NFL Week 17 Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys At Tennessee Titans TNF Odds

Written By Brett Gibbons on December 29, 2022
Cowboys Titans Odds

The Dallas Cowboys (11-4) visit the Tennessee Titans (7-8) on Thursday Night Football in NFL Week 17. The game kicks Thursday, Dec. 29 at 8:15 p.m. ET from Nissan Stadium and will be broadcast on Prime Video. The Cowboys are favorites on the road while the Titans are as high as on the moneyline. The over/under currently sits at points.

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before betting Cowboys at Titans odds and props. We’ll also look at team matchups, key metrics, injuries and the best available odds.

Cowboys At Titans Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

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Cowboys At Titans Player Props

Search for a player in our NFL Player Props Search tool below by typing their name into the search bar. To place a bet, click on the odds in the table.

Cowboys At Titans Betting News & Angles

Cowboys At Titans Weather

Dry conditions (broken clouds) and 11 mph winds are expected at Nissan Stadium on Thursday (as of 12:12 PM on December 27), with a high temperature of 52 degrees Fahrenheit.

Cowboys Vs. Titans Injury Report

Dallas Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Zack MartinOGKneeProbable72.0
Leighton Vander EschLBNeckQuestionable57.2
Noah BrownWRFootProbable56.0
Demarcus LawrenceDEFootQuestionable42.0
Dorance Armstrong Jr.DEKneeProbable37.5
Tony PollardRBThighQuestionable36.4
Sam WilliamsDEConcussionQuestionable34.8

Tennessee Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Amani HookerFSKneeQuestionable65.6
Jeffery SimmonsDTAnkleQuestionable61.5
Kristian FultonCBGroinQuestionable60.8
Ryan TannehillQBAnkleQuestionable57.2
Dylan ColeLBAnkleQuestionable50.9
Bud DupreeOLBPectoralQuestionable41.2
Derrick HenryRBHipQuestionable39.5
Zach CunninghamLBElbowQuestionable36.0
Josh ThompsonCBConcussionQuestionable12.8

Cowboys Offense Vs. Titans Defense

Cowboys OffenseStats (Rank)Titans Defense
28.9 (3)Points/Gm20.8 (11)
0.4 (1)Points/Play0.3 (1)
366.1 (8)Yards/Gm359.7 (23)
222.9 (16)Pass Yards/Gm279.6 (31)
143.1 (7)Rush Yards/Gm80.1 (2)
5.6 (11)Yards/Play5.5 (18)
7.0 (9)Yards/Pass7.0 (24)
4.5 (15)Yards/Rush3.5 (2)
46.5% (5)3rd Down %31.8% (1)
70.6% (2)Red Zone %55.8% (17)
18 (11)Turnovers16 (21)
25 (4)Sacks37 (12)

Titans Offense Vs. Cowboys Defense

Titans OffenseStats (Rank)Cowboys Defense
17.9 (27)Points/Gm20.2 (6)
0.3 (16)Points/Play0.3 (1)
294.4 (30)Yards/Gm332.5 (14)
168.6 (30)Pass Yards/Gm202.5 (9)
125.8 (12)Rush Yards/Gm130.0 (22)
5.2 (21)Yards/Play5.1 (8)
6.5 (14)Yards/Pass6.2 (9)
4.5 (15)Yards/Rush4.5 (19)
36.0% (24)3rd Down %38.3% (13)
68.4% (3)Red Zone %56.1% (18)
19 (13)Turnovers30 (1)
43 (26)Sacks49 (3)

Cowboys At Titans Betting Insights

Why The Cowboys Can Cover The Spread

The Titans’ offense is a factory of mediocrity under rookie Malik Willis this season. To make their dreadful unit worse, Derrick Henry is questionable with a foot injury suffered last week. The Cowboys’ defense is third in pressure rate this season (24.3%) and first in takeaways; against an easily-flustered Willis, Dallas’ defense should continue to be disruptive in this game.

Double digits is a high point spread, but Dallas is fourth in average scoring margin this season (+8.7). Even with a below-average offensive output, the Cowboys should be firmly in control of this game with favorable weather conditions.

Why The Titans Can Cover The Spread

The Dallas offense runs firmly through their dynamic backfield of Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott, an offensive attack Tennessee is built for. The Titans are second in the NFL, allowing just 3.5 yards per carry on the season, and first in rushing success rate allowed (34%). Containing their run game could cap the number of points the Cowboys score in this game. With a point total set at just , keeping the game within 10 points isn’t all that difficult.

That said, Willis is going to have to do something with the football and avoid turning the ball over. None of his performances this season give a lot of faith into this game being his breakout.

Reasons To Bet The Over

When the Cowboys score, they score in avalanches. They’re third in scoring, just scored 40 points on a very good Eagles defense, and have eclipsed 30 points in four of their last six games. On the season, they’ve scored 40 or more four times.

The bottom line is, the Titans don’t need to carry their weight in scoring if they allow that many points from the Cowboys. While Dallas may do a bulk of the scoring, anything else the Titans offense can muster is a bonus.

Reasons To Bet The Under

On the other hand, the Titans offense under Willis is atrocious. Not only have they not breached 20 points with him as the starting QB, they’ve never breached 20 points in any game he’s stepped on the field. Their defense is solid, sitting just outside the top 10 in scoring. However, their secondary is a liability. Should the Cowboys not find success on the ground, they could turn to the air, which would jeopardize an under quickly.

Cowboys At Titans Props: Matchups To Watch For

Dallas Backfield Vs. Titans Run Defense: Pollard is second among all running backs on the season in yards per attempt (5.3) and is quickly emerging as the Cowboys’ next lead back. His quickness and explosiveness gives the offense a burst of energy while Elliott still capitalizes as a successful short-yardage hammer option.

They go against a stingy Titans’ defense that’s allowing the second-fewest rushing yards per game. While that’s normally a stat I’d expound out to per-carry, the Titans’ offense isn’t high-flying enough to attribute a low opponent rushing output to; teams still run on the Titans to no avail. Against backs like Joe Mixon, Jonathan Taylor, Josh Jacobs, and Austin Ekeler, they’ve proved their mettle.

Derrick Henry Vs. Cowboys Run Defense: It’s the same story across the field– while Dallas is 21st in yards per rush allowed (5.3), they’re sixth in success rate and rush EPA allowed. Willis adds the threat of the QB rush, opening up some lanes for Henry one box defender at a time, but the game plan is clear: run Henry over and over again.

Be sure to keep an eye on Henry’s injury status this week as it’ll be pivotal in his output Thursday.

Final Thoughts

As long as Malik Willis is the quarterback for the Titans, there’s no grounds to have faith in this team as a competitive one. The weapons at receiver, or rather lack thereof, don’t help the youngster in the slightest. In turn, Tennessee turns to Derrick Henry, who is battling injury and faces a Dallas defense that’s sixth in rushing success rate allowed.

While I’m not laying 10 points with the Cowboys, there’s no reason I can get behind the Titans in this one.

Best of luck betting the Cowboys at Titans odds in this game.

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Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons