NFL Week 3 Game Preview: Houston Texans at Chicago Bears

Written By Derek Wagner on September 23, 2022 - Last Updated on September 24, 2022
texans bears odds

The Houston Texans (0-1-1) visit the Chicago Bears (1-1) at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sept 26. This game features the Bears as spread favorites and on the moneyline. The point total is set at . Let’s dive into the Bears – Texans odds.

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to place a bet now.

TEXANS VS. BEARS ODDS: SPREAD, MONEYLINE, OVER/UNDER

When using the odds table above, click the drop down menu in the upper left corner and select the type of bet you wish to make.

Wagering on the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. The “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a minus sign is the favorite in the game. The Bears would need at least a four-point win if you bet on Chicago to cover the point spread (-3). A spread bet on the Texans would win if Houston wins the game or loses by two points or fewer. A push would come into play if Justin Fields and the Bears win by exactly three points.

Betting on the moneyline is betting on which team will win this game.

The total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or the under on how many total points they think will be scored in the game.

For more betting guides and analysis, click the green NFL Game Previews button at the top of this post.

Editor’s Note

TEXANS VS. BEARS PLAYER PROPS

In the props tool search bar below, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various prop bets offered by numerous sportsbooks in the United States.

This is an extremely valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. It also saves time between flipping between different Sportsbooks.

TEXANS VS. BEARS BETTING NEWS

As of Thursday, the spread for this game on is Bears -2.5. Most Sportsbooks have this spread at Bears -2.5. Additional updates can be found below.

TEXANS VS. BEARS WEATHER REPORT

The weather could have an impact on Texans – Bears odds, as there is once again rain in the forecast at Soldier Field. The temperature is expected to be 69 degrees by kickoff with 17 mph winds out of the North/Northwest and wind gusts up to 32 mph . This could affect coaching decisions, as a coach is less likely to attempt a long field goal the windier it is. Keep an eye on the weather report as kickoff nears.

TEXANS VS. BEARS INJURY REPORT

HOUSTON TEXANS      
PlayerPositionInjuryWedThuFriGame Status
Maliek CollinsDTKneeDNPLPDNPQuestionable
Jerry HughesDENot Injury Related - RestDNP(-)(-)(-)
Brevin JordanTEAnkleDNPDNPDNPOut
Isaac YiadomCBThighDNPDNPDNPOut
Blake CashmanLBHipLPFPFP(-)
Kamu Grugier-HillOLBNeckLPFPFP(-)
Davis MillsQBRight ThumbFPFPFP(-)
Pharaoh BrownTEShoulder(-)DNPFPQuestionable
Austin DeculusOTAnkle(-)LPDNPOut
Kurt HinishDLFoot(-)DNPDNPQuestionable
Steven NelsonCBNot Injury related - PersonalDNP(-)
CHICAGO BEARS
PlayerPositionInjuryWedThuFriGame Status
Dane CruikshankDBHamstringDNPDNPDNPOut
Ryan GriffinTEAchillesDNPDNPDNPOut
Velus Jones Jr.WRHamstringDNPLPLPDoubtful
Roquan SmithLBHipDNPDNPDNPQuestionable
Jaylon JohnsonDBQuad(-)LPDNPQuestionable
Matt AdamsLBHamstring(-)DNPDNPOut

BEARS OFFENSE VS TEXANS DEFENSE

Bears OStats (Rank)Texans D
15.5 (26)Points/Game18.0 (9)
216.0 (32)Yards/Game433.5 (31)
0.299 (20)Points/Play0.232 (4)
4.5 (29Yards/Play5.6 (17)
28.57% (27)3D Conversion %33.33% (8)
(25)4D Conversion %50.00% (11)
75.00% (7)RZ Scoring % (TD)28.57% (4)
2.0 (15)TDs/Game1.5 (5)

TEXANS OFFENSE VS. BEARS DEFENSE

Texans OStats (Rank)Bears D
14.5 (26)Points/Game18.5 (12)
266.5 (29)Yards/Game372.5 (22)
0.228 (29)Points/Play0.278 (9)
4.2 (32)Yards/Play5.6 (18)
25.00% (30)3D Conversion %50.00% (26)
33.33% (22)4D Conversion %(1)
50.00% (19)RZ Scoring % (TD)50.00% (11)
1.0 (29)TDs/Game2.0 (10)

BEARS VS TEXANS BETTING INSIGHTS

Why Bears Can Cover The Spread

Although Chicago got torched on the ground against Green Bay for 5.2 yards per carry, expect them to tighten the screws on the ground game against the Texans. Aaron Jones forces 13 missed tackles in Week 2, which was the most in the NFL. Rookie cornerback Kyler Gordon missed three big tackles on Jones that allowed him to pop off some big runs that changed the game. Gordon and the Bears defense get an easier assignment this week as they face a Texans team that only averages 3.4 yards per carry, which is bottom five in the NFL. Coincidently the Texans finished last season with 3.4 yards per carry, which was last in the NFL. Although it is early in the season, it would appear not much has changed year over year for the Texans run game.

