NFL Week 16 Betting Preview: Jacksonville Jaguars At New York Jets TNF Odds

Written By Brett Gibbons on December 22, 2022
Jaguars Jets odds

The Jacksonville Jaguars (6-8) visit the New York Jets (7-7) on Thursday Night Football in NFL Week 16. The game kicks Thursday, Dec. 22 at 8:15 p.m. ET from MetLife Stadium and will be broadcast on Prime Video. The Jaguars at Jets odds mark this game as a PK, but you can find the Jets at . The Jaguars are as high as on the moneyline while the over/under currently sits at points.

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before betting Jaguars at Jets odds and props. We’ll also look at team matchups, key metrics, injuries and the best available odds.

Jaguars At Jets Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

To place a bet, click on Jaguars at Jets odds in the table above. Toggle between spread, moneyline, or point total in the dropdown menu.

Follow along with TheLines for NFL Week 16 odds and game previews.

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Jaguars At Jets Player Props

Search for a player in our NFL Player Props Search tool below by typing their name into the search bar. To place a bet, click on the odds in the table.

Jaguars At Jets Betting News & Angles

Jaguars At Jets Weather

Forecasts for Thursday night call for rain– heavy at times– with 15 mph winds and highs in the upper 40s. However, with a massive winter storm disturbing most of the country late this week, keep an eye on East Rutherford, NJ for rapidly changing or deteriorating weather conditions.

Jaguars Vs. Jets Injury Report

Jacksonville Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Trevor LawrenceQBToeQuestionable66.7
Brandon ScherffOGAbdomenQuestionable66.3
Travon WalkerOLBAnkleQuestionable57.7
Chad MumaLBAnkleQuestionable30.8

New York Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Mike WhiteQBRibOut71.7
George FantOTKneeQuestionable66.2
Duane BrownOTShoulderQuestionable62.7
Quinnen WilliamsNTCalfQuestionable48.0
Corey DavisWRConcussionQuestionable45.8
Denzel MimsWRConcussionQuestionable32.1
Brandin EcholsCBQuadricepQuestionable22.5
Jeff SmithWRKneeQuestionable20.6

Jaguars Offense Vs. Jets Defense

Jaguars OffenseStats (Rank)Jets Defense
23.9 (12)Points/Gm18.8 (4)
0.4 (1)Points/Play0.3 (2)
367.9 (6)Yards/Gm305.4 (3)
240.7 (10)Pass Yards/Gm193.9 (4)
127.2 (10)Rush Yards/Gm111.5 (11)
5.8 (6)Yards/Play4.8 (2)
6.7 (11)Yards/Pass5.8 (3)
4.9 (6)Yards/Rush4.1 (5)
42.0% (13)3rd Down %38.5% (15)
54.9% (14)Red Zone %52.8% (8)
18 (17)Turnovers15 (22)
24 (5)Sacks39 (7)

Jets Offense Vs. Jaguars Defense

Jets OffenseStats (Rank)Jaguars Defense
20.1 (23)Points/Gm23.4 (21)
0.3 (15)Points/Play0.4 (14)
336.7 (19)Yards/Gm370.7 (27)
229.1 (15)Pass Yards/Gm252.6 (29)
107.6 (24)Rush Yards/Gm118.1 (16)
5.2 (20)Yards/Play5.7 (24)
6.2 (21)Yards/Pass7.1 (26)
4.3 (17)Yards/Rush4.2 (8)
35.4% (26)3rd Down %46.8% (29)
48.8% (27)Red Zone %64.6% (28)
18 (17)Turnovers22 (4)
35 (19)Sacks26 (28)

Jaguars At Jets Betting Insights

Why The Jaguars Can Cover The Spread

The Jets confirmed that QB Mike White (injury) would not be playing in the game, instead that Zach Wilson would once again start. When Wilson starts at QB, the Jets are markedly a worse offense. Last week, despite a heroic throw at the end of the game, Wilson routinely missed open guys– notably rookie star Garrett Wilson– and likely caused the Jets to lose to the Lions.

