Jaguars vs. Chiefs Preview: Best NFL Week 2 Betting Site Odds, Promos
The Kansas City Chiefs (0-1) visit the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0) at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sept. 17. Chiefs odds show Kansas City is a spread favorite and on the moneyline, with Jaguars odds at as the best price for Jacksonville to win across sports betting sites. The point total is set at . In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on Jaguars vs. Chiefs odds.
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Betting Odds
NFL Week 2 odds are explained below. Know what you’re betting before you bet it. You may click any of the odds in this post to navigate to the sportsbook to place a bet.
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Props
The Travis Kelce injury situation makes this game a fascinating one from a prop betting perspective. His absence caused a miserable game for the KC offense in Week 1. Is a repeat in the cards if he sits, and how does his potential return affect both Patrick Mahomes and the KC division of targets?
I’m eyeing a couple of potential prop plays, partially based on that, and partially based on how the Jags divvied up their own target share.
Patrick Mahomes Under 37.5 Longest Completion
The way teams defend the Chiefs these days compels Mahomes to throw shorter more often than he’d undoubtedly like. And while the Chiefs do have one legitimate deep threat in Marquez Valdes-Scantling, he hasn’t shown consistent chemistry with Mahomes on deep routes despite more than a year in the system.
Even with a suspect group of Jacksonville defensive backs lined up across from the Chiefs, I’m skeptical Mahomes will be willing and able to beat them deep. For one thing, that probably requires someone to make a potentially tough catch on a ball in flight. That prospect seems far less than 50/50 with this group. For another, even if Kelce returns, he does much more damage on intermediate routes.
Big plays have been missing from KC’s offense for awhile now due to opposition scheme changes, and the personnel issues at the moment only exacerbate that. Therefore, I’m liking Under 37.5 for KC’s long pass completion.
Christian Kirk Over 37.5 Receiving Yards
Despite a pretty decent day from the Jacksonville passing offense — 237 yards on 32 attempts — Christian Kirk was essentially a Week 1 ghost. After he served as the clear WR1 in 2022 — albeit often from the slot — Kirk drew just three targets and tallied 9 yards.
Calvin Ridley starred instead, with Zay Jones serving as a worthy second banana.
Typically after games like this from an established player, I expect the coaching staff to make an effort to get that player more involved the following week. It’s understandable since they want to keep that player happy.
Combine that with getting more than 10 yards of discount from his Week 1 number, and I think buying low on Kirk’s receiving yardage looks warranted.
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Player Props
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Jaguars vs. Chiefs weather
TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Fla., is forecast to see 86-degree weather on Sunday afternoon. Winds should be fairly calm at 5 to 10 mph, but a 50% chance of rain exists.
Given that the Chiefs had enough trouble hanging onto the rock in better conditions in Week 1, this could be a situation to monitor going forward. A rainy day may only exacerbate the issues catching the ball.
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Injury Report
NFL teams finalize their injury reports two days before a game and denote whether a player is questionable, doubtful or out. Practice participation is also logged throughout the week. Here is the Chiefs injury report and Jaguars injury report for this week.
Starters On The Injury Report
Travis Kelce sat out Week 1, and the Chiefs offense suffered for it. While backup Noah Gray played an acceptable game, the receivers pressed into higher roles completely flopped, with Kadarius Toney notably torpedoing the game with multiple drops including one for a pick-six. If Kelce misses this game, Jacksonville’s chances to win rise a decent amount.
Chiefs Offense vs. Jaguars Defense
The juggernaut Chiefs offense had its way with the Jags in 2022 across two home meetings. Patrick Mahomes went for six touchdowns and one turnover while gaining more than 8 YPA passing. Even a cameo appearance from Chad Henne famously resulted in a long scoring drive during the playoff meeting after Mahomes injured his ankle.
Putrid Week 1 performance notwithstanding, there’s little reason to expect differently in this spot. Despite a very forgiving Week 1 assignment against a rookie head coach and rookie QB, the Jags allowed several lengthy drives to the Colts. Only a defensive stand near their goal line held the Colts under 20 points on offense.
However, much hinges on the health of Travis Kelce. The KC pass catchers largely embarrassed themselves in the opening game, and this isn’t a very strong group on paper without their leader. Another similar performance could sink the best laid plays and plans of Mahomes and Andy Reid.
Jaguars Offense vs. Chiefs Defense
The weakness of this Jaguars group is along the offensive line, particularly in this early part of the season while LT Cam Robinson serves a suspension.
That makes this a particularly opportune time for the Chiefs to bring star DL Chris Jones back into the fold after the two sides settled a contract dispute. Given the relative weakness of this Chiefs rush, Jones represents a massive piece, not to mention the help he brings a run defense that got beaten at times by a strong Lions front.
At the same time, it’s anyone’s guess where Jones sits in terms of game fitness. He may not be ready to handle his normal snap count.
On the outside, the Jaguars pass catchers did quite well at times against KC in 2022. Zay Jones in particular excelled with 13 catches for 151 yards across the meetings. Add in what looks to be prime Calvin Ridley to the mix, and this Chiefs pass rush will probably need to get home in order for the team to slow Trevor Lawrence. Look for that battle up front to determine who successful the Jaguars ultimately end up.
Reasons To Bet The OVer/Under
Unsurprisingly with a pair of marquee QBs leading high-octane (usually) passing attacks, this game boasts the highest over/under in NFL Week 2 odds.
The conditions could certainly have some bearing on how many fireworks we see. With rain in the forecast, both coaches might try to minimize the risk of mistakes and lean a little more heavily on their running games than expected.
That, plus the Chiefs just looking generally out of sync on offense, might make one lean toward under a big number.
However, Andy Reid is not known for trotting out sloppy offenses for long. He has had legendary success with extra time to prepare. And another sharp offensive mind in Doug Pederson will stand on the opposite sideline. Therefore, this ultimately looks like a fair number and a reasonable expectation, so long as we don’t see a rainstorm.
Final Thoughts
Early in the week one could find the Chiefs sitting at -2.5. While only a half point off of the preseason number, that’s about as big a half point as you’ll find. However, subsequent good news in the form of Jones’ return, as well as hope that Kelce will also take the field, has moved the number to a consensus Chiefs -3.
It feels like the Chiefs have a lot of low-hanging fruit in terms of cleaning up the ugliness from Week 1. Catching balls thrown to professional receivers’ hands should be an easy improvement, and Jones and Kelce rate among the very best in the league at their positions. Certainly, Toney has never shown that level of shakiness catching the ball before.
Buying low on the Chiefs at -2.5 holds real appeal, but it seems unlikely we’ll see that number again given there’s more potential for good news than bad.
If you like the other side, consider a wager on the Jaguars moneyline rather than taking the points. In an expected high-scoring affair, Jacksonville probably wins pretty often when they cover. The additional payout is more than worth the extra risk here.
Best of luck betting on Jaguars vs. Chiefs odds.
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