Browns At Falcons Betting Insights

Why The Browns Can Cover The Spread

If there was a time for a frisky underdog to bite the Browns, it’s passed. We saw the “whoops, that got away from us” game in Cleveland’s disastrous home opener against the New York Jets. Jacoby Brissett looked focused, collected, and careful against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Thursday Night Football. The Browns are the better team, plain and simple.

The Falcons’ rush defense leaves a lot to be desired, ranking outside the top-20 in yards per rush allowed and, most concerning, last in the NFL in rushing explosiveness allowed (EPA per rush). Against Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, and the Browns’ offensive line, the Falcons will likely be overmatched on the ground.

Finally, the Browns have the rest advantage. They played Thursday night and had the weekend to rest while the Falcons played a tough road game in Seattle on Sunday.

Why The Falcons Can Cover The Spread

The Falcons are both the home team and the healthier team and are being spotted almost a field goal. A healthy home underdog is an enticing bet.

Atlanta has fully outplayed expectations so far through three weeks, particularly on offense. They’re top-10 in scoring and EPA per play, and third in success rate. Behind a rejuvenated Marcus Mariota, Atlanta has successfully moved the ball down the field against the likes of the Saints, Rams, and Seahawks. Also brought back to youth is Cordarrelle Patterson, who’s been one of the better backs in the league and is coming off a 141-yard performance.

Youngsters Drake London and Kyle Pitts are looking like an ample duo through the air, too. Contrary to expectations set in the preseason, the Falcons will likely be able to run with the Browns on offense.

Also look for big injury developments to Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah and Myles Garrett this coming week. Big defensive injuries would give Atlanta a huge leg-up.

Reasons To Bet The Over

As mentioned, both teams are fielding explosive offenses through three games. Atlanta’s been particularly efficient with their numbers thanks to the big-play potential of Patterson, London, and Pitts. Neither team has been playing lights-out on defense, with the Browns allowing 35 to the Jets and 17 to the Steelers in their last two games.

In a controlled environment like Mercedes-Benz Stadium, this could very well turn into a high-scoring affair where both teams trade haymakers in chunk plays. It’s extra worth noting the injuries to the Browns’ defense here before betting Browns Falcons odds.

Reasons To Bet The Under

While both teams’ rushing attacks are strong in terms of EPA (the Browns are No. 1 in the department), they are both run-heavy offenses. Run-heavy offenses favor lower-scoring affairs, particularly if one team gets up big on the other.

Recent results don’t necessarily project outcomes and the Browns defense could play better. While they allowed 35 to the Jets, 17 of those came came in the fourth quarter when the entire team fell apart. In the second half of their Thursday night game against the Steelers, Cleveland nearly pitched a shutout.

Browns At Falcons Props: Matchups To Watch For

Drake London Vs. Browns Secondary: In each of their last two games, the Browns were torched by rookie receivers. The Jets’ Garrett Wilson was particularly effective, finding the end zone twice in that game. London is a big-bodied receiver with serious athletic talent and he’s come into his own over the last two weeks. He’s exactly the kind of receiver that’s given the Browns hell not just this year, but over the past several seasons.

  • Drake London anytime TD scorer prop:

Nick Chubb Vs. Falcons Run Defense: What happens when you put the most explosive run game across from the defense giving up the highest rate of explosive runs? Good things for the offense, likely. Chubb has eclipsed the 100-yard mark seven times since the start of the 2021 season, including twice in his first three games this year. Expect the Browns to run offense and get Chubb involved early.

  • Best Nick Chubb rushing prop: O/U / ()

Final Thoughts

It’s too hard to ignore the lopsided nature of the Browns’ rushing offense against the Falcons’ rushing defense. If Cleveland puts their mind to it, they’re going to move the football on the ground, be it with Chubb or Hunt. As mentioned, the time to jump up and bite the Browns as an underdog is long gone and Brissett and the offense is clicking.

Efficient as the Falcons’ offense has been, their turnover-prone tendencies so far should be concerning to Atlanta backers. Their 2.3 giveaways per game is fourth-most in the NFL. Definitely keep an eye on Garrett’s availability as he suffered “minor injuries” in a Monday car accident. But if he plays and Jadaevon Clowney returns, the Browns pass rush will be extremely disruptive to Mariota and the Falcons.

It’s exciting to see this number come in under a field goal. I scooped this one up at Browns -2.5 (+100) on Monday at Caesars Sportsbook. More rest is important and the Browns are a better team that already had its wake-up call. Best of luck betting Browns Falcons odds.

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Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

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