NFL Week 4 Game Preview: Buffalo Bills At Baltimore Ravens

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on September 30, 2022
Bills Ravens odds

The Buffalo Bills visit the Baltimore Ravens at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 2. Primary markets for the game show the Bills as spread favorites and on the moneyline. Bills Ravens odds feature a total set at .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather and the best available NFL Week 4 odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Bills At Ravens Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

In this case, the Bills would have to win by at least four points if you bet them to cover the point spread (-3) — a three-point win would push. A spread bet on the Ravens would win if they win the game or lose by two or fewer points. Again, a three-point loss would push. 

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

For more betting guides, click the green NFL Game Previews button at the top of this post.

Editor’s Note

Bills At Ravens Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike bigger markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences in the numbers.

Bills At Ravens Betting News & Angles

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Bills – Ravens odds.

Bills At Ravens Injury Report

PlayerPositionInjuryWedThuFriGame Status
Ed OliverDTAnkleLPLPLPQuestionable
Dawson KnoxTEBack/hipLPLPLPQuestionable
Jordan PhillipsDTHamstringDNPDNPDNPOut
Jordan PoyerFSFootLPLPLPQuestionable
Ryan BatesGConcussionDNPLPFPUnspecified
Christian BenfordCBHandDNPDNPDNPOut
Gabe DavisWRAnkleLPDNPLPQuestionable
Dion DawkinsOTIllnessDNPFPFPUnspecified
Dane JacksonCBNeckLPLPLPQuestionable
Jake KumerowWRAnkleDNPDNPDNPOut
Cam LewisCBForearm/kneeLPLPFPUnspecified
Von MillerOLBVet RestDNPUnspecified
Mitch MorseCElbowLPLPLPQuestionable
Justin MurrayOTFootLPLPLPQuestionable
Rodger SaffoldGVet RestDNPUnspecified
Stefon DiggsWRVet RestDNPUnspecified
BALTIMORE RAVENSTable - Injury report
PlayerPositionInjuryWedThuFriGame Status
Jalyn Armour-DavisCBNIR-PersonalDNP(-)(-)(-)
Calais CampbellDENIR-RestDNP(-)(-)(-)
J.K. DobbinsRBChestLPFPFP(-)
Justin HoustonOLBGroinDNPDNPDNPDoubtful
Patrick MekariOTAnkleDNPDNPDNPDoubtful
Marcus PetersCBNIR-Rest/KneeDNPFPFP(-)
Michael PierceNTBicepsDNP(-)(-)(-)
James ProcheWRGroinFPFPFP(-)
Ronnie StanleyOTAnkle/NIR-RestFPFPDNPQuestionable

Bills Offense vs. Ravens Defense

Bills OStats (Rank)Ravens D
30.3 (3)Points/Gm25.7 (24)
0.427 (6)Points/Play0.365 (21)
441.3 (2)Yards/Gm458 (32)
329 (1)Pass Yards/Gm353.3 (32)
112.3 (15)Rush Yards/Gm104.7 (13)
6.2 (5)Yards/Play6.5 (31)
7.4 (8)Yards/Pass7.5 (30)
4.7 (12)Yards/Rush5 (26)
60.98 (1)3rd Down %32.35 (8)
63.64 (11)Red Zone TD %72.73 (27)
1.7 (19)Turnovers/Gm2.7 (1)
4.96 (12)QB Sacked %4.73 (24)

Ravens Offense vs. Bills Defense

Ravens OStats (Rank)Bills D
33 (1)Points/Gm12.7 (4)
0.596 (1)Points/Play0.241 (5)
380.3 (4)Yards/Gm214 (1)
245 (13)Pass Yards/Gm156.3 (2)
135.3 (8)Rush Yards/Gm57.7 (2)
6.9 (1)Yards/Play4.1 (2)
8.4 (3)Yards/Pass5.5 (30)
5.6 (3)Yards/Rush2.8 (2)
38.24 (13)3rd Down %39.39 (19)
80 (3)Red Zone TD %83.33 (31)
1 (8)Turnovers/Gm2.3 (4)
6.38 (19)QB Sacked %11.46 (24)

