NFL Week 3 Game Preview: Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots

Written By Derek Wagner on September 23, 2022 - Last Updated on September 24, 2022
ravens patriots odds

The Baltimore Ravens (1-1) visit the New England Patriots (1-1) at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sept. 25. This game features the Ravens are spread favorites and on the moneyline. Ravens Patriots odds feature a total set at .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather, sportsbook promos and the best available odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Ravens – Patriots Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Total

When using the odds table, click the dropdown menu in the upper left corner and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a minus sign is the favorite. The Ravens would have to win by at least 3 points if you bet on Ravens to cover the point spread (-3). A spread bet on the Patriots would win if New England wins the game or loses by 1 or 2 points. 

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

For more betting news and analysis for Week 3, click on the green NFL Game Previews button at the top of this post.

Editor’s Note

Ravens vs. Patriots player props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter to find the best available prices in Ravens Patriots odds. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. 

Ravens vs. Patriots betting news & angles

Baltimore opened as 3-point favorites at Foxborough in Ravens – Patriots odds. However, -2.5 started to show up on Wednesday at both FanDuel and DraftKings Sportsbooks. The Patriots have won four of the last five regular season matchups against the Ravens, including 3-0 at home in that same time span. Additional updates can be found below.

Ravens vs. Patriots weather

The forecast in Foxborough calls for 70 degrees and 8 mph winds at kickoff. Weather should not have an impact on this game. Keep an eye on the forecast though in case anything changes.

Ravens vs. Patriots injury report

BALTIMORE RAVENS      
PlayerPositionInjuryWedThuFriGame Status
Calais CampbellDENIR-RestDNP(-)(-)(-)
J.K. DobbinsRBKneeFPFPFPQuestionable
Devin DuvernayWRConcussionDNPLPFP(-)
Justin HoustonOLBNIR-RestDNP(-)(-)(-)
Marlon HumphreyCBGroinDNPLPFPQuestionable
Lamar JacksonQBRight ElbowLPFPFP(-)
Travis JonesDTKneeFPFPFP(-)
Isaiah LikelyTEGroinLPLPLPQuestionable
Marcus PetersCBNIR-RestDNPLPFPQuestionable
James ProcheWRGroinLPLPFPQuestionable
Ronnie StanleyOTAnkleLPLPDNPDoubtful
Brandon StephensCBQuadLPLPFPQuestionable
Damarion WilliamsCBAnkleLPLPFPQuestionable
Rashod BatemanWRNIR-Personal(-)(-)DNP(-)
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
PlayerPositionInjuryWedThuFriGame Status
Kyle DuggerSKneeDNPDNPLPQuestionable
Jakobi MeyersWRKneeDNPDNPLPQuestionable
Joshuah BledsoeSAFGroinLPLPLPQuestionable
Cody DavisDBCalfLPLPLPQuestionable
Davon GodchauxNTBackLPLPLPQuestionable
Raekwon McMillanMLBThumbLPLPDNPQuestionable
DaMarcus MitchellDEKneeLPLP(-)(-)
Adrian PhillipsDBRibsLPLPLPQuestionable
Jalen MillsCBHamstringLPLPQuestionable

Ravens offense vs Patriots defense

Ravens OStats (Rank)Patriots D
31.0 (4)Points/Game17 (8)
373.5 (12)Yards/Game275.0 (4)
0.579 (3)Points/Play0.291 (11)
7.0 (1)Yards/Play4.7 (8)
34.78% (18)3D Conversion %48.28% (25)
33.33% (22)4D Conversion %100.00% (24)
60.00% (15)RZ Scoring % (TD)25.00% (3)
4.0 (4)TDs/Game1.5 (5)

Patriots offense vs Ravens defense

Patriots OStats (Rank)Ravens D
12.0 (29)Points/Game25.5%(23)
323.5 (22)Yards/Game463.5 (32)
0.200 (30)Points/Play0.345 (20)
5.4 (16)Yards/Play6.3 (27)
50.00% (7)3D Conversion %36.00% (14)
– – (25)4D Conversion %83.33% (22)
50.00% (19)RZ Scoring % (TD)83.33% (29)
1.5 (22)TDs/Game3.5 (24)

Ravens vs Patriots betting insights

Why the Ravens can cover the spread

The Ravens bolster one of the best offenses in the NFL through two weeks, ranking sixth in offensive EPA and second in dropback EPA. Its hard to imagine the Patriots being able to slow down the air attack of the Ravens on Sunday while also keeping Lamar in the pocket.

