NFL Week 17 Betting Preview: Cleveland Browns At Washington Commanders

Written By Jeffrey Schreiber on January 1, 2023
browns vs. commanders odds

The Cleveland Browns visit the Washington Commanders on Sunday, January 1st, at 1:00 p.m. ET. Primary markets for the game show the Browns as spread favorites and on the moneyline. Browns vs. Commanders odds feature a total set at .

This article breaks down everything you need to know before placing a bet in Ohio on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather, and the best available NFL Week 17 oddsClick on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

HOW TO BET ON BROWNS VS. COMMANDERS ODDS

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

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BROWNS VS. COMMANDERS PLAYER PROPS

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This valuable tool allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike more significant markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences.

BROWNS AT COMMANDERS BETTING NEWS & ANGLES

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Browns vs. Commanders odds.

Washington Weather Forecast At Kickoff

Dry conditions (clear sky) and 13 mph winds are expected at FedExField on Sunday (as of 10:19 AM on December 29), with a high temperature of 56 degrees Fahrenheit.

Browns vs. Commanders Injury Report

Washington Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Andrew NorwellOGShoulderQuestionable73.5
Benjamin St-JusteCBAnkleQuestionable55.6
James Smith-WilliamsDEConcussionQuestionable37.2
Armani RogersTEKneeQuestionable33.1
Chase YoungDEIllnessQuestionable30.0
Jon BosticLBPectoralQuestionable29.8
Brian Robinson Jr.RBQuadProbable28.6
Saahdiq CharlesOTConcussionQuestionable26.2
Shaka ToneyDEAnkleQuestionable23.2
Tariq Castro-FieldsCBKneeQuestionable9.5

Cleveland Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Jedrick Wills Jr.OTBackQuestionable73.3
Wyatt TellerOGAnkleProbable66.0
Denzel WardCBShoulderProbable61.9
Amari CooperWRHipQuestionable59.3
Jordan ElliottDTElbowProbable50.9
Jadeveon ClowneyDEConcussionQuestionable43.9
Kareem HuntRBShoulderProbable30.5

Commanders Offense Vs. Browns Defense

Commanders OffenseStats (Rank)Browns Defense
19.0 (24)Points/Gm22.9 (21)
0.3 (16)Points/Play0.4 (17)
336.4 (19)Yards/Gm335.9 (16)
212.7 (19)Pass Yards/Gm201.5 (8)
123.7 (13)Rush Yards/Gm134.3 (25)
5.0 (25)Yards/Play5.6 (20)
6.3 (20)Yards/Pass6.5 (11)
4.0 (27)Yards/Rush4.9 (25)
35.5% (25)3rd Down %37.5% (8)
52.5% (20)Red Zone %54.7% (14)
19 (13)Turnovers16 (22)
42 (24)Sacks30 (26)

Browns Offense Vs. Commanders Defense

Browns OffenseStats (Rank)Commanders Defense
21.5 (14)Points/Gm20.9 (12)
0.3 (16)Points/Play0.4 (17)
355.1 (10)Yards/Gm313.1 (4)
207.7 (22)Pass Yards/Gm198.6 (7)
147.3 (5)Rush Yards/Gm114.5 (13)
5.3 (18)Yards/Play5.3 (12)
6.3 (20)Yards/Pass6.5 (11)
4.6 (13)Yards/Rush4.5 (19)
38.0% (20)3rd Down %32.6% (2)
52.9% (19)Red Zone %52.1% (8)
19 (13)Turnovers16 (22)
32 (11)Sacks37 (12)

BROWNS AT COMMANDERS BETTING INSIGHTS

Why The Browns Can Cover The Spread

This matchup for the Browns against the Commanders plays into Cleveland’s strength on offense of running the football. The Browns are still a top-five rushing offense per PFF. The Commanders have been allowing rushing production of late, ranking as a bottom-ten rush defense per PFF.

While the Browns have struggled defensively in 2022, their ability to rush the quarterback is still elite, grading as a top-ten pass rush per PFF. The Commanders have handed the keys over to turnover-prone Carson Wentz. To make matters worse for Washington, they have allowed the fifth-most pressures in 2022, setting up the Browns’ pass rush to wreak havoc in this spot.

Why The Commanders Can Cover The Spread

Washington can cover this spread with their defense. Browns QB Deshaun Watson has only a 57.7% completion rate in his first four starts, averaging 175.8 passing yards per game while throwing two touchdowns to 3 interceptions. His poor play has resulted in Cleveland averaging 11.0 points over its last three games, the second-worst clip in the NFL during that span. Watson is destined to have another rough outing against Washington’s solid defense. The Commanders have allowed the third-fewest completions (19.0) and seventh-fewest receiving yards (198.6) in 2022. Furthermore, they’re tied for the 12th-most sacks (37) and also have 16 takeaways on the year.

Reasons To Bet The Over

The Browns defense is in play for a potential defensive touchdown, and some turnovers created, with how well they rush the quarterback. We know Carson Wentz makes plenty of mistakes when pressured. A short field or defensive points help speed games up and increase the total points. This scenario allows the potential for this game to go over its point total.

Reasons To Bet The Under

We still haven’t seen the Browns’ offense find its footing with Deshaun Watson at the controls. Carson Wentz hasn’t started a game since early October. Neither offense has been productive of late, nor have they been creating games with numerous plays run. Cleveland’s games average the league’s second-fewest total points since Watson took over (29.8) and have fallen out of the top 12 in average combined plays.

Cleveland has scored only three offensive touchdowns during the last month. Washington’s defense ranks 10th by DVOA and features a top-10-graded pass rush. Due in part to performing better against the pass than the run, opponents facing the Commanders hand off at a top-12 rate during neutral situations (44.8%). It has kept the clock running in their games. Washington operates at the league’s slowest pace. They run at the third-highest rate while games remain close on the season (52.4%), and a league-high 58.9% of the time over the past month. With a solid defense and an inconsistent offense, Washington’s games produce the sixth-fewest total points.

BROWNS AT COMMANDERS MATCHUPS TO WATCH FOR

Nick Chubb vs. Washington’s run defense– Since starting the year red-hot, Nick Chubb’s rushing production has slowed down tremendously. This matchup against the Commanders is a potential get-right spot for the Browns rushing attack. Washington has allowed over 138 rushing yards per game to opposing offenses over its last three games.

Brian Robinson vs. Cleveland’s run defense– Robinson is averaging 17 carries a game over his last five appearances. Teammate Antonio Gibson is unlikely to play this week due to knee and ankle sprains. This should give Robinson plenty of opportunity against a run defense that PFF grades as a bottom-three run unit.

FINAL THOUGHTS

With the Commanders fighting for a playoff spot and Cleveland not playing for anything but pride, I have the Commanders covering the short spread at home this week. Best of luck betting on Browns vs. Commanders odds.

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Jeffrey Schreiber Avatar
Written by
Jeffrey Schreiber

Jeffrey Schreiber is a sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media. Jeff is recent college graduate with a background in finance and analytics. His goal is to provide readers with data and information behind the "why" to make a bet. His most memorable betting moment came during the divisional round of the 2022 NFL playoffs when he turned $37 in same-game parlay bets into $25,000.

View all posts by Jeffrey Schreiber