Head coach Matt Eberflus’ defense could prove problematic for second year quarterback Davis Mills to pick apart. The base 4-3 defense he runs relies on the four defensive lineman to generate pressure on the opposing quarterback and that is exactly what the Bears have been able to do so far. The Bears defense has generated 26 pressures through two weeks, good for fourth most in the NFL. A staple of the Matt Eberflus’ defense is being able to generate pressure on the opposing quarterback while not blitzing. The Bears have only brought a blitz once through two weeks, and have generated a very high pressure rate even with trading top pass rusher Khalil Mack to the Chargers in the off-season. Expect the Bears defense to get pressure and force Davis Mills into some bad decisions on Sunday.

Why Texans Can Cover The Spread

Lovie Smith had this date circled on his calendar since the NFL schedule was released back in May. The former Bears head coach was fired back in 2012 after a 10-6 record, and missing the playoffs in five of the previous six seasons. Lovie will definitely have his team prepared to try and steal this game on the road from the lowly Bears.

Similarly to Matt Eberflus, Lovie changed the defense in Houston to a base 4-3, with the primary coverage being the Tampa 2 made famous by Tony Dungy during his time in Tampa Bay. Through two games the Bears have made it abundantly clear they do not trust Justin Fields, only allowing him to throw the ball 28 times. If the Texans can slow down David Montgomery and the Bears run game and force the Bears into third and long scenarios, the Texans could be looking at a very winnable game at Soldier Field.

One thing is for certain, the Bears are going to commit to the run in this game. The Texans defense held the Broncos to a below average rush EPA in Week 2. They need to commit to stopping the Bears run attack in order to cover this game and possibly win.

Reasons to bet the over

While these offenses have not been explosive this season, there is reason to believe the defenses will yield big plays on Sunday. The Bears defense was exposed in Week 2, allowing Green Bay’s offense to have a top five EPA per play. The Texans should be able to exploit some of the same matchups Green Bay was able to if their offensive line holds up.

This game features two rookie cornerbacks who have yielded the most receiving yards in the NFL through two weeks. The run games for both offenses should be complimented nicely if these two rookies are picked on again this week in the pass game.

Reasons to bet the under

Neither of these teams have eclipsed 20 points in their first two games of the season. With both offenses ranking bottom five in yards per play, there is little reason to believe they will suddenly explode and have a high scoring game this week.

The Bears own a below-average offensive pace in neutral situations (via Football Outsiders). Combine this with possible bad weather conditions in Chicago and we could see a low scoring matchup like we saw in Week 1 for the Bears against the 49ers. Texans – Bears odds feature one of the lowest totals on the board in Week 3.

TEXANS VS BEARS MATCHUPS TO WATCH FOR

Darnell Mooney vs Texans secondary

Rookie cornerback Derek Stingley has had a rough start to his NFL career. He has been targeted 19 times, while allowing 12 receptions for 168 yards in two games. He currently is graded as a bottom 10 coverage cornerback by PFF. Stingley could find himself being the first cornerback exposed by a sluggish Bears offense that is looking to jump start their top receiver Darnell Mooney.

Darnell Mooney receiving yards prop: Over/Under / ()

Bears offensive coordinator vs Texans defense

Even when trailing to the Packers by 14 points, Bears offensive coordinator Luke Getsy stayed committed to the run. Getsy is not likely to change this committal to the ground game, so look for a heavy dose of David Montgomery against the Texans. His rushing yards prop is set at at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Brandin Cooks vs Bears secondary

Brandin Cooks has been the primary target for Davis Mills with a team high 21 targets through two games. If the Texans are trailing late, look for them to turn to Cooks and get him matched up on Kyler Gordon. The rookie cornerback has yielded 233 receiving yards to the opponents he has lined up across from this season.

Brandin Cooks receiving yards prop: Over/Under / ()

FINAL THOUGHTS

As painful as it sounds, I think there is some value here with the Bears as favorites at -2.5 (-110). They were -3 (-110) favorites before the Week 2 matchup in Green Bay, but have since moved to -2.5 at some Sportsbooks.

The Bears could take money before kickoff Sunday and push this number back up to -3 at most Sportsbooks. Getting them under the key number of three right now has good value with a team so committed to running. Best of luck betting Texans – Bears odds this week.

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