NFL Week 4 Game Preview: Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Written By Evan Scrimshaw on October 1, 2022
chiefs bucs odds

The Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) go into Tampa Bay on Sunday Night Football to bookend Sunday’s slate of Week 4 odds with a clash against the Buccaneers (2-1). This game will be played in Tampa Bay, after some early-week concerns about the fallout from Hurricane Ian. Therefore, all previous bets on Chiefs Bucs odds are still valid.

The Bucs will try and resurrect a struggling offense, while Kansas City looks to bounce back from a tight loss in Week 3. Tampa Bay is spread favorites and moneyline favorites, with an over/under of .

Chiefs – Buccaneers Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

The Chiefs Bucs odds table effectively shows all the legal sportsbooks odds for each of the three main markets – spreads, totals, and Moneylines – so that bettors can know what they’re getting is the best price. Just use the dropdown menu to toggle between the type of bet you want, and then make sure you’re getting the best price when you bet.

If you’re looking at spreads, getting an extra half point on either side can make or break the difference, and getting the best side of a total points market can be crucial as well. When it comes to Moneyline betting, you always want to get the best number possible – all three things that the easy comparison points of the Odds Table allow.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Player Props

The props tool enables bettors to effectively track Chiefs Bucs odds across sportsbooks for every player prop, to make sure that bettors aren’t missing out on a better total, or a better value, on a player prop.

Whether it’s getting a total you want to bet an Over on 5 yards lower, or a line where you have to pay less juice, the Props tool enables bettors to make sure they’re not missing out.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Betting News & Angles

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Injury Report

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS      
PlayerPositionInjuryWedThuFriGame Status
Michael DannaDECalfDNPLPLPOut
Mecole HardmanWRHeelDNPLPLP(-)
Chris JonesDTNot Injury RelatedDNPFPFP(-)
Ronald JonesRBlllnessDNPDNPFP(-)
Harrison ButkerKLeft AnkleLPDNPDNPOut
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRAbdomenLPDNPLPQuestionable
JuJu Smith-SchusterWRShoulderFPFPFP(-)
Andrew WylieOTHipFPFPFP(-)
Joshua KaindohDEIllness(-)(-)DNPQuestionable
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
PlayerPositionInjuryWedThuFriGame Status
Tom BradyQBRight fingerFPFPFP(-)
Russell GageWRHamstring/RestLPLPDNPQuestionable
Chris GodwinWRHamstring/RestLPDNPLPQuestionable
Logan HallDEGroinLPFPFP(-)
Akiem HicksDEFootDNPDNPDNPOut
Julio JonesWRKnee/RestLPLPDNPQuestionable
Breshad PerrimanWRKnee/HamstringDNPDNPDNPDoubtful
Donovan SmithOTElbowLPLPLPQuestionable
Lavonte DavidILBRest(-)(-)DNP(-)

Chiefs offense vs. Bucs defense

Chiefs OStats (Rank)Buccaneers D
29.3 (4)Points/Gm9 (1)
0.489 (3)Points/Play0.141 (1)
374 (7)Yards/Gm289 (4)
281 (6)Pass Yards/Gm209.7 (12)
93 (22)Rush Yards/Gm79.3 (5)
6.2 (4)Yards/Play4.5 (4)
7.8 (6)Yards/Pass5.4 (4)
4.1 (20)Yards/Rush3.8 (8)
40% (12)3rd Down %30.23% (6)
69.23% (7)Red Zone TD %60% (18)
3 (8)Turnovers8 (1)
2 (1)Sacks11 (3)

Bucs offense vs. Chiefs defense

Buccaneers OStats (Rank)Chiefs D
17 (22)Points/Gm21.7 (17)
0.274 (23)Points/Play0.316 (16)
297.3 (27)Yards/Gm314 (10)
211.3 (22)Pass Yards/Gm227.3 (15)
86 (25)Rush Yards/Gm86.7 (9)
4.8 (27)Yards/Play4.6 (5)
6.5 (23)Yards/Pass5.5 (7)
3.4 (29)Yards/Rush3.6 (5)
28.57% (28)3rd Down %32.56% (10)
40% (28)Red Zone TD %72.23% (11)
4 (13)Turnovers2 (28)
6 (11)Sacks10 (5)

Why the Chiefs can cover the spread

The Chiefs loss in Week 3 was one of the unluckiest outcomes of the season. Between 7 points missed from their (now-departed) backup kicker and bad luck in the Red Zone, Kansas City lost because of bad luck.

They’re the 10th best Offence and 9th best Defence by DVOA. They’ve got the best skill position player. And they’ve got the better Quarterback, while Tampa’s vaunted 2021 offence looks much worse this year.

Why The Buccaneers can cover the spread

Their offence has to be better than they’ve shown so far, especially as Brady gets back into rhythm after missing most of training camp. If Brady – who showed some promise on the Bucs’ last drive last week, finally – can play better, they have a chance.

The Bucs Defence should be able to keep them in the game even if the offence struggles. With a league lead in turnovers, the Bucs have been able to create short fields for Brady. If that happens, then the offence will be able to deliver.

Reasons to bet the over

The Chiefs were able in Week 1 to score fast and furiously, which could speed up this game. If Brady manages to get on the same page as his receivers, there could be a renewed offence in Tampa.

Throw in the chances of the Tampa defence creating short fields for Brady, or a defensive score, and the Over could hit.

Reasons to bet the under

A battle of two top-10 defenses that includes the 27th offense per DVOA is a recipe for an under. The Bucs offense has been a disaster all season, which lends to the Under.

It’s possible the Chiefs might run under their Red Zone Touchdown expectations against the Bucs Defence. Between that and the ineptitude of the Bucs offence and you get a game primed to go under.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Props: Matchups To Watch For

Tom Brady Passing Yards: O/U / ()

This game comes down to whether Brady can be the Quarterback he was for most of his career. If he can get over this number, the Buccaneers woes go a long way towards reducing. If he can’t, they’re in for a very long night.

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards: O/U / ()

If the Chiefs are going to get their offence back on track, Kelce is going to be key. If Mahomes is going to beat the best Pass Defence by DVOA, they’ll do so by slicing through the middle of the defence with Kelce.

Final Thoughts

There is no case for the Buccaneers in this game that isn’t just some expectation that Tom Brady will be a different, and fundamentally better, quarterback than he’s been so far.

If he is back to some facsimile of his 2021 performance, then the Bucs have a chance to win this. Their defence is rightly one of the best in the league, and should limit Mahomes. The problem the Bucs have is that Brady has been a disaster so far this season.

The Chiefs have the better QB and the better coach, and their defense is also very good. There is nothing in the Bucs current form that suggests this game should be particularly close.

The Chiefs, so far this year, have just been better than the Bucs, who have yet to reliably score points. Unless Brady changes that, the Chiefs have the edge, even in Tampa Bay. Best of luck betting on Chiefs Bucs odds.

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