While the Jets’ defense is terrific, they could be down defensive tackle Quinnen Williams again. Without Williams in the middle, it’s possible to run the football on them. The Jaguars’ offense under Trevor Lawrence has emerged into one of the better units in the NFL. Even on the road and in the rain, Jacksonville is a potentially dangerous offense.

With a line hovering around a PK, you’re essentially picking winners. The Jaguars have proved multiple times this year that they’re capable of beating decent teams.

Why The Jets Can Cover The Spread

For every 40-34 win over the Cowboys that the Jaguars have, they also have a 40-14 loss to the Lions. Bottom line, their defense stinks. Jacksonville is 25th in yards per play allowed and 26th in passing success rate allowed; over their last four games, they’re 28th in passing EPA allowed. Even under Wilson, the defense can move the ball against a bad defense.

However, their real chance to win this game comes on defense. The Jaguars have dug themselves in serious holes in two of the last three games but managed to get back in and win last week. Against a suffocating defense like the Jets– particularly against their secondary– it’s less likely they pull another 14-point second-half comeback.

Reasons To Bet The Over

Market overreactions to weather is a very real thing. Having sunk to , there’s at least CLV on betting over at some point. Both teams are capable of scoring in buckets, especially the Jaguars. But if this total sinks further, taking the over based on a market overcorrection could prove to be a fruitful effort.

Reasons To Bet The Under

Maybe the market did’t overcorrect and the rain really does impede the offensive output in this game. Further, the Jets defense is fully capable of shutting down high-flying offenses, demonstrated by holding the Lions to 20 on Sunday. A sloppy game at home with a good defense is a good formula for holding opposing offenses to peanuts.

If Williams returns to the defensive front, the Jets get an even bigger boost.

Jaguars At Jets Props: Matchups To Watch For

Trevor Lawrence Vs. Jets Passing Defense: It’s not just Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner. The Jets field a nasty pass rush that’s ninth in the NFL in pressure rate (23.3%) and fourth in QB knockdown rate (12%) despite a league-low blitz rate (15%). The Jets personnel allows them to rack up coverage sacks and pressure with four- or five-man rushes.

In his last six games, Lawrence found his stride, throwing 14 touchdowns and just one interception. However, he’s also taken 12 sacks in that span, including nine in a two-game stretch against Kansas City and Baltimore. The Chiefs have a high pressure rate (23.7%, eighth) while the Ravens have a terrific secondary that leads to coverage sacks. The Jets have both.

Walker Little Vs. Jets Pass Rush: Take all the pressure notes from the Jets above and throw in the fact that starting left tackle Cam Robinson is likely out for the season. In his place is Walker Little, a second-year tackle out of Stanford. He’s played limited time this year, with just 25 snaps at left tackle thus far. In 30 total pass block snaps, Little’s allowed five pressures but no sacks.

PFF grades Little 34.4 for pass blocking ability, which would rank around 100th if he played enough snaps to qualify in the rankings. Against Carl Lawson, Little has his hands full. Lawson has six sacks and 21 QB hits on the season, both second-most behind Williams.

  • Possible props to target here: Trevor Lawrence sacks, Jets team sack props.

Final Thoughts

Looking at the season schedule back in Week 1, this was an eye-roll game. However, 15 weeks into the season, it’s not only intriguing but carries a lot of weight for the Jets– who are fighting for a playoff berth– and the Jaguars– who are suddenly back in the AFC South race.

Zach Wilson suiting up at QB for the Jets is incredibly uninspiring and it’s been proven time and time again he’s not the best QB option on the team. The body language his teammates show when he plays is that of frustration and exasperation. Mike White likely wins the Jets the game last week and would have them a more sure favorite this season.

As long as Wilson plays QB for the Jets, I’m steering clear betting them. If anything, I’m looking at player props in this game.

Best of luck betting the Jaguars at Jets odds in this game.

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Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons