The FanDuel Sportsbook in New Jersey and the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas release NFL advance look-ahead lines every week, and Week 15 features four division games headlined by a pair of primetime playoff previews. The Los Angeles Chargers visit Kansas City in a key AFC West contest that could be for first place, and Monday Night Football has the New Orleans Saints traveling to Carolina to tackle the Panthers.
Then there’s the Eagles and Rams on Sunday night. We’re seeing more meaningful games down the stretch as teams push for the playoffs, and these conference games will impact the standings and playoff positioning. And the betting odds set by sportsbooks seem to be getting tighter by the week.
Review the NFL Week 15 look-ahead lines below and start preparing to watch and wager on some key division games and prime time games with playoff contenders.
Adjusting to market moves
Last week we noted the big adjustments in the betting lines and season-high seven road favorites taking a majority of the betting action. Most bettors took a hit wagering on favorites, as those road favorites went 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS in Week 13 action. The Saints started the down week losing at Dallas Thursday 13-10 as a 7.5-point road favorite.
Adjusting to the market moves and even optional bets like teasers is a strategy to consider and employ, but hard habits are tough to break if you just wager on favorites and like to tease them down. The Saints were not the only big favorite to get stung last week, as the Packers (-14) were upset at home by Arizona 20-17, and head coach Mike McCarthy was fired by Green Bay. Other road favorites or more than 3 points that lost in Week 13 included the Colts (6-0), Panthers (24-17) and Bears (30-27) in overtime. The Falcons were not a big favorite but took a ton of betting action going from a 2.5-point home underdog to a 2.5-point favorite. But the Falcons were dominated by the Ravens, and Atlanta gained a week-low 131 yards at 2.9 yards per play in a 26-16 beatdown by Baltimore.
Despite many teams being eliminated from the playoffs, we saw last week that even the dregs at the bottom of the standings like the NY Giants, Tampa Bay and Jacksonville, who had lost seven straight games, can rise up and win as an ugly underdog. The contrary nature of the NFL produces surprising results like the Cowboys over the Saints, the Colts getting shutout at Jacksonville and the Giants upset of the Bears. Those results are almost always a good result for the sports books, so evaluate the games and match-ups and be willing to change your approach and thoughts throughout the NFL season.
Week 14 look-ahead lines and major moves
Many bettors react more to recent results and are often unwilling to bet on bad teams. That’s what happened last week with so many ugly underdogs and home puppies gaining some footing. Injuries are derailing some team’s seasons, and Week 14 will see a continuation and addition of more backup quarterbacks getting the call to lead their teams. Mark Sanchez (WASH), Cody Kessler (JAX), Chase Daniel (CHI), Jeff Driskel (CIN) and Nick Mullens (SF) will likely start at quarterback. Those teams will take fewer bets (again), and all are underdogs.
As of Thursday, four of those teams were taking less than 30% of the bets on a consensus of public betting trends from seven sportsbooks tracked by SportsInsights through The Action Network. The other team, Jacksonville, was taking 37% of the bets in their Thursday night game at Tennessee.
The biggest line moves from the Week 14 look ahead lines to the current lines are:
- Baltimore at Kansas City (KC -9.5, SuperBook) – Current line Chiefs -7
- Indianapolis at Houston (HOU -3, SuperBook) – Current line Texans -5
- NY Giants at Washington (WASH -3, SuperBook) – Current line Giants -3.5
NFL Week 15 look-ahead betting lines
Along with the three primetime games featuring first place teams and a few others pushing towards the playoffs, the Dallas at Indianapolis and New England at Pittsburgh games are likely to draw the most betting action.
|Game||Westgate Line||FanDuel Line|
|LA Chargers at Kansas City||KC -4||KC -3|
|Houston at NY Jets||HOU -7||HOU -6|
|Cleveland at Denver||DEN -6||DEN -4.5|
|Miami at Minnesota||MIN -8.5||MIN -9|
|Oakland at Cincinnati||CIN -4.5||CIN -3|
|Tampa Bay at Baltimore||BAL -7||BAL -7|
|Dallas at Indianapolis||PK||IND -2.5|
|Detroit at Buffalo||PK||DET -1|
|Green Bay at Chicago||CHI -6||CHI -4.5|
|Tennessee at NY Giants||NYG -1.5||NYG -2.5|
|Washington at Jacksonville||JAX -6.5||JAX -5.5|
|Arizona at Atlanta||ATL -7.5||ATL -7|
|Seattle at San Francisco||SEA -7||SEA -6|
|New England at Pittsburgh||PIT -1.5||PIT -1|
|Philadelphia at LA Rams||LAR -7.5||LAR -8|
|New Orleans at Carolina||NO -6.5||NO -6|