Bills At Ravens Betting Insights

Why The Bills Can Cover The Spread

The total is high and the Bills are favored, so if the Bills win, it will pretty frequently be by more than three. Furthermore, the Ravens have shown themselves unable to slow down opposing passing games, which looks like a rather big problem against Josh Allen and his weapons. If Mac Jones and the Patriots can get almost 9 YPA, then one can only wonder at the numbers Allen could pile up. The Bills also have the best pass rush in the business so far, and Lamar Jackson has put up numbers without a sweat so far.

Why The Ravens Can Cover The Spread

Better coach and better quarterback at home. Is that insane to say? Allen made a number of mistakes against the Dolphins that he was lucky to get away with, and Jackson has been only a hair worse than him according to EPA+CPOE composite. It’s close enough that it’s at least reasonable to say Jackson’s been better, and that doesn’t even factor in his 81 YPG on the ground (Allen is at 37.7). The Bills have a very banged up secondary, potentially starting two backup safeties and two rookie corners a week after Tua Tagovailoa had an extremely efficient passing day.

Reasons To Bet The Over

Look at these passing offenses. One could be modest and call them a couple of top-10 units, though they’ve operated as arguably the top two in the league so far. With both teams’ secondaries looking less than lockdown in the early going, long touchdowns could come early and often and push this over even a high number.

Reasons To Bet The Under

Watch for the weather here. The East Coast is awash with hurricane weather, and the current forecast calls for rain and 15 mph winds in Baltimore. If a storm hits, then these passing games could get dragged down a bit.

Bills At Ravens Matchups To Watch For

Bills EDGEs Vs. Ravens LT

If “Ravens LT” turns out to be Ronnie Stanley, and he’s healthy and playing at his normal level, this won’t look like an issue at all for Baltimore. However, he has yet to step on the field this year. Backup Ja’Waun James started Week 1 only to tear his Achilles. Third-stringer Patrick Mekari (originally listed as a backup guard) went in and sprained his ankle. That left the team down to fourth-round rookie Daniel Faalele. Von Miller and Greg Rousseau have been bringing the heat so far, and Lamar Jackson will be under a ton of pressure if this proves to be a problem area.

Bills WRs Vs. Ravens CBs

On paper, the Ravens have an excellent pair of corners. In reality, things haven’t gone so well. The Bills have two great options at WR in Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, but Davis doesn’t seem 100% after missing Week 2 and failing to produce much in Week 3. The Dolphins limited Diggs and forced a ton of underneath throws to RB Devin Singletary and Isaiah McKenzie. If the Ravens can do the same, this offense becomes a lot less scary.

  • Stefon Diggs receiving prop: O/U / ()

Ravens Pass Catchers Vs. Bills DBs

Again, the Bills might be working with two rookies — one of whom is a sixth-rounder — at corner and two backups at safety. At least one for sure, with Micah Hyde likely lost for the year. That spells trouble against a Ravens offense that loves to attack down the field with its receiving targets. Even Mark Andrews was running a bunch of deep routes in recent weeks. Communication and coverage discipline must be on point here, lest Jackson feast for more long TDs — he has three 20-plus yard TD tosses the past two weeks.

  • Mark Andrews receiving prop: O/U / ()

Final thoughts

Both teams have major questions about whether they can stop the other’s passing game. On paper, though, the Ravens have the far, far better talent at defensive back. If Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Peters can step it up, I like the Ravens to win outright here at home, and a play on the moneyline looks better than a spread bet in a high-volatility game with a total in the 50s.

The weather could play a role here and potentially turn it into more of a ground battle. Both QBs can consistently move the sticks with their legs, but PFF has liked the work of the Ravens offensive line far more than that of the Bills thus far. Best of luck betting Bills Ravens odds.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah