NFL Week 4 London Preview: Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints

Written By FairwayJay on September 30, 2022 - Last Updated on October 1, 2022
vikings saints odds

The Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints kickoff Sunday Week 4 action with the first NFL game in London for the 2022 season. Kickoff is at 9:30am ET on Sunday, Oct. 2 from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (grass surface). Primary markets for the game show the Vikings as  spread favorites and  on the moneyline and the Saints . Vikings Saints odds feature a total set at .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather and the best available NFL Week 4 oddsClick on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Vikings vs Saints Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

In this case, the Vikings would have to win by at least 3 points if you bet them to cover the point spread (-2.5). A spread bet on the Saints would win if they win the game or lose by 1 or 2 points. 

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

For more betting guides, click the green NFL Game Previews button at the top of this post.

Editors note

Vikings vs Saints Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike bigger markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences in the numbers.

Vikings vs Saints Betting News and Angles

Teams playing in London who enter off a straight up loss as a favorite (Saints) are 7-3-1 SU and 8-3 ATS, including 6-0-1 SU and 7-0 ATS, when coming off a loss of a dozen or fewer points. NFL teams that are -3 or more in turnover margin in a game this season are 0-10 SU/ATS; teams -2 are 2-5 SU/ATS.

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Vikings – Saints odds.

Vikings Offense vs. Saints Defense

Saints OStats (Rank)Vikings D
17 (22)Points/Gm18.3 (9)
0.273 (25)Points/Play0.268 (8)
373 (8)Yards/Gm413 (30)
261 (8)Pass Yards/Gm275 (29)
111 (16)Rush Yards/Gm137 (24)
6.0 (7)Yards/Play6.0 (26)
7.5 (10)Yards/Pass7.5 (28)
5.5 (4)Yards/Rush4.7 (18)
33.33 (24)3rd Down %34.21 (13)
66.67 (8)Red Zone TD %62.50 (19)
3.0 (32)Turnovers/Gm1.3 (12)
8.73 (26)QB Sacked %5.93 (17)

Saints Offense vs. Vikings Defense

Vikings OStats (Rank)Saints D
19.3 (16)Points/Gm22.7 (19)
0.310 (15)Points/Play0.349 (19)
344 (18)Yards/Gm323 (13)
240 (15)Pass Yards/Gm183 (5)
103 (19)Rush Yards/Gm139 (26)
5.5 (13)Yards/Play5.0 (10)
6.4 (26)Yards/Pass6.0 (10)
4.9 (8)Yards/Rush4.2 (13)
29.41 (26)3rd Down %31.82 (7)
50.0 (21)Red Zone TD %33.33 (2)
1.3 (15)Turnovers/Gm1.0 (18)
3.25 (4)QB Sacked %4.17 (29)

Vikings vs Saints Betting Insights

Why The Vikings Can Cover The Spread

The Vikings are healthier and have played a stronger trio of teams and quarterbacks than the Saints to start the season. The Saints are No. 27 in Total DVOA, while the Vikings are league average. The Saints are dead last in the league in giveaways with 3.0 per game thanks to QB Jameis Winston, who will be under more pressure this week and could be without a pair of key receivers or limited as Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry have foot issues and missed practice.    

Why The Saints Can Cover The Spread

So many NFL games are close and decided by a few plays and mistakes. Unfortunately for the Saints, they have a quarterback handling the ball each offensive snap that finds trouble more often than touchdowns. Along with 5 interceptions, Jameis Winston has also fumbled 3 times but been fortunate to not lose any. Still, the Vikings defense is allowing 413 yards per game (YPG) this season – 90 YPG worse than the Saints defense. The Saints were -3 in turnover margin last week but did out-gain the Panthers 426-293 yards while averaging a solid 6.7 yards per play while playing from behind. A positive profile for the Saints is that their defense held the Buccaneers and Panthers each to less than 300 yards offense, and Vikings RB Dalvin Cook is hurting and listed as day-to-day with a separated shoulder suffered last week. 

Reasons To Bet The Over

Despite Winston’s shortcomings and decision making, he’ll get more comfortable in the new offensive system over the weeks ahead. Winston and WR Chris Olave have struck a good chord as the rookie receiver leads the team in receiving with 17 catches for 268 yards including 9 for 147 yards in last week’s loss. Along with receivers Michael Thomas (16/171/3 TDs) and Jarvis Landry (13/161), who are both questionable to play, the Saints have some solid receivers and throw the ball 67.3.% of their plays – fourth highest in the NFL. The Vikings pass 65.7% of their plays thus far and have established pro bowl receivers in Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen who have combined for 31 receptions and nearly 400 yards with 3 touchdowns. KJ Osborn adds another threat, and he caught the game-winner in the closing minute to beat the Lions 28-24. This game can reach a similar points scored with more passing and big plays anticipated.

Reasons To Bet The Under

The Saints defense ranks top-5 in passing yards against and top-10 in yards per play. The Vikings offense sputtered in their only game away from home with just 264 yards at 4.5 yards per play. The return of Vikings safety Harrison Smith and rookie CB Andrew Booth gives Minnesota more backend help with their front seven able to get more pressure on the quarterback and slow a Saints offense that is averaging just 29.8 yards per drive through three games. New Orleans has scored just 24 points the past two games and is averaging only 17 points per game through three games.  

Vikings vs Saints Matchups to Watch for

Saints DBs vs. Vikings WRs

Vikings All-Pro WR Justin Jefferson has been limited the last two games to 9 catches for 62 yards as teams have doubled him and been more aggressive at the line of scrimmage. The Saints rank top-5 in pass defense (183 YPG) despite average play from their cornerbacks, but the addition of strong safety Tyrann Mathieu has been a big boost. The Saints will play more zone as New Orleans has only been in man-to-man coverage 22.7% of snaps in 2022, and Vikings opponents have opted to play zone more than 75% of snaps when facing Minnesota.  

  • Justin Jefferson to score a TD:

Vikings EDGE rushers vs Saints Tackles

The Vikings has done a good job of getting pressure on the quarterback with 49 pressures on the season (per PFF). Za’Darius Smith leads the team with 12 and Danielle Hunter has seven. The Saints have only allowed 32 pressures on the season, but QB Winston has been sacked 11 times. The two largest sources of allowed pressures are Ryan Ramczyk and Andrus Peat with 14 between them. The tackles will have their hands full protecting banged-up QB Jameis Winston (back, ankle) with Hunter and Smith on the outside.

Red Zone matchups

The Saints have run just 9.7% offensive plays in the red zone this season — fifth-worst in NFL. Vikings has allowed their opponent to run just 7.8% of plays in the red zone this season — fifth-best in NFL.

Final Thoughts

The Saints have looked confused on offense most of the past two games and for the first half against the Falcons before rallying to win. But so have the Vikings and especially in their only game away from home at Philadelphia. New Orleans is 0-3 ATS and QB Jameis Winston has thrown 5 interceptions while burning bettors money. He’s not fully healthy but as long as Winston is the quarterback and playing a strong or capable defense, or away from home, it’s not worth risking your money on him and the Saints.

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FairwayJay

FairwayJay is a leading national sports and gaming analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful professionals. Jay has pursued his passions and maintained a pulse on the sports, gaming and poker industries while living in Las Vegas for nearly two decades. He's been a regular featured guest on sports and gaming radio shows, podcasts and produces sports betting and related industry articles and content for various sites and sources.

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