Teaser bets remain a popular option with many NFL bettors. But, you must use caution when selecting which teams you’ll tease, as you can’t win long-term without a sound strategy. At TheLines, we’ll go over each week’s NFL slate to see which teams fit best in teasers. Today, we look at options for NFL Week 3 teasers.
The Best NFL Week 3 Teaser Spots
Last week, not many teaser spots came up on the NFL odds board. But, if you for some reason felt compelled to tease all of the sides we highlighted, you would have gone 3-0. So, there’s that at least.
NFL Week 3 teasers look much more attractive. Several sides look like prime teaser options, with a few more fringe plays worth a look.
Panthers (-7.5) at Texans
Thursday Night Football might turn off some fans for teasers since they will have their money locked up for a few days awaiting a later result. But, if you don’t mind that minor detraction, the Panthers could represent a valuable teaser leg. They head on the road to face the Texans and the spot could hardly shape up better for NFL Week 3 teasers.
The Panthers are squarely in the prime teaser zone across the board, either -7.5 or -8 as of Tuesday afternoon. A rock-bottom — by 2021 standards — over/under of looks beautiful as well.
Their defense has played outstanding football thus far, with Football Outsiders rating them the top group in the league. That figures to play especially well here against a rookie third-round quarterback in Davis Mills whom most considered a project at best. Mills must make his first start on short notice here and the market showed little confidence in moving the line well past the look-ahead number.
If the Panthers could hold the Saints passing game to just 80 net yards, how will Mills and this inferior roster possibly have a strong game?
Bills (-8) vs. Football Team
The Bills should be a nice teaser leg this week. After a few sportsbooks hung -9 and even -9.5 — possibly to discourage teaser action — the Wednesday morning market has them -7.5 to -8.5 across the board against the Football Team.
Again, a low total of helps this one quite a bit.
The Washington defense simply has not met expectations this year. Football Outsiders has them 18th in the league. The unit was expected to land in the top five and carry them to NFC East contention, at least. The Chargers doing fine against them was one thing but Daniel Jones and the Giants putting up 29 points and 6.1 yards per play won’t cut it.
The concern here: the decreased level of performance of Bills QB Josh Allen thus far. If 2020 Bills hosted the Football Team in this spot, it would be a slam dunk teaser. As it is, how confident can we be that Allen will perform at an elite level? The 35-0 final on Sunday obscures the 5.0 YPP the Bills managed through the air.
Browns (-7.5) vs. Bears
The market has curiously not seemed to give much boost to the Browns in this spot, which appears a good one. They get to play at home, likely against a rookie QB in Justin Fields making his first start for the Bears.
And yet, despite a pretty strong body of work so far on their merits, the Browns have a -7 by their names at most of the market.
Fields performed quite poorly in his limit action against the Bengals on Sunday. He completed just 6-for-13 for 60 yards and a pick. Along with taking two sacks, that was good for a QBR of 4.4. His rushing ability didn’t inspire confidence either as he took off 10 times for just 31 yards.
The Browns bring a much more formidable defense to the table. The total has ticked down to 45.5 at some shops as of Wednesday, so again not much scoring is expected, which helps our teaser plays.
If you like the Browns but miss the boat on -7 consider a teaser instead.
More Speculative NFL Week 3 Teaser Candidates
Ravens (-7.5) at Lions
One play many teaser bettors will circle is the Ravens, hitting the road to play the Lions, who are on a short week. Talented, Super Bowl-contending favorite against the dregs of the league. Set it and forget it?
For one thing, stirring (and lucky) comeback against the Chiefs aside, the Ravens have not looked all that great thus far. Their defense offered zero resistance most of that game and got smacked by the Raiders for 409 yards passing in Week 1.
Their offensive line looked better in Week 2 after a pretty ugly debut, but how much does that owe to the incompetence of the Chiefs?
Coming off a big and emotional win against their rivals, the Ravens could experience a letdown this week as well.
And the Lions have actually looked fairly competent for stretches this season. They held the lead against the Packers at halftime on Monday, and Jared Goff made some nice throws when he had time in the pocket. How will he handle Baltimore’s blitz-happy defense?
The total, sitting at , is also a tad higher than we’d like.
Cardinals (-7.5) at Jaguars
And who isn’t excited to fade the Jags right now? The team has played at a level below what even the biggest Urban Meyer skeptics would have guessed. Depending on the exact lines you got, this team has played about 23 points short of market expectations so far.
Throw this defense — giving up 6 YPP and ranked 24th by Football Outsiders — in against Kyler Murray and and Arizona offense that’s doing everything right except hanging onto the ball, and you have a recipe for an easy Arizona win.
But, is a teaser in fact the way? A major issue here comes from the total. At , it’s expected to be one of the higher scoring games this week. Plus, the fact you’d be taking a road favorite downgrades the Cardinals a bit.
Rams (+1.5) vs. Buccaneers
An interesting quirk in this game for players eyeing NFL Week 3 teasers — they could have potentially gotten both the Rams and the Bucs in the prime plus-money teaser numbers. The line movement here shifted the +1.5 from the Bucs to the Rams, meaning you could have taken both teams +7.5 and aimed for a middle.
However, this one looks potentially prohibitive due to the total. The number there puts this squarely in the buyer-beware zone as far as teasers go.
The Bucs played a shootout Week 1 and had more trouble than the market expected with the Falcons in Week 2. A couple of late pick-sixes gave them the cover. Particularly with the injury to CB Sean Murphy-Bunting, their secondary has looked vulnerable.
If a ton of points light up the scoreboard, you don’t want to have this on your teaser card as the variance will be high. If you love the under, though, the Rams don’t look like a terrible play.
Vikings (+2) vs. Seahawks
Another game with a sky-high total among options for NFL Week 3 teasers, this time .
And it’s not hard to see why. The Seahawks, despite opening up a sizable lead against the Titans, completely melted down in an eventual loss. They allowed 182 yards rushing to Derrick Henry and now face another elite runner of the football in Dalvin Cook.
Meanwhile, the Seahawks themselves do sport perhaps the league’s most explosive quick-strike passing game. They’ve already logged touchdowns of 68, 63 and 69 yards. When Murray didn’t throw the ball directly to Minnesota DBs, the Cardinals ripped off several chunk plays.
If you love variance, Minnesota does cross the right numbers. Otherwise, probably attack this one from a different angle.