NFL Week 15 Betting Preview: New York Giants at Washington Commanders Spread

Written By Evan Scrimshaw on December 18, 2022
giants vs commanders odds

Sunday Night Football in Week 15 sees the slate of games end with an NFC East rematch, as the New York Giants (7-5-1) head into Washington to play the Commanders (7-5-1). These two teams played just two weeks ago, and for Washington, it’s only the third time since 1970 a team has played the same opponent two games in a row in the regular season. Giants vs. Commanders odds have New York as spread underdogs and to win on the moneyline. The over/under is .

With the last two spots in the NFC playoff picture potentially coming down to these two teams, with Seattle and Detroit lurking, this game could be crucial to which team controls its playoff destiny.

Giants vs. Commanders Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

This Giants vs. Commanders odds table effectively shows all the legal sportsbook MNF odds for each of the three main markets – spreads, totals, and moneylines – so that bettors can know what they’re getting is the best price. Just use the dropdown menu to toggle between the type of bet you want, and then make sure you’re getting the best price when you bet.

If you’re looking at spreads, getting an extra half point on either side can make or break the difference, and getting the best side of a total points market can be crucial as well. When it comes to Moneyline betting, you always want to get the best number possible – all three things that the easy comparison points of the odds table allow.

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Giants vs. Commanders Player Props

The props tool enables bettors to effectively track Giants Commanders odds across sportsbooks for every player prop, to make sure that bettors aren’t missing out on a better total, or a better value, on a player prop.

Whether it’s getting a total you want to bet an Over on 5 yards lower, or a line where you have to pay less juice, the Props tool enables bettors to make sure they’re not missing out on the best available SNF odds.

Giants vs. Commanders Betting News & Angles

Washington Vs. Giants Weather

Dry conditions (broken clouds) and 10 mph winds are expected at FedExField on Sunday (as of 6:16 PM on December 17), with a high temperature of 33 degrees Fahrenheit.

Washington Vs. Giants Injury Report

Washington Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Cam SimsWRBackQuestionable36.5
Efe ObadaDEFingerQuestionable33.8
Saahdiq CharlesOTConcussionOut26.2

New York Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Nick McCloudCBIllnessQuestionable49.8
Jihad WardOLBConcussionQuestionable47.9
Daniel BellingerTERibsQuestionable44.3
Shane LemieuxOGToeOut41.0
Elerson G. SmithOLBAchillesOut13.0

Washington Offense Vs. Giants Defense

Commanders OffenseStats (Rank)Giants Defense
19.5 (25)Points/Gm23.1 (20)
0.3 (16)Points/Play0.4 (14)
331.5 (21)Yards/Gm365.8 (26)
207.1 (23)Pass Yards/Gm216.1 (17)
124.5 (14)Rush Yards/Gm149.7 (29)
4.9 (27)Yards/Play5.8 (26)
6.1 (23)Yards/Pass6.5 (14)
4.0 (26)Yards/Rush5.4 (31)
35.6% (26)3rd Down %36.5% (7)
52.9% (18)Red Zone %51.0% (5)
15 (11)Turnovers15 (15)
37 (24)Sacks29 (18)

Giants Offense Vs. Washington Defense

Giants OffenseStats (Rank)Commanders Defense
20.5 (20)Points/Gm19.7 (10)
0.3 (16)Points/Play0.3 (2)
328.1 (23)Yards/Gm310.5 (4)
180.5 (28)Pass Yards/Gm200.1 (8)
147.6 (6)Rush Yards/Gm110.5 (9)
5.1 (23)Yards/Play5.3 (11)
6.1 (23)Yards/Pass6.4 (12)
4.7 (8)Yards/Rush4.4 (14)
38.2% (20)3rd Down %33.1% (3)
61.5% (8)Red Zone %54.8% (14)
13 (2)Turnovers15 (15)
44 (29)Sacks34 (11)

Giants vs. Commanders Betting Insights

Reasons The Giants Can Cover The Spread

The Giants have been one of the more consistently inconsistent teams in recent weeks – they get destroyed any time they play a good team, and play close games against teams on their level. Given that they and Washington tied last time they played, to suggest Washington is substantially better than them is a stretch.

The Giants are 10th in Early Down EPA on offense and have been able to string together drives by avoiding getting off schedule, which should be able to continue.

Why The Commanders can cover the spread

If Washington not only wins but covers this number, the reason will be simple – their pass rush. The Commanders are 4th in the league in Pressure Rate while only blitzing around league average, and the Giants allow the most pressure in the league. They sacked Daniel Jones 4 times in their first meeting, and that should continue.

On the other side of the ball, the Commanders did rush for 165 yards against the Giants last time they played, which should be repeatable against a bottom 5 rush defense by both PFF and DVOA.

Reasons to bet the over

The only arguments here for the Over is that 40.5 is a low total and that with two Top 5 pass rushes by Pressure Rate, the chances of untimely sacks or errant throws does increase the chances of either defensive touchdowns or short fields for the offenses, both of which would speed up the game.

Reasons to bet the under

These two teams needed a full Overtime period to score 40 last time they played, which doesn’t bode well here. Both offenses are slow and methodical and even if they can avoid the strong pass rushes on both sides and score, it’ll be with long, time consuming drives that don’t allow for much upside on the total.

Giants vs. Commanders Props: Matchups To Watch For

Over Sacks: Both teams have a top-five defensive line by Pressure Rate, and they’re both going against bottom-five offensive lines by Pressure Allowed. The last time these two teams played, there were 9 sacks in the game. Especially if one team gets behind early and has to chuck, the defensive lines will be able to tee off on him.

Final Thoughts

The Giants being this big of favourites is probably a fair reflection of their talent versus the Commanders, but that doesn’t mean the Commanders are going to cover.

Both Washington and the Giants are built to play slow games, with the Giants trusting Saquon more than Danny Dimes for obvious reasons and Washington not wanting to make Heinicke do too much. With both teams being run heavy, this game is going to go fast, and not a lot’s going to happen.

In a game where the total is 40.5, the value of a +4.5 is increased – and you need Washington to win by a substantial amount for a team that struggles to score reliably. Washington has scored an average of 20 points/game their last 5, and expecting that to cover more than a field goal is risky.

These two offenses are likely going to stall a lot of drives out in field goal range or around midfield, and if that’s the case, then they’re going to see troubles scoring meaningful numbers of points. And given that, in division, against a team that sticks around in games, NY is getting too many points in Giants vs. Commanders odds.

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