Week 2 NFL Betting Upset Predictions To Consider For Longshot Parlays & Pick ‘Em Pools
Do we have the annual overreaction week on our hands? With NFL Week 2 odds shifting quickly, we’ve seen an assortment of underdogs attract interest. That’s no surprise. However, their odds haven’t depreciated much at NFL betting sites, considering the bounce-back notion among favorites ahead of this slate of games. If you’re intrigued by the potential payout longshots in parlays (and same-game parlays), here are three plus-money teams to ponder over. Keep in mind that this two- or three-team parlay doesn’t represent a personal wager on my betting card. Be on the lookout for my best bets column by following TheLines on Twitter.
Click any of the odds below to place a bet at the best sports betting sites. These prices are the best available in your state.
los Angeles chargers at Tennessee titans
Although Chargers odds took a dip in the futures market after their loss to the Dolphins, there were some potential long-term concerns that arose. Most importantly, Justin Herbert delivered an average depth of target (also known as aDot) of 7.5 yards. That ranked No. 16 among qualified quarterbacks — behind the likes of Sam Howell, Jimmy Garoppolo, Bryce Young, and Mac Jones. For context, this metric portrays the average number of yards down the field a player is being targeted.
Despite an extremely small sample size, Herbert’s aDot is up a half-yard from 2022. Nevertheless, the expectation was for new offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi to heighten it even further. Considering whether Herbert will actually take advantage of Tennessee’s vulnerable secondary is a fair query at this juncture.
Moreover, Titans coach Mike Vrabel is 23-9 (71.8%) against the spread as an underdog of three points or greater. They’ve gone 20-20 straight up amid that span. Vrabel will go toe-to-toe against the at-times incompetent Brandon Staley, so the coaching mismatch makes it an alluring NFL betting wager on its own.
Whether Titans QB Ryan Tannehill rebounds from his lackluster performance will go a long way in determining the outcome. He finished No. 23 in EPA per dropback during Week 1. Additionally, Trylon Burks and DeAndre Hopkins — Tannehill’s top two receivers — both missed practice on Wednesday.
seattle seahawks at Detroit lions
While Seattle was viewed as a contender to upend San Francisco among NFC West odds, it opened the season by laying a dud against another divisional rival. Backers of the Seahawks’ odds saw Geno Smith & Co. pick up one first down in the final 30 minutes. That said, they managed to post the 12th-most EPA per play across the league. Assuming Seattle wideouts D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett don’t accrue as many drops as the Chiefs’ receivers did against the Lions, Seattle will be live to pull off the road upset.
Furthermore, the look-ahead spread was under the key number of a field goal. Bettors who initially bought into the Seahawks may appraise that shift to be an overadjustment. Pete Carroll’s team is currently an underdog of .
- Super Bowl odds for the 2023 NFL season
Chicago bears at tampa bay buccaneers
Some bettors were bullish on Bears odds this offseason, especially with third-year QB Justin Fields positioned in the 20-1 range among NFL MVP odds. Fields — nor his teammates — delivered upon those priors, generating the 11th-fewest EPA per play in Week 1. As a result, his price tag to win the award has been raised to .
But if you’re bearish on Buccaneers odds, wagering on Chicago at a key number could be worthwhile. Don’t forget that Tampa Bay was outgained by 2.3 yards per play (YPP) in Minnesota despite recording an outright win as a four-point underdog. Baker Mayfield wasn’t ultra-impressive in his Tampa debut, either, getting bailed out by the Bucs’ defensive pressure on his counterpart Kirk Cousins. They compiled a trio of takeaways in the process.
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