Saturday NFL Week 16 Odds: New Orleans Saints At Cleveland Browns Preview

Written By Brett Gibbons on December 24, 2022
Browns Saints odds

The Cleveland Browns (6-8) host the New Orleans Saints (5-9) in NFL Week 16 action on Saturday, Dec. 24 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Kickoff comes from FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, Ohio, and will be broadcast on CBS. The Browns Saints odds show Cleveland as a favorite and the Saints are on the moneyline. The over/under currently sits at points– one of the lowest marks on the season due to struggling offenses and impending weather.

In this article we break down everything you need to know before betting the Saints At Browns odds, props, and injuries. We’ll also look at team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds.

Saints At Browns Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

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Saints At Browns Player Props

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Saints At Browns Betting News & Angles

Saints At Browns Weather

Cleveland is squarely in the middle of the Arctic blast making its way throughout much of the US this weekend. While there shouldn’t be much precipitation, if any, temperatures will be in the single digits all game long. Strong, gusty winds in excess of 50 mph are probable and will make the wind chill dip several degrees below zero, potentially as low as -25º.

Browns Vs. Saints Injury Report

Cleveland Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Ethan PocicCKneeQuestionable66.1
Denzel WardCBShoulderQuestionable62.5
Amari CooperWRHipQuestionable59.1
David NjokuTEKneeQuestionable57.9
Myles GarrettDEIllnessQuestionable54.5
Jadeveon ClowneyDEConcussionQuestionable43.9
David BellWRToeQuestionable40.9
Nick ChubbRBFootQuestionable38.8
A.J. GreenCBToeProbable20.4

New Orleans Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Marshon LattimoreCBAbdomenQuestionable60.4
Pete WernerLBHamstringQuestionable56.7
Chris OlaveWRHamstringQuestionable40.7
Adam TrautmanTEAnkleQuestionable39.2
P.J. WilliamsCBKneeQuestionable38.4
Dwayne WashingtonRBIllnessQuestionable25.0

Browns Offense Vs. Saints Defense

Browns OffenseStats (Rank)Saints Defense
22.4 (13)Points/Gm22.5 (17)
0.3 (15)Points/Play0.4 (14)
362.6 (8)Yards/Gm327.6 (11)
213.6 (20)Pass Yards/Gm195.1 (7)
149.0 (5)Rush Yards/Gm132.6 (23)
5.4 (15)Yards/Play5.1 (7)
6.5 (15)Yards/Pass6.0 (6)
4.7 (10)Yards/Rush4.6 (21)
37.5% (22)3rd Down %41.4% (22)
54.2% (17)Red Zone %50.0% (4)
18 (17)Turnovers10 (32)
30 (9)Sacks38 (10)

Saints Offense Vs. Browns Defense

Saints OffenseStats (Rank)Browns Defense
20.4 (22)Points/Gm23.3 (20)
0.3 (15)Points/Play0.4 (14)
343.8 (17)Yards/Gm342.4 (18)
232.4 (12)Pass Yards/Gm209.4 (12)
111.4 (21)Rush Yards/Gm133.1 (24)
5.8 (6)Yards/Play5.6 (18)
7.3 (5)Yards/Pass6.6 (14)
4.3 (17)Yards/Rush5.0 (29)
40.0% (16)3rd Down %36.7% (6)
52.4% (19)Red Zone %54.0% (12)
22 (30)Turnovers15 (22)
30 (9)Sacks30 (21)

Saints At Browns Betting Insights

Why The Browns Can Cover The Spread

The Saints have been cleaned up against the AFC North this season and now look to avoid the 4-0 sweep on the road in harsh weather conditions. Being both from the south and playing home games (and a divisional matchup every year) indoors. Only the Vikings have been worse at running the ball over the last seven games than the Saints (32.3% rushing success rate) and that’s a phase of the game needed to be crutched on Saturday.

To cover 2.5 points, the Browns don’t need an avalanche of points. In fact, they really don’t even need to score. Let the weather do what it does, force a turnover (they’ve forced the fifth-most over the last three games) and take care of the football (New Orleans forces the least turnovers in the NFL).

Why The Saints Can Cover The Spread

Just based on point total principle, taking the points in this game is extremely valuable. The market agrees– the Saints were bet off +3 to +2.5 in many spots early in the week. It doesn’t take a lot of points to close in on Cleveland lately. Under Deshaun Watson, the Browns have scored a grand total of two offensive touchdowns in three games and over 30 possessions.

Given the weather and momentum of the Browns offense, one touchdown might be enough to keep the game within a field goal.

Reasons To Bet The Over

The over/under suggests this game will barely qualify as a football game. With extreme temperatures, gusty winds, and icy conditions from days before, it’s a perfectly understandable line. However, with the total as laughably low as it is, paired with a couple of perfectly capable rushing attacks, it’s an achievable number. Cold and wind isn’t as quick to put the brakes on ground assaults, so this could be an overly-cautious number.

Reasons To Bet The Under

On the other hand, the weather conditions really are that extreme and these two offenses are far from inspiring. Under Watson, the Browns have a paltry two touchdowns in three games and over 30 possessions. The Saints are averaging the second-fewest points in the NFL over their last seven games (15.9), not giving the other side a jolt of energy.

The Browns limped to a 13-3 win over Baltimore– a team with equal or greater offensive prowess than New Orleans at the moment. This game really could be a 10-6 finish.

Ravens At Browns Props: Matchups To Watch For

Saints Run Game Vs. Browns Run Defense: As mentioned, the Saints are the second-worst rushing offense in the NFL since Week 9 with under a 33% success rate. As a result, Alvin Kamara has been held out of the end zone since Halloween and to another career-low season. The Browns don’t offer the stiffest competition in terms of rushing defense. They’re allowing the fourth-most yards per carry on the season (5.0) and the second-highest rushing success rate since Week 9 (49%).

Something’s gotta give and a presumably increased focus on the rushing game in Cleveland, Kamara might find pay dirt for the second time this season. On the other hand, if his totals are inflated off a 91-yard performance, it may be worth a shot betting under his yards Saturday.

Taysom Hill and Juwan Johnson Vs. Browns Linebackers: Travis Kelce leads tight ends with 12 TDs on the season. The player squarely behind him? Juwan Johnson. He’s scored in five of the Saints last seven games, twice with two touchdowns. Taysom Hill has nine combined TDs on the season, between rushing (five), receiving (two), and passing (two).

They have a terrific matchup against a Browns linebacking corps that’s in the tank. Their top four starters on the depth chart are all on the IR, forcing the team to trade for Deion Jones from Atlanta and starting fifth-round, one-year starter Tony Fields II. Both players are among the lowest-graded run defenders, per PFF, but do grade out fairly against the pass.

Either way, these are fringe 53-man roster guys. The Saints have loved their tight ends in the recent weeks, targeting them 25% over the last five weeks.

Final Thoughts

Don’t forget to get your bets in on time since the bulk of NFL action unfolds Saturday this week, this game included.

The point total is laughably low, but it might not be low enough. The weather system coming through the Midwest on Saturday is no joke and the winds and brutal chill might grind whatever’s left of these two offenses to a total halt. The Saints have been painfully inefficient rushing the football and flat out refuse to pass to their talented receivers in the last few games.

Because of that, I’m pulling the Browns under a field goal. With a total so low and 20% of NFL games ending in a three-point differential, the half point nod to New Orleans is extremely valuable. No hesitation here– the Browns are both better suited for the weather conditions and are overall the better football team.

Best of luck betting the Browns Saints odds in this game.

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Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons