Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. In other words, NFL Week 15 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under.
Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 15 and beyond. Those ways include handicapping props, making fantasy decisions, etc. All lines come from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Dec. 14, rounded to the nearest whole number.
NFL Week 15 Implied Team Totals
| Team | Implied Team Total | Opponent | H/A | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 32 | Texans | Away | -14 | 49.5 |
| Eagles | 29 | Bears | Away | -9 | 48.5 |
| Cowboys | 26 | Jaguars | Away | -4 | 47.5 |
| Vikings | 26 | Colts | Home | -4 | 48.5 |
| Bills | 25 | Dolphins | Home | -7 | 42 |
| Chargers | 25 | Titans | Home | -3 | 47.5 |
| Bengals | 24 | Buccaneers | Away | -3.5 | 44 |
| Saints | 24 | Falcons | Home | -4.5 | 43.5 |
| Patriots | 23 | Raiders | Away | -1 | 44 |
| 49ers | 23 | Seahawks | Away | -3 | 43.5 |
| Jets | 23 | Lions | Home | -1 | 44.5 |
| Packers | 23 | Rams | Home | -7 | 39.5 |
| Commanders | 23 | Giants | Home | -4.5 | 40.5 |
| Lions | 22 | Jets | Away | 1 | 44.5 |
| Raiders | 22 | Patriots | Home | 1 | 44 |
| Titans | 22 | Chargers | Away | 3 | 47.5 |
| Jaguars | 22 | Cowboys | Home | 4 | 47.5 |
| Colts | 22 | Vikings | Away | 4 | 48.5 |
| Seahawks | 20 | 49ers | Home | 3 | 43.5 |
| Browns | 20 | Ravens | Home | -3 | 37 |
| Panthers | 20 | Steelers | Home | -2.5 | 37.5 |
| Buccaneers | 20 | Bengals | Home | 3.5 | 44 |
| Broncos | 20 | Cardinals | Home | -3 | 36 |
| Falcons | 20 | Saints | Away | 4.5 | 43.5 |
| Bears | 20 | Eagles | Home | 9 | 48.5 |
| Texans | 19 | Chiefs | Home | 14 | 49.5 |
| Dolphins | 18 | Bills | Away | 7 | 42 |
| Steelers | 18 | Panthers | Away | 2.5 | 37.5 |
| Giants | 18 | Commanders | Away | 4.5 | 40.5 |
| Cardinals | 17 | Broncos | Away | 3 | 36 |
| Ravens | 17 | Browns | Away | 3 | 37 |
| Rams | 16 | Packers | Away | 7 | 39.5 |
Highest NFL Week 15 Implied Team Totals
| Team | Implied Team Total | DraftKings Team Total | Over Price | Under Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 32 | 31.5 | -105 | -115 |
| Eagles | 29 | 29.5 | -110 | -110 |
| Cowboys | 26 | 26.5 | -105 | -115 |
| Vikings | 26 | 26.5 | -110 | -110 |
Kansas City Chiefs
What started as an incredibly impressive offensive display by the Chiefs — hanging 20 first-half offensive points on a top-tier defense — petered out a bit in the second half against the Broncos. The Broncos got to Patrick Mahomes a bit, forcing a couple of mistakes and logging some sacks.
Still, the Chiefs posted 6.4 YPP, an impressive number given the context. They continue to lap the field in EPA/play on offense. If they don’t move the ball basically at will against the Texans, it would count as a surprise.
At the same time, this is one of the highest implied team totals we’ve seen all season. And will the Texans offense be able to put any pressure on the Chiefs to keep scoring? They took advantage of several short fields against the Cowboys.
Philadelphia Eagles
Typically this season, the Eagles have done the majority of their scoring in the first half. Often, they’ve taken early leads and used their running game and defense to salt games away.
That may be changing after the past couple of weeks. Against both the Giants and Titans, they showed a willingness to pour it on, with 24 and 14 second-half points, respectively. Perhaps the team is making an effort to secure MVP honors for Jalen Hurts, as he’s overtaken Patrick Mahomes as the favorite.
They should find an inviting target in the gutted Bears defense. Only the Cardinals have allowed a higher Success Rate by opposing passing offenses. So, Hurts should have a day, weather permitting.
Lowest NFL Week 15 Implied Team Totals
| Team | Implied Team Total | DraftKings Team Total | Over Price | Under Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | 16 | TBD | TBD | TBD |
| Ravens | 17 | 17.5 | +105 | -125 |
| Rams | 17 | 16.5 | +100 | -120 |
It’s interesting that DraftKings has opted against hanging a market for the Cardinals team total when we can feel fairly confident Colt McCoy will start that game, after Kyler Murray tore his ACL in the opening moments of Monday Night Football.
Baltimore Ravens
By contrast, uncertainty remains as to who will take the first snap for the Ravens. Tyler Huntley took a hard hit and left the game for good against the Steelers. Anthony Brown came on in relief and looked much the part of an undrafted free agent rookie. He piloted the offense for three drives and managed just 16 passing yards, albeit in a clock-killing script.
Of course, there’s a chance Lamar Jackson could return still, and this line would look silly, but that’s clearly a longshot.
Assuming Brown does draw the start against the Browns (confusingly enough), the key will be getting the running game going. That part of the offense has looked spry, and Cleveland has the worst rushing defense in the league by EPA/play allowed.
LA Rams
What a debut for Baker Mayfield. The Rams offense looked rough for almost the entire time on Thursday Night Football against the Raiders. Then, everything came alive in the final drive as they marched 98 yards for the win.
Still, one has to remain skeptical about this unit. After all, the Raiders have the worst defense in the NFL by DVOA.
How much will Mayfield figure out in terms of picking up the offense this week? While he did a credible job against Las Vegas, he still blew some plays up with things like turning the wrong way for handoffs. Lambeau will not be an inviting environment to make things easier.
Other Notable Implied Team Totals
| Team | Implied Team Total | DraftKings Team Total | Over Price | Under Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 20 | 19.5 | -110 | -110 |
| Dolphins | 18 | 16.5 | -120 | +100 |
Miami Dolphins
Early in the season, the Dolphins squeaked by the Bills 21-19 at home. Now, heat can bring its own issues, but if they had that much trouble scoring in better conditions, what might these offenses do in adverse weather?
That could be the case this weekend in Buffalo. Current forecasts call for 17-degree temps, 15 mph winds and about an inch of snow.
Both offense have cooled off as well, no pun intended, since blazing starts to the season. The Bills’ regression likely owes to Josh Allen’s elbow injury. The offense simply hasn’t looked the same, although they’ve admittedly faced tough defenses like the Jets twice. More concerning was how rough Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins unit looked in the loss to the Chargers. If it wasn’t for a fluke offensive fumble return, they might have scored 10 points.
Are defenses adjusting to this attack and/or can Mike McDaniel make the necessary adjustments to fix things?
Atlanta Falcons
One spot where a ton of market uncertainty exists is in Atlanta, where the Falcons will reportedly roll out rookie Desmond Ridder for his first start at QB. On the one hand, it’s a bit surprising with the team still live in the NFC South, one game back of the Buccaneers.
On the other, if this team somehow squeaked into the playoffs, they aren’t winning anything anyways. So, they may as well see what the kid can do.
He won’t get the easiest assignment in the world. The Saints defense seems to be coming together a bit at long last, holding the Bucs and 49ers to 30 points combined in the past two. Ridder optimists can therefore get a pretty low bar to clear with a wager on the over, but Ridder pessimists have an equally appealing spot since this total is merely low and not crazily so.
