NFL Week 2 Preview: Bears At Packers Sunday Night Football Odds

Written By Brett Gibbons on September 17, 2022
Bears Packers odds

The Chicago Bears (1-0) visit the Green Bay Packers (0-1) on Sunday Night Football for Week 2. Kickoff is at Lambeau Field, set for 8:20 p.m. The Packers are comfortable home favorites and on the moneyline. The point total is set at .

In this article we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather, and the best available Bears at Packers odds.

Bears At Packers Betting Odds

To place a bet, click on the odds in the table below. Toggle between point spread, total, and moneyline in the dropdown menu.

Bears At Packers Player Props

Search for NFL player props by typing a player’s name in the table below. Be sure to compare across books to get the most advantageous number for your prop bet.

Bears At Packers Betting News & Angles

Bears At Packers Weather

As of Thursday, Sept. 15, the forecast in Green Bay calls for 79º and 9-10 mph winds at kickoff. There is rain in the forecast, with a 40-50% chance during the game projected. Stay informed with the local weather conditions as kickoff nears.

Bears At Packers Injury Report

PlayerPositionInjuryWedThuFriGame Status
David BakhtiariOTKneeLPDNPLPQuestionable
Jake HansonGShoulderFPFPFP(-)
Elgton JenkinsGKneeLPLPFPQuestionable
Allen LazardWRAnkleLPLPLPQuestionable
Keisean NixonDBShoulderFPFPFP(-)
Jon RunyanGConcussionDNPDNPLPQuestionable
Quay WalkerILBShoulderFPFPFP(-)
Marcedes LewisTENIR - Vet Rest(-)DNPFP(-)
Velus Jones Jr.WRHamstringLPDNPDNPDoubtful
Riley ReiffOLShoulderLPFPFP(-)
Khari BlasingameRBNIR - Personal(-)DNPFP(-)

Bears Offense Vs. Packers Defense

Bears OStats (Rank)Packers D
19.0 (22nd)Points/Gm23.0 (#20)
0.339 (17th)Points/Play0.377 (23rd)
204.0 (32nd)Yards/Gm395.0 (25th)
105.0 (32nd)Pass Yards/Gm269.0 (24th)
99.0 (18th)Rush Yards/Gm126.0 (21st)
3.6 (32nd)Yards/Play6.5 (27th)
6.2 (21st)Yards/Pass8.4 (30th)
2.7 (31st)Yards/Rush4.5 (15th)
35.7% (20th)3rd Down %30.8% (8th)
100.0% (t-1st)Red Zone TD %33.3% (5th)
1.0 (t-8th)Turnovers0.0 (t-26th)
2.0 (11th)Sacks1.0 (23rd)

Packers Offense Vs. Bears Defense

Packers OStats (Rank)Eagles D
7.0 (30th)Points/Gm10.0 (5th)
0.115 (30th)Points/Play0.149 (5th)
338.0 (19th)Yards/Gm331.0 (13th)
227.0 (16th)Pass Yards/Gm155.0 (3rd)
111.0 (15th)Rush Yards/Gm176.0 (26th)
5.5 (16th)Yards/Play4.9 (#10)
5.8 (23rd)Yards/Pass5.5 (7th)
6.2 (5th)Yards/Rush4.8 (20th)
33.3% (22nd)3rd Down %47.1% (24th)
33.3% (24th)Red Zone TD %33.3% (5th)
2.0 (20th)Turnovers2.0 (7th)
4.0 (25th)Sacks2.0 (13th)

Bears At Packers Betting Insights

Why the Packers can cover the spread

It’s pretty clear who the better team in this rivalry is. Over the past two seasons (four meetings), the Packers average margin of victory is 15 points. Since 2010, Green Bay is 21-4 against Chicago, with all four of those losses coming by one score. Despite different personnel and coaching, one thing’s remained constant: Aaron Rodgers’ complete and utter dominance of the Bears.

The Packers quickly found themselves behind against the Vikings in Week 1. That negative game script forced them to throw the ball more often than they would have liked since, as a team, they rushed for 6.2 yards a carry (including 9.8 from Aaron Jones). Returning home and without a true game changer like Justin Jefferson across the way, the Packers should be much more in control of this game.

