NFL Week 3 Game Preview: Green Bay Packers At Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on September 25, 2022
Packers Bucs odds

The Green Bay Packers visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sept. 25. Primary markets for the game show the Bucs as spread favorites and on the moneyline. The point total is set at . Read on for a full analysis of Packers – Bucs odds.

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather and the best available NFL Week 3 odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Packers At Bucs Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

In this case, the Bucs would have to win by at least three points if you bet them to cover the point spread (-2.5). A spread bet on the Packers would win if they win the game or lose by one or two points. 

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

Packers At Bucs Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike bigger markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences in the numbers.

Packers At Bucs betting news & angles

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Packers – Bucs odds.

Packers At Bucs injury report

GREEN BAY PACKERS      
PlayerPositionInjuryWedThuFriGame Status
David BakhtiariOTKneeDNPLPLPQuestionable
Randall CobbWRIllnessDNPDNPDNPQuestionable
Elgton JenkinsGKneeLPLPFP(-)
Allen LazardWRAnkleLPDNPLP(-)
Marcedes LewisTEGroinLPDNPLPQuestionable
Sammy WatkinsWRHamstringLPDNPDNPOut
Christian WatsonWRHamstringLPDNPDNPQuestionable
Kenny ClarkNTGroin(-)LPLP(-)
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
PlayerPositionInjuryWedThuFriGame Status
Carlton Davis IIICBHipLPFPFP(-)
Leonard FournetteRBHamstringLPLPLPQuestionable
Russell GageWHamstringLPLPDNPQuestionable
Chris GodwinWRHamstringDNPDNPDNPOut
Robert HainseyCKneeLPFPFP(-)
Akiem HicksDTFootDNPDNPDNPOut
Julio JonesWRKneeDNPDNPLPQuestionable
Zyon McCollumHamstringFPFPFP(-)
Scotty MillerWRCalfLPFPFP(-)
Cade OttonTEPersonalDNPDNPDNPDoubtful
Breshad PerrimanWRKneeLPLPLPQuestionable
Donovan SmithTElbowDNPLPDNPDoubtful
Tom BradyQBRight Finger(-)(-)FP(-)
Lavonte DavidLBNIR - Rest(-)(-)DNP(-)

Additional Bucs injuries

Originally projected starters C Ryan Jensen and G Aaron Stinnie remain out on IR. Additionally, WR Mike Evans faces a one-game suspension and will miss this game pending an appeal.

Packers offense vs. Bucs defense

Packers OStats (Rank)Bucs D
17 (23)Points/Gm6.5 (1)
0.268 (23)Points/Play0.1 (1)
376 (11)Yards/Gm276 (5)
219 (20)Pass Yards/Gm189.5 (8)
157 (6)Rush Yards/Gm86.5 (9)
5.9 (8)Yards/Play4.2 (3)
6.8 (11)Yards/Pass4.6 (3)
5.6 (3)Yards/Rush4.6 (19)
35.71 (20)3rd Down %25 (2)
44.44 (11)Red Zone TD %50 (11)
1.5 (17)Turnovers/Gm3 (3)
9.86 (28)QB Sacked %10.87 (3)

Bucs offense vs. Packers defense

Bucs OStats (Rank)Packers D
19.5 (18)Points/Gm16.5 (7)
0.307 (18)Points/Play0.324 (15)
303.5 (24)Yards/Gm311.5 (10)
191.5 (23)Pass Yards/Gm158.5 (4)
112 (13)Rush Yards/Gm153 (27)
4.8 (26)Yards/Play6.1 (26)
6.3 (17)Yards/Pass7.4 (25)
3.6 (26)Yards/Rush5.6 (29)
32.26 (22)3rd Down %25 (2)
25 (30)Red Zone TD %40 (7)
1 (10)Turnovers/Gm0.5 (23)
4.69 (12)QB Sacked %8.51 (8)

Packers At Bucs betting insights

Why The Packers Can Cover The Spread

Who will Tom Brady have to throw to? Late-career Brady needs a pristine environment around him. Between the weakened offensive line and a receiving corps that may lack any or all of Chris Godwin (injured), Mike Evans (potentially suspended) and Julio Jones (injured), Brady may be left trying to create a masterpiece with cheap crayons. The Packers have an equally suspect receiving corps, but at least the main pieces are healthy and starting to build chemistry with Aaron Rodgers. Also, the offense looked significantly better with a healthier dose of Aaron Jones.

Why The Bucs Can Cover The Spread

Tampa Bay has seemed to have Aaron Rodgers’ number the last couple of years. They utterly destroyed a much more talented Green Bay offense in the 2020 regular season and then squeaked out a hotly contested playoff game. A combination of defensive pressure on Rodgers and physical cornerback play has caused Rodgers to hold the ball too long and take some sacks or fire it late into coverage. If Green Bay’s premium tackles Elgton Jenkins and David Bakhtiari remain sidelined and/or ineffective, watch out.

Reasons To Bet The Over

A total in the low 40s between Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady? This would have been in the 50s a couple of years ago. How times have changed. You’re certainly buying low on both offenses playing an over here. They get to play in pristine conditions on a hot Florida day. If Evans’ appeal either wins or pushes the suspension back, that also helps the over quite a bit.

Reasons To Bet The Under

Tampa Bay is still pounding the rock at a much, much higher rate than last season, ranking just outside the bottom five in pass play rate. And the Packers seem (rightfully) committed to getting touches to their RBs via handoffs and short passes, since those are the two most talented players they have moving the ball from scrimmage. Both defenses look very stout on paper even if the Packers have had some issues early.

Packers At Bucs matchups to watch for

Packers Tackles vs. Bucs EDGEs

Elgton Jenkins returned to the lineup for Green Bay but did not have a great debut, garnering a 58.2 grade (he was in the 80s last season). Meanwhile, David Bakhtiari continues to remain on the mend after tearing his ACL. He has missed a concerning amount of time, having only a 27-snap cameo in 2021. Who knows what he has left. The Packers line must protect Rodgers, lest he shell up as he has in the first two games (seven sacks taken).

Packers Defensive Plan vs. Tom Brady

Tom Brady can’t move but can still pick apart any zone if you give him enough time. The Packers have a blitz rate that would have been among the bottom 10 last season. Minnesota exploited their secondary giving too much space to Justin Jefferson. The Packers may need a more aggressive game plan here.

Aaron Jones vs. Bucs LBs

Aaron Jones has been a premier receiving back over recent seasons, burning linebackers with regularity. He has racked up more than 1,500 yards and 13 TDs through the air across the equivalent of about four seasons. He has especially needed to thrive in this role since the emergence of AJ Dillon as an important cog in the offense, not to mention the exit of top WR Davante Adams. The Bucs LBs are a mixed bag in coverage with Lavonte David excelling and Devin White having some moments but also playing himself out of position at times. Packers WRs do not have a favorable matchup here, so Jones needs to do some damage.

Final thoughts

This is a tricky matchup to handicap simply due to the number of uncertain players, particularly on the Bucs side. This offense becomes drastically more dangerous with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Julio Jones as opposed to Russell Gage, Breshad Perriman and the newly signed Cole Beasley.

Keep an eye on the status of both LTs here as well. Donovan Smith missed the last game for the Bucs, while David Bakhtiari looks like he’s facing an uncertain future. Maybe he returns to All-Pro form, but after such a long layoff, that seems difficult to imagine. Ultimately, the Bucs do have some stylistic advantages, but if they find themselves too short-handed, Green Bay might put the better team on the field. Best of luck handicapping Packers Bucs odds.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah