Week 17 features what likely amounts to a playoff elimination game, with the New York Jets (7-8) and Seattle Seahawks (7-8) squaring off in the Pacific Northwest. With Mike White back under center, Jets vs. Seahawks odds have New York as spread favorites and Seattle on the moneyline to win. The total is .
For whichever team loses, their door to the playoffs is closed, but a win could put them in the driver’s seat for their conferences’ final playoff spot going into the last week of the regular season.
How to Bet on Jets vs. Seahawks Odds
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Jets vs. Seahawks Player Props
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Jets vs. Seahawks Betting News & Angles
The New York Jets are finalizing a four-year, $44 million deal with former Green Bay Packers wide receiver Allen Lazard, NFL Network Insider Mike Garafolo reported Tuesday.
Lazard, 27, is coming off a career-best season with 60 receptions for 788 yards and six touchdowns in 2022. This move comes with the Jets being rumored to have significant interest in acquiring Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers. New York has moved to the seventh lowest odds to win the Super Bowl on FanDuel Sportsbook (+1500).
D.K. Metcalf props against San Francisco on Wild Card Weekend:
61.5 receiving yards (Over -115/Under -115)
4.5 receptions (Over -132/Under -104)
Longest reception 22.5 yards (Over -115/Under -115)
Anytime TD (+265)
Metcalf put up underwhelming numbers in each of his last two games of the season, with just one catch for three yards in Week 17 and three catches for 40 yards in the season finale. Despite their overall dominant defense, the 49ers allowed the sixth most yards in the NFL to opposing receivers. In two games against the 49ers this year, Metcalf combined for 11 catches and 90 yards, without finding the end zone once.
Geno Smith props for the NFC Wild Card against San Francisco:
226.5 passing yards (Over -110/Under -120)
1.5 passing touchdowns (Over +170/Under -250)
20.5 completions (Over -125/Under -105)
0.5 interceptions (Over -140/Under +105)
Anytime TD (+600)
Smith finished the regular season fourth in passing touchdowns and sixth in QBR, setting career highs in every notable passing category. Seattle finished the season with two straight wins, but they are facing a San Francisco team which won their last ten games, running away with the NFC West. The 49ers defense ranks first in DVOA, points per play, EPA, and several other categories. They are the consensus best defense in the NFL heading into the playoffs. Smith threw for 238 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions in their last matchup, a 21-13 loss in Week 15.
The Seahawks are a 9.5 point underdog against their division rival 49ers ahead of their Wild Card matchup on Saturday. Seattle lost both of their matchups this season, 27-7 in Week 2 and 21-13 in Week 15. The Seahawks finished the season 3-5 and just 1-7 against the spread over their last eight games. Conversely, the 49ers went 8-0 and 7-1 against the spread during that stretch. With 10 straight wins, San Francisco has the longest active win streak of any NFL team heading into the postseason.
The Over/Under is 42. San Francisco’s offense has been on fire in recent weeks, and they are still yet to lose a game since trading for Christian McCaffrey. The Seahawks are allowing 23.6 points per game, which ranks close to last in the NFL.
The Seahawks are a six point favorite over their division rival L.A. Rams prior to Week 18. Seattle can clinch the playoffs with a win and a Green Bay loss later Sunday night against Detroit. While they have everything to play for, Los Angeles has nothing, and will also be without multiple starters, including arguably their three best players: Aaron Donald, Cooper Kupp, and Matthew Stafford, who have all missed multiple weeks with injury. The Over/Under is 41.5. Seattle has hit the over in exactly half their games this season.
Notable Geno Smith Week 17 props against his former team, the New York Jets:
230.5 passing yards (Over -101/Under -135)
1.5 passing touchdowns (Over -110/Under -120)
21.5 completions (Over -105/Under -125)
Longest completion 35.5 yards (Over -110/Under -120)
0.5 interceptions (Over -120/Under -110)
Anytime TD (+650)
Smith will start against his former team for the first time, and it is a must-win game for the Seahawks. Despite Smith throwing five interceptions over his last five games, the overall numbers are still very strong on the season. Smith is tied for fourth with 27 passing touchdowns, fifth in QBR, and eighth in passing yards. He has spread the ball around effectively, with Tyler Lockett approaching 1000 receiving yards and DK Metcalf surpassing that mark last week. Smith has thrown for more than 230.5 yards in six out of his last seven games, but New York’s defense ranks third in the league according to PFF.
Seattle is a two point underdog for their crucial Week 17 game against the Jets. The line opened closer to even, but moved in New York’s favor since it was announced Monday that Mike White will start at quarterback for the Jets. Seattle has lost three straight games and five of their last six, with Geno Smith struggling to replicate the success he had early in the season. Meanwhile, the Jets have lost four straight and must win on Sunday to keep their playoff hopes alive. This is essentially a must-win game for both teams, with Seattle and New York each on the outside looking in of the NFC and AFC playoff picture, respectively. The Seahawks are 6-9 against the spread this season, while the Jets are 8-7 ATS.
The Over/Under is 41.5. A majority of Seattle games have gone over this year, while 10 out of 15 Jets games have gone under. New York has one of the strongest defensive units in the league, and one of the weakest offensive units. The Seahawks are the opposite, with an above-average offensive DVOA but their defense struggling mightily, particularly against the run.
Jets QB Mike White has been cleared for contact and is on track to start on Sunday against the Seahawks. The Jets have a chance at a playoff appearance in the AFC after all the results of Week 16.
New York is currently a 1.5-point underdog at Seattle in Week 17 on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Seahawks inactives for Week 16 at Kansas City:
WR Tyler Lockett
CB Artie Burns
S Ryan Neal
T Jake Curhan
DT Al Woods
RB Wayne Gallman Jr
DT Daviyon Nixon
Notable Geno Smith props for Week 16 against Kansas City:
244.5 passing yards (Over -125/Under -105)
1.5 passing touchdowns (Over +115/Under -155)
22.5 completions (Over -130/Under +100)
Longest completion 35.5 yards (Over -109/Under -125)
0.5 interceptions (Over -130/Under +100)
Anytime TD (+700)
Smith has thrown for 235 or more yards in six straight games, easily the longest such stretch of his career. He will face another favorable opponent Saturday in Kansas City, as the Chiefs defense ranks 25th against the pass and 18th in points allowed per play. Their red zone defense ranks second to last in the NFL. Kansas City has allowed 24 or more points in each of their last three games.
Jets Vs. Seahawks Weather
A high temperature of 47 degrees Fahrenheit, with broken clouds and 1 mph winds, are the expected conditions at Lumen Field on Sunday (as of 11:12 PM on December 30).
Jets Vs. Seahawks Injury Report
New York Injuries
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status | Avg. Snap Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Ogbuehi | OT | Groin | Questionable | 46.8 |
| Brandin Echols | CB | Quadricep | Out | 22.5 |
| Jeff Smith | WR | Knee | Out | 20.6 |
Seattle Injuries
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status | Avg. Snap Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abraham Lucas | OT | Knee | Questionable | 64.4 |
| Ryan Neal | SS | Knee | Questionable | 58.3 |
| Tyler Lockett | WR | Hand | Questionable | 53.4 |
| Will Dissly | TE | Knee | Out | 49.9 |
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | Ankle | Questionable | 36.4 |
| Marquise Goodwin | WR | Shoulder | Doubtful | 32.5 |
| Al Woods | DT | Achilles | Questionable | 32.3 |
| Travis Homer | RB | Ankle | Questionable | 29.5 |
| Isaiah Dunn | CB | Hamstring | Questionable | 17.4 |
| Joey Blount | FS | Kneecap | Out | 15.9 |
Jets Offense Vs. Seahawks Defense
| Jets Offense | Stats (Rank) | Seahawks Defense |
|---|---|---|
| 18.9 (25) | Points/Gm | 25.3 (29) |
| 0.3 (16) | Points/Play | 0.4 (17) |
| 329.4 (21) | Yards/Gm | 373.4 (29) |
| 224.5 (15) | Pass Yards/Gm | 217.9 (17) |
| 104.9 (24) | Rush Yards/Gm | 155.5 (31) |
| 5.2 (21) | Yards/Play | 5.7 (24) |
| 6.1 (26) | Yards/Pass | 6.9 (20) |
| 4.3 (19) | Yards/Rush | 4.9 (25) |
| 34.1% (28) | 3rd Down % | 44.0% (28) |
| 46.5% (28) | Red Zone % | 62.5% (26) |
| 20 (17) | Turnovers | 21 (10) |
| 38 (20) | Sacks | 36 (15) |
Seahawks Offense Vs. Jets Defense
| Seahawks Offense | Stats (Rank) | Jets Defense |
|---|---|---|
| 24.3 (9) | Points/Gm | 18.8 (4) |
| 0.4 (1) | Points/Play | 0.3 (1) |
| 348.5 (13) | Yards/Gm | 309.3 (3) |
| 238.7 (11) | Pass Yards/Gm | 195.5 (5) |
| 109.9 (21) | Rush Yards/Gm | 113.9 (11) |
| 5.8 (7) | Yards/Play | 4.8 (1) |
| 7.0 (9) | Yards/Pass | 5.9 (5) |
| 4.7 (7) | Yards/Rush | 4.0 (4) |
| 40.0% (17) | 3rd Down % | 38.9% (14) |
| 52.2% (22) | Red Zone % | 51.3% (6) |
| 21 (22) | Turnovers | 16 (23) |
| 39 (22) | Sacks | 40 (9) |
Jets vs. Seahawks Betting Insights
Reasons The Jets Can Cover The Spread
The Jets still have a top 10 defense by both DVOA and PFF grades, and they did hold a Lions team that has been otherwise strong offensively to 13 offensive points two weeks ago. In Mike White’s two games before he got hurt in the Bills game, the Jets handily beat the Bears and moved the ball extremely well against the Vikings, before losing because they went 1/6 on converting Red Zone trips to Touchdowns.
If the Jets don’t run remarkably cold in the red zone against the Vikings, they’d be 3-0 ATS with Mike White and they’re playing a Seattle team that has lost 5 of 6 and looks lost.
Reasons The Seahawks Can Cover The Spread
Mike White is coming off of injury, which could lead to him being rusty and potentially making mistakes. The Seahawks do have one of the best Red Zone defenses at home, only conceding TDs 43.5% of the time, which could matter if the Jets struggle to score like they did against the Vikings.
The Jets offensive line is bottom half of the league in Pressure Allowed, which could create an opening for the Seahawks to get Mike White off his spot and into either sacks or mistakes.
Reasons to bet the over
The Seahawks defense hasn’t been particularly good in recent weeks, conceding 40 to the Raiders, 23 to the Rams with John Wofford, and 30 to the Panthers. If White is able to find his form, they could dice apart the raw secondary, which is talented but prone to mistakes.
On the other side, the Seahawks do still have a couple of big play receivers, and if Geno connects on a big shot, that will help speed the game up.
Reasons to bet the under
The Jets should be able to run all over the Seahawks – they’ve given up over 100 yards to running backs in 5 of the last six, and they’ve been vulnerable to long runs. If the Jets can get a rushing game going efficiently, they could score, but do so at a slower pace, hurting the total.
Jets vs. Seahawks Props: Matchups To Watch For
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards – Given Sauce Gardner doesn’t love to travel inside, it seems likely the Seahawks are going to try and use Lockett the way they used to years ago, with a lower ADoT route tree and a large volume of receptions. If they can get him in open space by doing that, he should be a valuable part of the passing game.
Final Thoughts
The Jets are a fundamentally different team without Zach Wilson, and the Seahawks are a fundamentally different team now than they were early in the season.
For whatever reason – Geno being “figured out” or rookies hitting up against their conditioning limits as they adjust to 17 games as opposed to college’s 12 or 13 or whatever else – the Seahawks just haven’t been the same team since they departed for Germany. Since then, their offense has sputtered and their defense has been exposed.
On the other side, the Jets are a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde team too, but we know what causes the differences. When they get even remotely competent quarterback play, they can win – as the couple of not terrible Zach Wilson games and the Mike White games show. The problem is, the last two weeks, they’ve had sub-replacement level play, and last week they decided a former spot player in the CFL was a better answer than their recent #2 overall pick.
If Mike White gives the Jets anything this week, they should win. The Seahawks just aren’t the same offense they were early in the season, and with Seattle not likely to score much against an elite defense, the Jets don’t need good quarterbacking, they just need better than Zach Wilson.
Mike White is that. Good luck betting Jets vs. Seahawks odds.
