NFL Week 17 Betting Preview: Chicago Bears At Detroit Lions Odds

Written By Derek Wagner on January 1, 2023
bears vs. lions odds

The Chicago Bears visit the Detroit Lions on Sunday at 1 p.m. E.T. The Lions are spread favorites and on the moneyline. Bears vs. Lions odds feature a total set at .

This article breaks down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, and best available NFL Week 17 odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

HOW TO BET ON BEARS VS. LIONS ODDS

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win the game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game.

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BEARS VS. LIONS PLAYER PROPS

Search for a player in our NFL Player Props Search tool below among Bears vs. Lions odds by typing their name in the search bar and hitting enter. To place a bet, click on the odds in the table.

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to quickly to compare odds and numbers when considering a prop bet. Shopping for the best prop number can be the difference in winning and losing a bet.

BEARS AT LIONS BETTING NEWS & ANGLES

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Bears vs. Lions odds.

Lions Vs. Bears Injury Report

Detroit Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Frank RagnowCFootQuestionable67.8
Justin JacksonRBHipQuestionable26.6
Quintez CephusWRFootOut21.8
Kayode AwosikaOGAnkleOut20.3
Josh WoodsLBBicepsQuestionable18.9

Chicago Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Chase ClaypoolWRKneeQuestionable46.7
Dante PettisWRAnkleQuestionable34.3
Trevon WescoTECalfQuestionable18.3
Sterling WeatherfordLBIllnessOut16.0

Lions Offense Vs. Bears Defense

Lions OffenseStats (Rank)Bears Defense
26.1 (5)Points/Gm26.2 (31)
0.4 (1)Points/Play0.4 (17)
375.5 (4)Yards/Gm360.3 (24)
254.9 (8)Pass Yards/Gm209.1 (12)
120.7 (16)Rush Yards/Gm151.2 (30)
5.9 (5)Yards/Play6.0 (30)
7.3 (5)Yards/Pass7.5 (30)
4.4 (15)Yards/Rush4.9 (25)
41.7% (13)3rd Down %49.7% (32)
68.4% (3)Red Zone %64.7% (28)
15 (1)Turnovers21 (10)
21 (2)Sacks18 (32)

Bears Offense Vs. Lions Defense

Bears OffenseStats (Rank)Lions Defense
20.2 (22)Points/Gm26.7 (32)
0.3 (16)Points/Play0.4 (17)
316.3 (26)Yards/Gm409.9 (32)
136.5 (32)Pass Yards/Gm264.1 (30)
179.8 (1)Rush Yards/Gm145.9 (28)
5.3 (18)Yards/Play6.3 (32)
6.2 (23)Yards/Pass7.7 (32)
5.2 (3)Yards/Rush5.1 (30)
42.9% (7)3rd Down %47.5% (31)
55.3% (14)Red Zone %64.8% (29)
21 (22)Turnovers18 (20)
50 (29)Sacks30 (26)

BEARS AT LIONS BETTING INSIGHTS

Why the Bears Can Cover The Spread

The Bears have a unique opportunity to make a playoff berth more difficult for the Lions in Week 17. In order to pull off the upset, look for the Bears to exploit a weak Lions run defense. In last week’s pummeling dished out by the Panthers, the Lions surrendered 240 rushing yards in the first half, which was a franchise record for Carolina. Detroit is 32nd in yards per play allowed and 28th in rushing success rate allowed.

Given the fact Chicago had 7.4 yards per carry in their first matchup, there’s no reason to believe the Bears can’t replicate that performance. Chicago’s offense looked fantastic in Week 10 when Justin Fields gashed Detroit’s defense for 147 yards on the ground on 13 carries.

In fact, the Bears offense ranks top ten in Rushing EPA. This could be problematic for a Lions defense that yielded the highest Rushing EPA in Week 16 in the NFL.

Why The Lions Can Cover The Spread

The Lions offense should be able to move the ball quickly and efficiently against a dreadful Bears defense that is banged up. Over the last four weeks, Chicago’s defense has yielded the seventh-highest Rushing Success Rate (SR) and ranks dead last in EPA per carry, respectively.

For reference, a play is successful if teams produce:

  • 50 percent of the yards needed to move the chains on first down
  • 70 percent of the yards to gain on second down
  • 100 percent of the yards to gain on third or fourth down

Therefore, Detroit’s offensive line should be able to generate some openings for running backs Jamaal Williams and D’Andre Swift. On the other side of the ball, Aaron Glenn’s defense could find success against a wounded Chicago offense. The Bears were without offensive linemen Teven Jenkins and Cody Whitehair last week against Buffalo. Missing Teven Jenkins is a huge blow to the running game, as PFF grades Jenkins 81.3 for run blocking ability, which ranks third in the NFL for qualifying guards. Jenkins was a limited participant in the team’s practice on Wednesday. The Bears will also be short-handed at the wide receiver position, as Darnell Mooney is out for the season and Chase Claypool and Equanimeous St. Brown missed last week’s game with injuries. Keep an eye on the injury report leading up to kickoff as Chicago is dealing with a slew of injuries.

Despite their lopsided loss to Carolina last week, Detroit’s offense is producing the 8th-ranked Offensive EPA over the last two weeks. Even when trailing and playing from a negative game script, the Lions have been able to move the ball.

Reasons To Bet The Over

If you’re inclined to believe that the total isn’t high enough for Bears – Lions odds, both of these offenses are set up to have success on paper. We saw the Bears score a 50-yard touchdown and a 67-yard touchdown against the Lions in Week 10. Even given the limited weapons Chicago’s offense possesses, they’re more than capable of putting up points against lackluster defenses like Detroit’s.

On flip side, Chicago’s pass rush is virtually non-existent. The Bears have a league-low 18 sacks on the season and have accumulated the second-fewest pressures of any team, with only 77. Having a good pass rush would aid Chicago tremendously given the injuries they’ve sustained to the secondary positions. If Chicago’s pass rush doesn’t show up again, the Lions could be on track to put up points quickly.

Reasons To Bet The Under

Playing the under in this matchup is definitely a contrarian play. This is the highest total on the board this week, as these offenses expected to provide plenty of explosive plays. If you’re into “trends,” the over has hit in four of the last five Bears games. Over that five-game span, Chicago’s defense has allowed a blistering 29.2 points per game to opponents.

BEARS AT LIONS MATCHUPS TO WATCH FOR

Lions Running Game Vs. Bears Run Defense: To say Chicago’s run defense has been putrid this season would be putting it kindly. Chicago’s defense has yielded the third-most rushing yards per game to their opponents (151.2 rushing yards). Last week the Bears allowed Devin Singletary to eclipse 100 rushing yards for the first time since Jan. 2, 2021, against the Falcons. Although the Lions only had 2.6 yards per carry last week against the Panthers, game script forced them to abandon the run.

Lions Passing Game Vs. Bears Secondary: In addition to the run defense being atrocious for Chicago, the Bears top cornerback Jaylon Johnson is out for the season. This has forced rookies Josh Blackwell and Jaylon Jones into the rotation at cornerback, and neither have been particularly impressive thus far. Look for the Lions to take advantage of this matchup with their depth at WR, led by Amon-Ra St. Brown. For what it’s worth, rookie Kyler Gordon has played exceptional for Chicago since Jaylon Johnson went down. The rookie out of Washington has an interception in two straight games and received a 72.2 and 70.6 coverage grade from PFF each of the last two weeks.

Justin Fields Vs. Lions Run Defense: Although he struggled running in Week 16 against Buffalo, Justin Fields has a chance to embarrass the Lions once again. For reference, Fields had 13 carries for 147 yards and two rushing touchdowns the last time these teams faced off. Given that the Lions play a lot of man coverage, Fields could be in for a big day. If he is able to find success on the ground, this game could be close until the final whistle.

Final Thoughts

In Week 10 when these teams last met, the market closed with Bears -3 spread favorites at home. Even when you factor in home field advantage, the shift to Lions -5.5 is significant. Detroit has played better down the stretch and forced the betting market to raise them in their power ratings, while the Bears are spiraling and have lost eight straight.

Given Chicago’s lack of pass rush and injuries on defensive side, I struggle with the thought of backing them. A play on the Bears is a play on Justin Fields and the offense finding success in the ground game.

Conversely, the Lions haven’t been this big of favorites in a game since Week 4 when they played Seattle. The Seahawks opened as 6-point favorites and the number got bet down to Detroit -3 before kickoff. Geno Smith’s Seahawks won the game outright by a score of 48-45. Backing Detroit as an underdog is one thing, but they are just 2-2 ATS as a favorite this season.

Instead of playing the side or total, I’m looking at player props in this game. Justin Fields needs 196 rushing yards over the final two games to set the new rushing yards record by a QB in a single season. He has a favorable matchup against a Lions defense that plays a lot of man coverage. Be sure to user our NFL Player Props Search Tool to shop for the best price available.

Best of luck betting the Bears vs. Lions odds in this game.

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