Why The Bears can cover the spread

The Packers’ secondary was torched by Jefferson. While no one on Chicago is of that same caliber, they do have plenty of burners like Darnell Mooney that could give Green Bay’s secondary fits. Justin Field also has shown a propensity for launching the ball downfield since his days at Ohio State. A couple quick-hitters to Mooney or Dante Pettis could get this game going in the Bears’ favor early on.

The other half of the equation is that Chicago was spotted a lot of points. Six of the 16 games on the Week 1 slate finished in double-digit spreads with six underdogs winning outright (and Houston with a tie). This isn’t the most high-powered Packers team and the Bears grabbed a gutty win in nasty conditions last week.

Reasons to bet the over

The first and biggest reason is that this total is one of the lowest on the week. It’s for good reason, as the Packers’ passing attack couldn’t get anything going against the Vikings. Until a true go-to receiver emerges for Green Bay, their games are going to be handicapped with low totals. But with low, reactionary totals comes the opportunity to bet the over.

At +10 and 41.5 points, the Bears’ implied team total sits at 15.8– a mark they surpassed in unplayable conditions last week. Green Bay’s defense isn’t anything to be scared off of and Chicago showed big-play potential at times. A little juice behind the Bears’ passing game could push this total over the low-water mark.

Reasons to bet the under

The Bears still have one of the most talent-deficient skill position group in the NFL and the Packers showed their offense can disappear. Even with such a low total, these offenses could piece together a real stinker. Last week, just seven games combined for more than 41 points– the total necessary to go over on this total. Early-season offenses need time to gel, especially with the high turnover rate we saw this offseason.

While every matchup last year went well over 41 points between these two teams, the Packers are down star receiver Davante Adams, who now plays for the Raiders. Betting against talent-depreciated rosters is a solid bet to make.

Bears At Packers Props: Matchups To Watch For

Darnell Mooney vs. Eric Stokes: Not Jaire Alexander? Nope– the Packers All Pro corner didn’t see much action on the Vikings’ Justin Jefferson last week. While the reasoning wasn’t made clear, it’s possible he doesn’t cover the speedy Mooney this week either. Eric Stokes, a second-year out of Georgia, clocked a blazing 4.24 40-yard dash at the Combine. It’s more likely we see Stokes tail Mooney than Alexander.

While last week was a nature disaster, Fields connected on three of his four downfield targets (20+ yards), including two for TDs. It wasn’t Mooney on the receiving end of it that time, but as weather improves, he’s going to resume being the favorite downfield receiver.

  • Best available receiving yards:

Aaron Jones vs. Bears linebackers/safeties: Chicago has had success bottling up Jones in multiple matchups throughout the years, particularly through the air. In the past three seasons, Jones has never hit 80 yards rushing or 50 yards receiving in any game against the Bears. Last week, he didn’t get much work but was ultra-efficient when the ball was in his hands. Jones averaged 9.8 yards per carry and 9.0 yards per reception (five targets!), but ultimately had just eight touches in total.

  • Best available total yardage:

Aaron Rodgers vs. Bears ownership: According to Rodgers last season, Virginia Halas McCaskey is not the owner of the Bears, rather Rodgers himself. Jokes aside, Rodgers has eviscerated the Bears for his entire career, averaging over 240 passing yards (7.7 per attempt), 2.3 TDs, and 0.4 interceptions; in fact, Rodgers hasn’t tossed a pick against the Bears in three seasons. Despite a no-name cast of receivers, Chicago doesn’t roster any better a secondary than they have in recent years and Rodgers is poised to have another day.

  • Best available passing yardage:

Final Thoughts

Leaning too far into giving anyone the benefit of the doubt despite major turnover can be a losing strategy. But when it’s Aaron Rodgers versus the Bears, that’s tough not to do. His career marks against Chicago speak for themselves and endures him losing multiple top receivers. Green Bay has the speed in their secondary to take away the Bears’ most successful play– a downfield pass.

But, there’s no way I’m laying 10 whole points after what we saw from these teams in Week 1. It’s a safe bet to take the points with the Bears, though that’s not an endorsement for them to win outright. Hell, they may not even be in control of this game at any point and still cover a 10-point spread.

As we saw with matchups like Indianapolis-Houston and Denver-Seattle, double-digit spreads can be deceiving. Nine of 16 matchups finishing within 10 points of each other from last week is a good benchmark to prove that.

The talent gap between these rosters (sans QB) isn’t so dramatic that it’s worth thinking about taking the Packers going away.

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Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

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