Teaser bets remain a popular option with many NFL bettors. But, you must use caution when selecting which teams you’ll tease, as you can’t win long term without a sound strategy. At TheLines, we’ll go over each week’s NFL slate to see which teams fit best in teasers. Today, we look at options for NFL Week 3 teasers.
Last week was not a good week for the teaser numbers. The best plays went just 2-2, so unless you combined Panthers and Giants, you didn’t cash anything. The more speculative plays struggled for the second straight week at 1-2.
Be sure to go over our primer on teaser bets here. It’s imperative that you understand what to look for, from the numbers to the sportsbook juice being paid. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now.
The Best NFL Week 3 Teasers
NFL Week 3 teasers continues the theme of underdogs standing out. That makes sense early on as the market has a lot of these teams pretty close still, so we are seeing a lot of closely-lined games and not many big favorites.
Texans (+2.5) At Bears
The total is one of the lowest of the week. Perhaps more importantly, the Bears seem extraordinarily committed to running the ball. They lead the league by a mile in run-play percentage at over 65%. For reference, no team exceeded 50% last year. It’s just really hard to open up multi-score leads without a passing game that does damage.
Now, there is one major issue in this one: Davis Mills has been staggeringly awful on the road.
There was still one +3 on the board for Houston at the time of writing but more +2.5s so if you don’t have access to a +3, this deserves some consideration.
Titans (+2.5) Vs. Raiders
Now, the Raiders do have some top-tier passing weapons in Davante Adams and Darren Waller. However, the Titans bring the safety play to keep Waller possibly in check and at least keep Adams from burning them deep. The middling total reflects that this game shouldn’t get too crazy in terms of scoring.
The Titans have also struggled to get Derrick Henry going thus far. That could change here. While the Raiders run D has started off well with a top-10 rank in EPA/play, this does not look like a good defense on paper.
After an 0-2 start, both teams are playing for their seasons. Another loss would leave both drawing pretty thin to make the playoffs. A home underdog in this spot should at minimum keep the game close.
Broncos (+1.5) Vs. 49ers
This game looks similar to the last one with a short home underdog and a middling total. Both of these teams are difficult to get an early read on as both played atrocious competition so far, with the 49ers having the additional layer of playing two games in less than ideal weather. Plus, they’ve now changed quarterbacks after Trey Lance went on IR with a broken ankle.
The Broncos have been sneaky efficient on offense, owning the eighth-best EPA/play in the NFL. Converting that into points has been the trick they can’t figure out.
However, they have a key injury to monitor on that end with wideout Jerry Jeudy. He has showed immediate rapport with Russell Wilson with a 102-yard effort in the opener. The Broncos have a very thin receiving corps thanks to Tim Patrick’s preseason injury.
On the other side of the ball, they also have a star player questionable in Patrick Surtain II. The Broncos have better depth there, but it’s still something to monitor.
Overall, fading Jimmy Garoppolo in a tough road environment getting more than a score looks like a solid spot.
Panthers (+2.5) Vs. Saints
Again, some +3s exist on the Panthers here. That looks like a better buy than throwing them in a teaser here against the Saints, but the +2.5s outnumber the +3s at this point.
If you only have access to +2.5, though, the Panthers do look like a good teaser team this week. Divisional home underdog in a game with one of the lowest totals of the week. They check a lot of the boxes here.
Especially with the Saints currently reeling and in very questionable health. Jameis Winston is reportedly playing through multiple fractured bones in his back and the availability of Alvin Kamara (ribs) looks in question after he missed Week 2 and didn’t sound particularly close to going.
The obvious fly in the ointment comes from Baker Mayfield variance. A tough Saints defense could pressure him into some mistakes. Giving away points in a defensive struggle could prove detrimental. But, he might also hit the 75-yard bomb that keys the Panthers in a game where they can’t move the ball much.
Other Potential NFL Week 3 Teasers
Packers (+1) At Buccaneers
Speaking of low-scoring games involving NFC South teams, expectations have tempered considerably for the once-explosive Bucs offense. Lacking Mike Evans thanks to a suspension and potentially Chris Godwin due to injury, they might have Cole Beasley off the couch playing key downs if Julio Jones can’t go, along with Godwin.
That sounds like a recipe for potentially teasing the other side, as we saw what a strong defense in the Saints could do against this group of pass catchers last week. Despite playing in a dome, the Bucs managed just 4 YPP.
A repeat performance would surely allow the Packers to stay within a score here. Admittedly, the Packers have their own issues on offense, such as getting this group of wideouts to find some separation from the physical Bucs DBs.
If you can get a +1.5, this makes the cut for the stronger plays, but most sportsbooks aren’t giving you the hook on a teaser.
Chargers (-7) Vs. Jaguars
Another game that’s just off the prime teaser zone. You could still try this one if other factors were aligned, but it doesn’t look like a good game to tease due to the injuries the Chargers are dealing with.
Justin Herbert got some extra time to heal up, but his status still looks uncertain, with the team calling him day-to-day. The last thing you want to do is lock in a teaser, even getting a good number before he’s announced in, then have him aggravate the injury. Remember, he couldn’t even jog for a layup first down with his team needing two scores in the dying minutes against the Chiefs. Furthermore, CB JC Jackson and C Corey Linsley haven’t practiced as of Wednesday, and oft-injured WR Keenan Allen logged a limited session.
Fading the Jaguars looks a little attractive while the market is high, but it’s tough to trust the Chargers without knowing who is on the field and how close they are to 100%.