NFL Week 17 Betting Preview: Minnesota Vikings At Green Bay Packers Odds

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on January 1, 2023
Packers Vikings odds

The Minnesota Vikings visit the Green Bay Packers at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jan. 1. Primary markets for the game show the Packers as spread favorites and on the moneyline. Vikings Packers odds feature a total set at .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather and the best available NFL Week 17 odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Vikings At Packers Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

In this case, the Packers would have to win by at least four points if you bet them to cover the point spread (-3.5). A spread bet on the Vikings would win if they win the game or lose by fewer than four.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

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Vikings At Packers Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike bigger markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences in the numbers.

Vikings At Packers Betting News & Angles

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Vikings – Packers odds.

Packers Vs. Vikings Weather

A high temperature of 35 degrees Fahrenheit, with overcast clouds and 4 mph winds, is the forecast for Lambeau Field on Sunday.

Packers Vs. Vikings Injury Report

Green Bay Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
David BakhtiariOTAppendixQuestionable53.4
Yosuah NijmanOTShoulderQuestionable51.7
Aaron JonesRBAnkleQuestionable38.2
Christian WatsonWRHipQuestionable35.7
Keisean NixonCBGroinQuestionable33.9

Minnesota Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Garrett BradburyCBackQuestionable67.6
Cameron DantzlerCBAnkleQuestionable55.3

Vikings Offense Vs. Packers Defense

Vikings OffenseStats (Rank)Packers Defense
25.2 (7)Points/Gm22.3 (17)
0.380 (11)Points/Play0.382 (27)
354.5 (12)Yards/Gm336.8 (17)
259.9 (6)Pass Yards/Gm192.4 (3)
94.5 (28)Rush Yards/Gm144.4 (27)
5.3 (18)Yards/Play5.8 (27)
6.5 (18)Yards/Pass7.1 (27)
4.1 (25)Yards/Rush5 (29)
40.39% (15)3rd Down %37.65% (10)
64.29% (7)Red Zone %56.52% (20)
1.1 (6)Turnovers/Game1.3 (13)
6.93% (19)Sack Rate7.05% (13)

Packers Offense Vs. Vikings Defense

Packers OffenseStats (Rank)Vikings Defense
20.9 (18)Points/Gm24.9 (28)
0.335 (19)Points/Play0.37 (24)
342.6 (19)Yards/Gm402.3 (31)
219.5 (17)Pass Yards/Gm281.5 (32)
123.1 (14)Rush Yards/Gm120.8 (19)
5.5 (14)Yards/Play6 (31)
6.5 (17)Yards/Pass7.5 (31)
4.7 (11)Yards/Rush4.4 (18)
38.64% (19)3rd Down %37.63% (9)
51.02% (24)Red Zone %55.56% (15)
1.3 (19)Turnovers/Game1.5 (8)
5.39% (7)Sack Rate6.01% (23)

Vikings At Packers Betting Insights

Why The Vikings Can Cover The Spread

The Packers don’t really play into their weak points. This secondary has been shredded by opposing passing games, but Green Bay has been getting more mileage out of its rushing attack this year. Christian Watson is the only really threatening weapon they have out wide. And despite having an ace corner in Jaire Alexander, the team showed no willingness to use him to shadow Justin Jefferson when these teams met in Week 1. Minnesota is getting +3.5 against a team that it’s not at all clear is superior here.

Why The Packers Can Cover The Spread

Start with more urgency to win and playing at home. That’s usually a formula that produces great effort, which we should see from the Packers. And while Kirk Cousins looks like he should do well here, one point in the Packers’ potential favor is the frequency with which they blitz. They rank second there, and Cousins has lost quite a bit of effectiveness when blitzed. According to PFF, he garners just a 56.5 grade against the blitz, while checking it at 83 when facing four or fewer rushers.

Reasons To Bet The Over

Neither of these teams look especially capable of stopping anybody. One can simply look at the Vikings’ yards per play allowed to see how that’s going for them. And the Packers just gashed week after week by opposing running games. They rank dead last at 32nd in rush defense DVOA. If this game were in a dome, we would expect it to push toward 60.

Reasons To Bet The Under

But, it’s not. And look no further than some of the scores posted in Week 16 to see what NFL offenses produce in adverse conditions. Most of the games that took place in snowy, cold weather struggled to even find their way to 30 points. While this game doesn’t exactly look like the return of the Ice Bowl, if Week 16 is any judge, we should temper our expectations as far as points go here.

Vikings At Packers Matchups To Watch For

Justin Jefferson Vs. Packers DBs

After the ugly Week 1 loss, Packers CB Jaire Alexander expressed some frustration the team didn’t let him shadow the superb Jefferson more. Will the game plan change here to give Alexander a shot? Even if it does, will it matter? Nothing and nobody can seem to stop Jefferson this season. We’ll see if the Packers can come up with anything.

Kirk Cousins Vs. Packers Blitz

Again, the blitz has been a bit harsh on Cousins this year, and the Packers ranked second in blitz rate entering last week. The Vikings have a solid pairing at tackle but are weak on the interior. Cousins has always been a little shaky under pressure, and the Packers may need to blitz since they won’t have monster EDGE threat Rashan Gary here.

Packers RBs Vs. Vikings LBs/Safeties

The Packers don’t have the most threatening WR corps, so they target RBs frequently, with theirs piling up the 10th most targets in the NFL at 105. Both Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon have shown capability to do damage in that capacity, and the Vikings have been shoddy at covering RBs with a 24th-place DVOA ranking there. Jones in particular has been an awesome receiver. He’s coming off a lackluster game against the Dolphins. The team may look to get him involved more here.

Final Thoughts

The Vikings completely dominated the Packers in the first meeting, but that was basically ancient history at this point since it happened back in Week 1. Now, the Packers are rolling along making what has become an “every few years” emergency playoff push. However, even in recent wins like the one against the Dolphins, they’ve struggled to contain the opposing offense. And while the Vikings may be overrated in many capacities, they still do have a pretty strong offense. Even the struggling Dalvin Cook should find some footing against this soft run defense. Both rushing offenses are well set up, and both teams will look to get that going in the elements. Thus, the total looks a bit high, considering how much the cold seemed to affect NFL offenses in general in Week 16.

Best of luck betting on Vikings Packers odds.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah