NFL Week 18 Betting Preview: Cleveland Browns At Pittsburgh Steelers Odds

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on January 7, 2023
Browns Steelers odds

The Cleveland Browns visit the Pittsburgh Steelers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jan. 8. Primary markets for the game show the Steelers as spread favorites and on the moneyline. Browns Steelers odds feature a total set at .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather and the best available NFL Week 18 odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Browns At Steelers Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

In this case, the Steelers would have to win by at least three points if you bet them to cover the point spread (-2.5). A spread bet on the Browns would win if they win the game or lose by fewer than three.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

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Browns At Steelers Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike bigger markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences in the numbers.

Browns At Steelers Betting News & Angles

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Browns – Steelers odds.

Steelers Vs. Browns Weather

This game will be played outdoors at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. The forecast as of Thursday calls for 39-degree temperatures, a 22% chance of rain, and light winds of 5 mph.

Steelers Vs. Browns Injury Report

Pittsburgh Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Diontae JohnsonWRHipProbable61.4
Alex HighsmithLBAnkleQuestionable57.9
Myles JackLBGroinQuestionable51.8
William Jackson IIICBBackQuestionable51.0
Larry OgunjobiDTToeQuestionable43.0
Arthur MauletCBIllnessQuestionable37.8
Tre NorwoodDBHamstringQuestionable26.6

Cleveland Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Ethan PocicCIllnessQuestionable66.1
Jack ConklinOTAnkleQuestionable65.3
Denzel WardCBShoulderQuestionable60.8
Amari CooperWRHipQuestionable57.8
Isaiah ThomasDEFootQuestionable18.4
D’Ernest JohnsonRBShoulderQuestionable16.1

Browns Offense Vs. Steelers Defense

Browns OffenseStats (Rank)Steelers Defense
21.7 (16)Points/Gm20.8 (11)
0.328 (22)Points/Play0.344 (14)
351.7 (14)Yards/Gm331.9 (14)
204.4 (22)Pass Yards/Gm225.4 (20)
147.3 (6)Rush Yards/Gm106.5 (7)
5.3 (18)Yards/Play5.5 (19)
6.4 (20)Yards/Pass7 (27)
4.6 (13)Yards/Rush4.1 (4)
37.9% (20)3rd Down %39.22% (17)
51.85% (24)Red Zone %53.33% (12)
1.2 (9)Turnovers/Game1.3 (14)
6.75% (16)Sack Rate6.04% (22)

Steelers Offense Vs. Browns Defense

Steelers OffenseStats (Rank)Browns Defense
17.5 (29)Points/Gm22.1 (18)
0.269 (29)Points/Play0.362 (20)
321.9 (23)Yards/Gm331.1 (11)
201.4 (24)Pass Yards/Gm196.7 (7)
120.6 (17)Rush Yards/Gm134.4 (25)
4.9 (27)Yards/Play5.4 (17)
5.9 (27)Yards/Pass6.4 (11)
4.2 (24)Yards/Rush4.8 (25)
43.89% (7)3rd Down %38% (10)
52.08% (21)Red Zone %55.56% (16)
1.1 (6)Turnovers/Game1.2 (20)
6.39% (13)Sack Rate6.31% (20)

Browns At Steelers Betting Insights

Why The Browns Can Cover The Spread

While not many NFL games are typically landing below three, this should be exactly the type of low-scoring affair in which a couple of points can make a huge difference. And it isn’t at all clear that the Steelers have a better team than the Browns, as this line suggests when factoring in home field advantage. In fact, EPA/play data has the teams very close with the Browns narrowly ahead, and DVOA thinks the Browns are clearly superior.

Why The Steelers Can Cover The Spread

Even multiple weeks after his return, Deshaun Watson appears far from regaining his old form. He never had an especially strong arm or clean mechanics that enabled him to have elite accuracy. His feel for the game made him special, and he has looked mostly lost in that sense so far. The Browns surpassed 20 offensive points against the Commanders, and it was the first time Watson had done so in five starts this year. Scoring around 10 points, as the offense had been, will put them at risk of getting buried even by the Steelers.

Reasons To Bet The Over

Kenny Pickett seems to be improving by the game, and his play from a clean pocket has looked strong in recent weeks. Since the Browns pass rush has been MIA for most of the season, that bodes well for Pickett’s chances here. And with Watson actually showing signs of life last week (passed for 3 TDs), we could see some rare offense for a Browns game here. This number is low enough to be cleared even by mediocre offense.

Reasons To Bet The Under

Well, no Browns game has surpassed 41 points since before Watson took over as starter, and even that mighty count required three non-offensive TDs by the Browns. This looks like it should be a standard AFC North rock fight in cold weather, and those games typically see both teams struggling to reach 20 points.

Browns At Steelers Matchups To Watch For

Steelers Tackles Vs. Myles Garrett

While the Browns pass rush hasn’t been the dominant force many hoped, it hasn’t been Garrett’s fault as he’s enjoying another tremendous season. The Steelers line garners mixed reviews, ranking highly in ESPN’s Pass Block Win Rate (seventh) but sporting a pair of tackles with middling PFF grades in Dan Moore Jr. and Chukwuma Okorafor. If Garrett can win this battle handily, the Steelers offense will be in trouble.

Browns Rushing Attack Vs. Steelers Run D

The Browns boast arguably the best combo of elite run blocking and elite running back in the NFL. Again, the Steelers on the other side get mixed reviews. DVOA loves their work stopping the run, ranking them fourth. EPA/play data is considerably less impressed, pegging them 17th. Deshaun Watson just doesn’t look capable of winning a game by himself at this stage, so he’ll need help from his running game.

Amari Cooper Vs. Steelers DBs

In the Steelers’ recent run of six wins in eight games, it’s little coincidence that the entire stretch of schedule included one above-average passing game. And the Bengals torched them, which has been a problem all year. The defensive backfield has been a persistent weak point for years, and Amari Cooper beat the brakes off them in the first meeting — seven catches for 101 and a TD. The Steelers would be well-advised to shade a safety his way.

Final Thoughts

The market has been in love with the Steelers for weeks, seemingly steaming them on a weekly basis. That has changed a bit early this week, with the Browns moving off the key number of +3. It’s little wonder why, when one looks over the softness of the Steelers’ hot stretch, as well as the advanced stats. Particularly DVOA, which likes the Browns’ profile quite a bit more than that of the Steelers. Those who missed out on the Browns at +3 may want to take a look at a Browns teaser bet. Sitting on a premium teaser number in a game with a low total, it would count as a decent surprise if the Steelers are able to run away with this one, although Deshaun Watson’s shaky play certainly leaves the door open.

Best of luck betting on Browns Steelers odds.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah