NFL Week 16 Betting Preview: Cincinnati Bengals At New England Patriots

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on December 24, 2022
Bengals Patriots odds

The Cincinnati Bengals visit the New England Patriots at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, Dec. 24. Primary markets for the game show the Bengals as spread favorites and on the moneyline. Bengals Patriots odds feature a total set at .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather and the best available NFL Week 16 odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Bengals At Patriots Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

In this case, the Bengals would have to win by at least four points if you bet them to cover the point spread (-3.5). A spread bet on the Patriots would win if they win the game or lose by fewer than four.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

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Bengals At Patriots Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike bigger markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences in the numbers.

Bengals At Patriots Betting News & Angles

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Bengals – Patriots odds.

Patriots Vs. Bengals Weather

This game takes place outdoors at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. The forecast as of Tuesday calls for sunny skies, 29-degree temperatures and medium-strength 14 mph winds.

Bengals Vs. Patriots Injury Report

Cincinnati Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Cam Taylor-BrittCBShoulderQuestionable59.5
Sam HubbardDECalfOut55.1
Mike HiltonCBKneeQuestionable51.0
Hayden HurstTECalfQuestionable46.1
Trey HendricksonDEWristQuestionable45.9
Tee HigginsWRHamstringQuestionable45.1
Trent TaylorWRHamstringQuestionable15.0
Jalen DavisCBThumbQuestionable10.5

New England Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Jakobi MeyersWRShoulderQuestionable47.8
Jalen MillsCBGroinQuestionable47.7
Rhamondre StevensonRBAnkleQuestionable41.6
DeVante ParkerWRConcussionQuestionable40.9
Jack JonesDBKneeQuestionable36.2
Damien HarrisRBThighQuestionable18.0
Joe CardonaLSAnkleQuestionable9.1

Bengals Offense Vs. Patriots Defense

Bengals OffenseStats (Rank)Patriots Defense
26.4 (5)Points/Gm19.2 (7)
0.405 (8)Points/Play0.304 (6)
362.1 (10)Yards/Gm312.3 (6)
262.1 (6)Pass Yards/Gm202 (9)
100 (26)Rush Yards/Gm110.3 (9)
5.6 (13)Yards/Play4.9 (5)
7.1 (9)Yards/Pass6 (8)
3.9 (28)Yards/Rush4.2 (9)
46.86% (4)3rd Down %39.2% (16)
68% (4)Red Zone %56.1% (18)
1 (3)Turnovers/Game1.6 (4)
7.19% (20)Sack Rate9.21% (3)

Patriots Offense Vs. Bengals Defense

Patriots OffenseStats (Rank)Bengals Defense
21.4 (17)Points/Gm20.6 (10)
0.361 (14)Points/Play0.332 (11)
319.5 (25)Yards/Gm335.7 (15)
207.5 (23)Pass Yards/Gm226.1 (20)
112 (19)Rush Yards/Gm109.6 (8)
5.4 (18)Yards/Play5.4 (14)
6.7 (11)Yards/Pass6.6 (15)
4.3 (22)Yards/Rush4.2 (8)
34.09% (29)3rd Down %39.34% (17)
37.84% (32)Red Zone %53.33% (10)
1.4 (24)Turnovers/Game1.4 (10)
7.07% (19)Sack Rate4.37% (30)

Bengals At Patriots Betting Insights

Why The Bengals Can Cover The Spread

The market has been consistently behind on the Bengals dating to last season. They’ve covered in an astonishing 11 of the past 12. And for this matchup, we’ve seen high-volume passing offenses like that of the Bills move the ball fairly easily against these Patriots defense, which has feasted on weak offenses and inexperienced QBs. This Bengals team brings neither of those things to the table. If they get to their usual 24 or so points, the Patriots will have their work cut out for them with a passing offense that barely surpassed 100 yards on the Raiders.

Why The Patriots Can Cover The Spread

This team is fighting for its playoff life at home, one game behind the seventh and final playoff seed. Certainly, there’s far more urgency and we should be seeing their very best effort. And we just saw a top-flight defense lock up this Bengals unit as the Buccaneers completely dominated them, holding them under 4 YPP. If this game winds up a low-scoring defensive battle — as two good defenses playing outdoors might render it — then the Patriots have a great chance to cover.

Reasons To Bet The Over

Well, the total is 39.5 between two offenses that average a little below 50 points per game combined. The Bengals in particular look like a team that should lean hard to the over right now with their passing game getting healthy again but also losing EDGE Trey Hendrickson to injury, a key part of the defense. The question is, will the Patriots passing game hold up its end of the bargain? That unit has been rough at times this season.

Reasons To Bet The Under

If the Patriots continue being unable to find their form throwing the ball, then they’ll have to lean hard on Rhamondre Stevenson and this rushing attack. That could potentially work against a Bengals defense that’s beatable on the ground (16th in EPA/play there), but it will drain clock and help get the under home.

Bengals At Patriots Matchups To Watch For

Ja’Marr Chase Vs. Buccaneers DBs

The past couple of weeks, the Bengals offense has had precious little going on aside from throwing to Chase. The Buccaneers did a good job on him, and the Bengals had no real answers aside from cashing in on short fields from Tom Brady’s turnovers. If the Patriots can do similar work — and their corners did a tremendous job on Davante Adams last week — then expect a slow grind from this Bengals offense.

Bengals OL Vs. Patriots Pass Rush

Early in the season, when Cincinnati was struggling, the offensive line was at the center of the struggles. The revamped unit has played better recently but still gives up sacks at a well below average rate. Well, the Patriots rank second in pressure rate and fourth in adjusted sack rate. This will bring a real challenge to this protection unit.

Patriots Rushing Attack Vs. Bengals Run D

Rhamondre Stevenson was the top rusher in the NFL last week as the Patriots blasted the Raiders up front. Again, the Bengals rushing defense can be beaten, but they’ll surely be locked in on Stevenson, particularly with Mac Jones’ poor recent play looking so unthreatening.

Final Thoughts

The Bengals appear to be a juggernaut right now, but how much of that owes to playing a Bucs team that dominated them in terms of yardage and YPP only to hand them the game in terms of turnovers? On the other hand, how much of the seemingly elite Patriots defense is actually a real thing? They appear to simply feast on bottom-of-the-barrel offenses only to look completely mortal when actual competition steps onto the field. Certainly, the Patriots would appear to be a decent side if this total holds any water, as a low-scoring game does not give the Bengals a great shot at covering here. But, which Mac Jones will show up? He has had some huge game at times like against the Vikings and Ravens, but also looked completely awful at others.

Best of luck betting on Bengals Patriots odds.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah