Week 16 NFL Betting: Upset Predictions For Longshot Parlays & Pick ‘Em Pools
Underdogs, are always make for enticing wagers among NFL Week 16 odds. Nevertheless, deciding on the most valuable ones across NFL betting sites is an arduous task. That’s where TheLines can help. Here are three plus-money teams to consider if you typically throw some pizza money on moneyline parlays or same-game parlays. This three-team parlay isn’t a personal wager. You can find my best bets later in the week.
Click on any odds to place a wager at the best sports betting sites. The odds listed below are the best available in your state.
buffalo bills at Los Angeles Chargers
Surprisingly enough, this game wasn’t selected by accident. Initially, Bills odds opened as 10.5-point road favorites. The spread quickly spiked as high as two touchdowns, but it’s since settled around Buffalo -12. Josh Allen & Co. are coming off a dominant victory over the Cowboys, inflating this spread and moneyline odds in the process. Although the Chargers were demolished by the Raiders in Week 15, which resulted in the firing of Brandon Staley, I’d expect a much different effort on Saturday night.
Monitor the status of Los Angeles wideout Keenan Allen (heel) for this NFL betting underdog. If quarterback Easton Stick has any chance of pulling off the upset, he’ll need Allen, who has manufactured the third-highest first-read target share (39.7%) among qualified receivers. The best price tag for the Chargers to win outright is currently .
| STATS |
Bills
BUF
|
Chargers
LAC
|
|---|---|---|
| Offense Ranking OFF RNK | 11th | 12th |
| Defense Ranking DEF RNK | T13th | 16th |
| Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG | 352 | 316 |
| Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG | 270 | 296 |
| Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG | 222 | 140 |
| Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG | 1 | 0 |
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings
Not only was Minnesota dealt a gut-wrenching overtime loss in Cincinnati, but it also constituted its 38th one-possession outcome since 2021. It’s easily the most during that span. As expected, this spread projects a similar outcome.
Nevertheless, Kevin O’Connell’s bunch possesses an edge on both sides of the ball. For one, Lions QB Jared Goff has repeatedly scuffled against zone coverage. Well, the Vikings’ defense utilizes Cover 0 and Cover 2 looks at the league’s highest rates. Plus, Goff’s counterpart Nick Mullens has the weapons to exploit a secondary that ranks No. 26 in dropback success rate allowed.
The best moneyline price on Vikings odds is .
| STATS |
Lions
DET
|
Vikings
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| Offense Ranking OFF RNK | 9th | 13th |
| Defense Ranking DEF RNK | 26th | 9th |
| Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG | 363 | 312 |
| Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG | 387 | 240 |
| Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG | 200 | 201 |
| Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG | 1 | 2 |
- Related: Super Bowl odds for the 2023 NFL season
Baltimore Ravens at San Francisco 49ers
I’ve been bullish on Lamar Jackson’s potential with Todd Monken, Baltimore’s first-year offensive coordinator, since the offseason. In fact, you’ll find my Super Bowl bet on the Ravens’ odds in that article. Granted, they’re in for their most difficult test yet. Most oddsmakers have the 49ers power-rated as the NFL’s best team, and this spread insinuates they would be near a four-point favorite against Baltimore on a neutral field.
That very scenario could occur in Las Vegas on Feb. 11, 2024. Until then, Baltimore possesses more motivation in this matchup, with their eyes set on the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC playoffs. Don’t forget that San Francisco already clinched the NFC West title on Sunday.
However, the 49ers struggled to contain Kyler Murray and the Cardinals’ read-option in the victory. The same issues could emerge against Jackson and the Ravens’ efficient ground attack. Baltimore’s best moneyline odds are .
| STATS |
Ravens
BAL
|
49ers
SF
|
|---|---|---|
| Offense Ranking OFF RNK | 1st | N/A |
| Defense Ranking DEF RNK | 23rd | N/A |
| Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG | 452 | |
| Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG | 353 | |
| Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG | 267 | |
| Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG | 1 |
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