NFL Week 17 Teaser Legs: Why It’s A Rough Week To Buy Points

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on January 2, 2022
NFL week 17 teasers

Teaser bets remain a popular option with many NFL bettors. But, you must use caution when selecting which teams you’ll tease, as you can’t win long-term without a sound strategy. At TheLines, we’ll go over each week’s NFL slate to see which teams fit best in teasers. Today, we look at options for NFL Week 17 teasers.

Be sure to go over our primer on teaser bets hereIt’s imperative that you understand what to look for, from the numbers to the sportsbook juice being paid.

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The Best NFL Week 17 Teasers

Week 16 proved an excellent week for teaser plays as every side we highlighted here came home with the exception of the Ravens, which had extenuating circumstances at QB. NFL Week 17 teaser options do not look nearly as strong. In fact, only a few speculative sides exist pending further line movement and COVID/injuries later in the week.

So, it’s tough at this point to really pull the trigger on any teasers with a high degree of confidence.

Other Potential NFL Week 17 Teasers

Colts (-7.5) Vs. Raiders

Even this one is not quite the ideal teaser spot at most sportsbooks, with the Colts only giving the hook at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of writing.

Despite being played indoors and involving one of the better offenses in the league, this game has a middling total of . The Colts’ propensity to run the ball — they rank second in run-to-pass ratio — probably helps keep that number down. So, that combined with the spread puts this under consideration.

However, the reason the line has dipped off the hook is the Colts announced a rather concerning rash of COVID-19 cases on Monday. Three-fifths of their starting offensive line — including superstar Quenton Nelson — have hit the protocols. They also lost defensive leader Darius Leonard for the time being.

Time being is the key here, as last week, there were a few examples of high-profile players testing out of the protocols within a week thanks to the newly relaxed rules. Just remember it’s a mandatory 10-day absence for the unvaccinated players. So, if you want to gamble on some of these guys getting back, or you think the Colts can survive short-handed against the Raiders, a teaser makes sense.

It seems likely the Raiders will remain without star TE Darren Waller as he didn’t sound particularly close to returning last week. Their offense has zero dynamism at this point.

Saints (-7) Vs. Panthers

Again, the line isn’t quite there, so you may be better off just firing Saints -7 if that’s the side you’re looking to bet. Still, the basement-level total of certainly looks attractive.

It’s tough to say how Monday Night Football will change things here if at all. Obviously the Saints enter as underdogs, but will the market care if they lose with Ian Book at QB, knowing Taysom Hill should likely return for Week 17?

Certainly, everyone is looking to keep fading the Panthers after another putrid performance this past weekend.

The Saints match up well here since they can avoid the fierce Panthers pass rush by simply pounding the rock. They have a huge trenches mismatch on the other end in their favor as well.

Carolina is divvying its playing time at QB between a guy who can barely complete a forward pass and a guy who can’t stop throwing it to the other team.

See where this line moves after Monday, or you can just buy off the -7 if you don’t mind straying a bit from accepted best teaser practices.

Seahawks (-7.5) Vs. Lions

The Seahawks actually fit the bill for teasers at several sportsbooks, where they are -7.5 with a low total of .

However, you should probably not trust this team much at all. Since Russell Wilson has returned to the lineup, they met market expectations just twice in seven games. They play a high-variance style that lends itself more to selling points than buying them.

Yards-per-play data overrates this offense since they generate movement in either massive chunks or not at all. That forms the basis for many of the computer projections that power the market prices.

The Lions get Jared Goff back and the market looks too low on them, generally. They’ve covered six of their last seven and have recovered from their incredibly ugly stretch in the middle of the season.

Selling high usually yields profits, but the line hasn’t crossed any key numbers from the look-ahead markets. If you like the Hawks to rebound, a teaser isn’t a terrible idea, but the Lions have played the more inspired football of late.

 

Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
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Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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