NFL Week 18 Betting Preview: New York Jets At Miami Dolphins Odds

Written By Derek Wagner on January 8, 2023
jets vs. dolphins odds

The New York Jets visit the Miami Dolphins on Sunday at 1 p.m. E.T. The Jets are spread favorites and on the moneyline. Jets vs. Dolphins odds feature a total set at .

This article breaks down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, and best available NFL Week 18 odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

HOW TO BET ON JETS VS. DOLPHINS ODDS

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win the game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game.

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JETS VS. DOLPHINS PLAYER PROPS

Browse and search NFL Player Props below among Jets vs. Dolphins odds. To place a bet, click on the odds in the table. This is an extremely valuable tool that allows bettors to quickly to compare odds and numbers when considering a prop bet. Shopping for the best prop number can be the difference in winning and losing a bet.

Jets vs. Dolphins BETTING NEWS & ANGLES

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Jets vs. Dolphins odds.

JETS AT DOLPHINS WEATHER

Dry conditions and 10 mph winds are expected at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, with a high temperature of 79 degrees Fahrenheit.

Jets Vs. Dolphins Injury Report

New York Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
C.J. MosleyLBShoulderProbable71.8
Mike WhiteQBRibProbable71.3
George FantOTKneeQuestionable65.8
Duane BrownOTShoulderQuestionable62.2
Brandin EcholsCBQuadricepQuestionable22.5
Laurent Duvernay-TardifOGKneeQuestionable20.0

Miami Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Xavien HowardCBKneeQuestionable65.9
Kader KohouCBThumbProbable60.2
Tua TagovailoaQBConcussionDoubtful54.2
Jaelan PhillipsLBToeProbable53.8
Bradley ChubbOLBAnkleQuestionable53.4
Terron ArmsteadOTToeQuestionable52.9
Jaylen WaddleWRShoulderQuestionable46.1
Alec IngoldFBThumbQuestionable33.4
Kendall LammOTAnkleQuestionable32.0
Teddy BridgewaterQBFingerQuestionable28.2
Cedrick WilsonWRHipQuestionable18.5
Eric FisherOTCalfQuestionable

Jets Offense Vs. Dolphins Defense

Jets OffenseStats (Rank)Dolphins Defense
18.1 (27)Points/Gm24.6 (27)
0.3 (17)Points/Play0.4 (17)
326.3 (22)Yards/Gm347.3 (20)
223.3 (15)Pass Yards/Gm240.1 (27)
103 (25)Rush Yards/Gm107.1 (8)
5.1 (23)Yards/Play5.4 (13)
6 (26)Yards/Pass6.5 (13)
4.3 (19)Yards/Rush4.3 (11)
33.9% (28)3rd Down %41.5% (24)
45.5% (29)Red Zone %61.4% (25)
23 (26)Turnovers14 (30)
42 (21)Sacks40 (12)

Dolphins Offense Vs. Jets Defense

Dolphins OffenseStats (Rank)Jets Defense
24.1 (10)Points/Gm19.1 (4)
0.4 (1)Points/Play0.3 (1)
368.4 (6)Yards/Gm311.6 (3)
273.2 (3)Pass Yards/Gm192.5 (2)
95.3 (27)Rush Yards/Gm119.1 (16)
6.2 (2)Yards/Play4.8 (1)
7.9 (1)Yards/Pass5.9 (3)
4.3 (19)Yards/Rush4.1 (4)
36.6% (23)3rd Down %38.5% (12)
62.5% (9)Red Zone %50% (6)
21 (15)Turnovers16 (26)
34 (10)Sacks44 (7)

JETS AT DOLPHINS BETTING INSIGHTS

Why the Jets Can Cover The Spread

New York’s run defense has settled in as one of the best even over the course of their current five game skid. Over their last five games, they’ve yielded the lowest rushing success rate (SR) and tenth-fewest EPA per carry, respectively.

For context, a play is successful if teams produce:

  • 50 percent of the yards needed to move the chains on first down
  • 70 percent of yards to gain on second down
  • 100 percent of yards to gain on third or fourth down

Therefore, Miami’s offense could be in for a long day come Sunday. The Dolphins own the league’s eighth highest Dropback EPA, but that obviously is changes with Tua Tagovailoa sidelined with another concussion. Although a two-game stretch is a small sample size, the Dolphins had the fifth-lowest Dropback EPA during weeks 5 and 6 when Tua previously missed time.

Rookie Skylar Thompson is likely to get the nod with Tua and Teddy Bridgewater both sidelined. This will be the second time Thompson faces the Jets this season. Miami will undoubtedly try and find success in the ground game to make things easier for the rookie QB. In their last matchup, Thompson turned the ball over twice. If New York can stifle the Dolphins ground attack and force them into passing situations, they could prevent the Dolphins from advancing to the postseason.

Why the Dolphins Can Cover The Spread

This is a win or go home game for Mike McDaniel‘s squad. I’d expect him to dig deep into his bag of tricks on the offensive end to get the Dolphins the win. It doesn’t take a lot of points to beat the Jets lately either. Over the last two weeks, the Jets have scored a grand total of nine points against defenses that rank in the bottom six in EPA this season.

Reasons To Bet The Over

The over/under suggests this game will be particularly low scoring, as it sits at just . It’s not an impossible number to cross either, in a game involving an average defense and an explosive offense.

Although Skylar Thompson putting up a plethora of points is not expected, keep in mind the Dolphins need to win this game.

On the flip side, the Dolphins defense has struggled at times this year. In fact, they are one of the least efficient teams at forcing opponents backwards and forcing offenses off the field on third down (ninth-highest third down conversion rate). Keep in mind the Jets put up 40 points on the Dolphins the last time these two teams met.

Reasons To Bet The Under

Neither team will finish the regular season with the QB they started it with. That said, asking the combination of Joe Flacco and Sklar Thompson to push a game over the point total seems like a tall ask.

If you’re into trends, the under has come home in four straight Jets games.

JETS AT DOLPHINS MATCHUPS TO WATCH FOR

Jets Vs. Injured Dolphins: The injury report is extremely concerning this week for the Dolphins. Along with Tua at QB, Terron Arsmtead, Bradley Chubb, and Xavien Howard all missed practice on Wednesday due to injuries. All of the previously listed players missed last week’s game against the Patriots. If Bradley Chubb can’t suit up due to his ankle and hand injuries, Miami’s pass rush is sure to suffer. Chubb is sixteenth in the NFL in pressures this year, while the Dolphins as a team are slightly below league average in pressure rate. Keion Crossen has slid in at CB while Xavien Howard has been injured. If Howard is unable to go again this week, I’d expect the Jets would throw at Crossen, as he finished with a 39.8 coverage grade against New England last week (via PFF).

Dolphins WRs Vs. Jets Secondary: This is one of the premier matchups of Week 18 to keep an eye on. Although Sauce Gardner has drawn a lot attention for the amazing season he’s had, D.J. Reed is also having a fantastic season for the Jets. Both corners grade out in the top 10 in coverage (via PFF). Without a doubt, this will be strength against strength, as the Dolphins bolster one of the most dynamic WR pairings in the NFL. In their last matchup, the Jets held the duo of Hill and Waddle to 10 receptions for 70 yards. It should be noted that Hill was stepped on late in their first matchup and left that game in a walking boot.

FINAL THOUGHTS

The thought of backing Skylar Thompson or Joe Flacco is unappealing to say the least. During the Jets five-game skid, their offense has been in shambles, likewise for the Dolphins when Tua has missed time. I’ll be sitting this one out, as I’m not comfortable backing either of these quarterbacks at the current numbers.

Best of luck betting Jets at Dolphins odds in this game!

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