The Patriots defense through two weeks ranks bottom 10 in coverage according to PFF. They were lucky enough in Week 2 to face Mitch Trubisky who has struggled his entire NFL career reading zone coverages. This week they won’t be so lucky, facing one of the most explosive passing offenses in the league so far in the Ravens.

The Ravens have a slight edge at the line of scrimmage, as they are top five in the NFL in pressures through two weeks, led by linebacker Justin Houston with five. Look for the Ravens to dial up blitzes on passing situations Sunday, as Mike Macdonald’s defense is third in total blitzes brought this year.

The Ravens offense ranks first in yards per play so far this season, and fourth in points per game. To put it simply, they have been an offensive juggernaut with Lamar Jackson in a contract year. Look for Lamar to try and steer the Ravens back in the win column after a disappointing loss the Dolphins in Week 2.

Why the Patriots can cover the spread

The Patriots do not have explosive receivers that can create separation, but that may not matter right now against the Ravens secondary. Through two games, the Ravens defense has yielded the eleventh-highest Dropback EPA in the NFL. Injuries have derailed the Ravens secondary though, as Kyle Fuller suffered a torn ACL Week1, and Marcus Peters is still easing back into play after his ACL injury last season. Marcus Peters was on a snap count Week 2, but nonetheless, played very poorly in coverage against Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill. If Peters is rushing back, the Patriots could take advantage on Sunday.

Through two weeks, home underdogs are 9-5-1 ATS. Although trends like this aren’t worth making a bet on by themselves, it is worth noting that the home dogs have been valuable early on. Foxborough has certainly not been an easy place to play for the Ravens either, losing their last three meetings there.

The Ravens defense is allowing the seventh-highest EPA per play so far this season. The Patriots should be able to move the ball through the air and on the ground with ease in this game.

Reasons to bet the over

The combination of the Ravens efficient offense and their lackluster defense through two weeks is enough to bet the over in this game. They are first on yards per play, and bottom ten in defensive yards allowed per play.

The Ravens have not been able to stop anyone in the redzone yet this season, yielding a touchdown on 83% of opponents trips inside the 20 yard line. If the Patriots offense can get inside the twenty, the Ravens defense might not be able to slow them down.

Reasons to bet the under

Through 32 games this season, the under is 22-10. Although we are due for regression the other way soon, this trend is worth noting regardless.

We have seen plenty of teams struggle to score when getting inside the redzone this year. This game could be no different as the Patriots currently are the third best redzone defense in the NFL through two weeks, only allowing a touchdown to opponents 25% of the time. If the Ravens are unable to fix their run game, the redzone could be an issue for Lamar Jackson and company against this stout run defense.

Both of these teams own a below-average offensive pace in neutral situations (via Football Outsiders). If these teams struggle to convert in the redzone, we could see the clock run out and the under come home.

Ravens vs. Patriots props: Mathchups to watch for

Patriots WRs vs. Injured Ravens Secondary

The Ravens secondary is in shambles, as Marcus Peters struggled in Week 2 and Marlon Humphrey was a DNP in practice on Wednesday. If Humphrey cannot go, look for Brandon Stephens or Damarion Williams to get extra snaps. Neither of the two have fared well in coverage so far, so look for the Patriots to exploit them if that is the case.

Jakobi Meyers to score a touchdown:

Lamar Jackson Rushing vs. Patriots Front Seven

The Ravens through two weeks are bottom five in rush EPA in the NFL. If J.K. Dobbins is still sidelined and Lamar does not utilize his legs, the Ravens could become a one dimensional team in this game. Subtracting Lamar’s performance in Week 2, the Ravens had 16 rushes for 36 yards. Simply not good enough. Keep an eye on rushing yards props as sportsbooks release them closer to game time.

Lamar Jackson rushing yards prop: Over/Under / ()

Final thoughts

I don’t expect the Patriots to be able to keep up with the Ravens offense in this one. The Patriots also don’t have the offensive firepower to take advantage of the Ravens secondary like the Dolphins had last week. I’m comfortable betting Ravens -2.5. Best of luck navigating Ravens Patriots odds.

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