NFL Week 3 Game Preview: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns Odds

Written By Eli Hershkovich on September 22, 2022
Brown Steelers Odds

The Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Cleveland Browns at 8:20 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sept. 22. This primetime game to kick off NFL Week 3 odds showcases the Browns as spread favorites and on the moneyline. The point total is set at . Read more for a full analysis on Browns – Steelers odds.

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on Thursday Night Football odds, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds. Click on Browns – Steelers odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Browns vs. Steelers Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table above, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting on the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a “minus” sign is the favorite. The Browns would need at least a five-point if you bet on Cleveland to cover the point spread (-4.5). A spread bet on the Steelers would win if Pittsburgh wins the game outright or loses by four points or fewer.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game.

Browns vs. Steelers Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. 

Browns vs. Steelers Betting News

As of Wednesday evening, the Steelers have manufactured 66% of the spread tickets and 65% of the overall handle, respectively. This data comes from BetMGM Sportsbook, which has Pittsburgh priced at after initially opening at +3.5. Additional updates can be found below.

Browns vs. Steelers Weather Report

The forecast shows that the conditions may impact this matchup, as the temperature should settle in at 60 degrees by kickoff — with winds up to 22 mph. You should be wary of allowing the potential weather to impact your handicap, though, unless it’s similar to the 49ers at Bears torrential downpour that we witnessed in Week 1.

Browns vs. Steelers Injury Report

 PositionInjuryMonday*TuesdayWednesdayGame Status
CLEVELAND BROWNS
Joel BitonioGBicepsDNPDNPLP-
Harrison BryantTEThumb, ThighDNPLPFP-
Jadeveon ClowneyDEAnkleDNPDNPDNPOut
Jack ConklinOTKneeLPLPLP-
Chris HubbardOTIllnessDNPLPLP-
Isaiah ThomasDEHandFPFPFP-
PITTSBURGH STEELERS
PlayerPositionInjuryMonday*TuesdayWednesddayGame Status
Devin BushILBFootLPFPFP-
Minkah FitzpatrickFSLower Leg CrampsFPFPLP-

Browns Offense vs. Steelers Defense

Browns' OStats (Ranked)Steelers' D
28.0 (7)Points/Game18.5 (12)
380.0 (9)Yards/Game404.0 (25)
0.403 (8)Points/Play0.231 (3)
5.5 (14)Yards/Play5.1 (12)
53.33% (4)3D Conversion %51.52% (28)
50.00% (12)4D Conversion %33.33% (9)
55.56% (18)RZ Scoring % (TD)37.50% (6)
3.0 (9)TDs/Game2.0 (10)

Steelers Offense vs. Browns Defense

Steelers' OStats (Ranked)Browns' D
18.5 (19)Points/Game27.5 (26)
255.0 (30)Yards/Game331.5 (15)
0.311 (17)Points/Play0.470 (27)
4.3 (30)Yards/Play5.7 (19)
40.00% (16)3D Conversion %46.15% (23)
N/A4D Conversion %100.00% (24)
50.00% (19)RZ Scoring % (TD)71.43% (22)
1.5 (22)TDs/Game3.5 (24)

Browns vs. Steelers Betting Insights

Why Browns Can Cover The Spread

Cleveland received positive injury news on Wednesday, as defensive end Myles Garrett (neck), along with offensive linemen Jack Conklin (knee) and Joe Bitonio (biceps), are expected to suit up. In fact, Conklin — one of the league’s best right tackles — will be making his season debut.

Moreover, Kevin Stefanski’s offense should possess a significant advantage at the line of scrimmage. That’s especially the case with edge rusher T.J. Watt (torn pectoral muscle) on IR.

After Pittsburgh surrendered the 11th-highest Rushing EPA over the first two weeks — one of those games in which Watt was in the lineup — Cleveland tailbacks Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt should be licking their chops.

In theory, you’re also collecting a bit of market value, as the Browns coughed up a double-digit lead with two minutes left. If Chubb didn’t find the end zone at that juncture, Cleveland is likely 2-0 while sitting alone atop the AFC North standings.

Why Steelers Can Cover The Spread

As poor as Pittsburgh’s run defense may perform, Cleveland has yielded its fair share of explosive plays through the air. Joe Woods’ unit is allowing the fifth-highest Dropback EPA thus far, coming against Baker Mayfield and Joe Flacco.

However, quarterback play doesn’t get much worse than Mitch Trubisky, who has manufactured the seventh-lowest Completion Percentage Over Expected (CPOE). As my colleague Mo Nuwwara explained on the latest “Beat The Closing Line” podcast, that metric revolves around the QB’s individual performance, isolating itself from the opponent.

Even without Jadeveon Clowney (ankle), Garrett and the rest of the Browns’ pass rush will force Trubisky into plenty of erratic throws — if he wasn’t intending on accruing them already.

Related: Super Bowl 57 Odds

Reasons To Bet The Over

Given what I previously mentioned about the Steelers’ offense, betting the over would purely be a play on an under-inflated total. This market opened at 40.5, undergoing a two-point adjustment because Pittsburgh has produced the ninth-lowest EPA per play.

Still, both of these teams own an above-average offensive pace in neutral situations (via Football Outsiders). If the scoreboard remains neck-and-neck throughout, we could see this total go over.

Reasons To Bet The Under

If you’re fine with losing value in the shortened total, this game script sets up to be run-heavy on both sides — unless Pittsburgh fall into an early hole. But while that scenario could indeed occur, Cleveland would be in position to milk the clock in the process. Hence, you could aim to bet this market with an in-game strategy, targeting the second-half total.

Should you be inclined to study trends, unders on Thursday Night Football are 13-5 since the beginning of the 2021 season. Couple that with the aforementioned wind variance, and this side of the total could very well be the correct angle.

Final Thoughts

Unfortunately, I won’t have any bets on this game. The betting market has already bet down the total enough, making the under much less appealing. Nevertheless, I’d consider using the Browns in your survivor picks this week.

Eli Hershkovich Avatar
Written by
Eli Hershkovich

Eli Hershkovich is a lead sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media, formerly with Audacy and The Action Network. His goal is to provide you with data and information to lead you to winning bets. Eli is an avid college basketball gambler — among many other sports — and still hasn't forgiven Virginia for ruining his 2018-2019 Texas Tech futures.

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