NFL Week 14 Betting Preview: New York Jets At Buffalo Bills

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on December 9, 2022
Jets Bills odds

The New York Jets visit the Buffalo Bills at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Dec. 11. Primary markets for the game show the Bills as spread favorites and on the moneyline. Jets Bills odds feature a total set at .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather and the best available NFL Week 14. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Jets At Bills Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

In this case, the Bills would have to win by at least 10 points if you bet them to cover the point spread (-9.5). A spread bet on the Jets would win if they win the game or lose by fewer than 10.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

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Jets At Bills Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike bigger markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences in the numbers.

Jets At Bills Betting News & Angles

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Jets – Bills odds.

Bills Vs. Jets Weather

The weather report for Orchard Park on Sunday is wet (light rain) but mostly calm (8 mph winds), with a high temperature of 38 degrees Fahrenheit (as of 1:14 PM on December 8).

Bills Vs. Jets Injury Report

Buffalo Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Dion DawkinsOTAnkleQuestionable68.5
Rodger SaffoldOGKneeQuestionable67.6
Josh AllenQBElbowProbable66.8
Matt MilanoLBKneeQuestionable64.6
Mitch MorseCElbowQuestionable61
Jordan PhillipsDTShoulderQuestionable31.5
Reggie GilliamFBAnkleQuestionable31.2
Cam LewisCBForearmProbable23.3

New York Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
D.J. Reed Jr.CBIllnessQuestionable68.3
George FantOTIllnessQuestionable66.3
Duane BrownOTShoulderQuestionable61.3
Corey DavisWRIllnessQuestionable49.9

Jets Offense Vs. Bills Defense

Jets OffenseStats (Rank)Bills Defense
21 (18)Points/Gm17.4 (4)
0.33 (21)Points/Play0.281 (4)
339.2 (17)Yards/Gm320.2 (10)
224.1 (15)Pass Yards/Gm218.3 (17)
115.1 (20)Rush Yards/Gm101.8 (5)
5.3 (19)Yards/Play5.2 (9)
6.2 (24)Yards/Pass6.2 (7)
4.5 (14)Yards/Rush4.2 (11)
32.93% (29)3rd Down %38.82% (15)
48.65% (26)Red Zone %47.22% (4)
1.3 (17)Turnovers/Game1.7 (4)
5.87% (12)Sack Rate6.8% (14)

Bills Offense Vs. Jets Defense

Bills OffenseStats (Rank)Jets Defense
27.8 (3)Points/Gm18.6 (6)
0.418 (5)Points/Play0.291 (5)
410.8 (2)Yards/Gm307 (4)
274.5 (3)Pass Yards/Gm194.3 (7)
136.3 (8)Rush Yards/Gm112.7 (12)
6.2 (3)Yards/Play4.8 (3)
7.3 (6)Yards/Pass5.8 (5)
5.1 (4)Yards/Rush4.1 (5)
51.75% (1)3rd Down %40.7% (21)
56.52% (15)Red Zone %56.25% (19)
1.7 (29)Turnovers/Game1.3 (12)
5.26% (9)Sack Rate8.26% (6)

Jets At Bills Betting Insights

Why The Jets Can Cover The Spread

They’re getting almost double digits against a team they already defeated, on the road, this season. The Bills no longer look like the offensive juggernaut of the early part of the season, ever since Josh Allen hurt his elbow against these same Jets. They’re going to have a tough time running away from people for the 20+ point wins that people have gotten used to the past few years. And the Jets defense, which flummoxed Allen in the first matchup, will certainly do its part to prevent that. One can see all this reflected in the modest total here.

Why The Bills Can Cover The Spread

A loss here would leave the Bills in real jeopardy of not only not getting the top seed, but not even winning the division. They’d be tied with the Jets and Dolphins and down tiebreakers to both, assuming the Dolphins win as medium favorites in Week 14. When good teams are in big spots, especially at home, they tend to put forth high-end efforts. And the Bills ended the Mike White charade last season in a 45-17, 4 INT laugher. White on the road against this top defense could get ugly.

Reasons To Bet The Over

White looked pretty dang good in the narrow, unfortunate loss to the Vikings. Each week of White not completely imploding is another data point that suggests he’s a decent QB. And a decent QB with great weapons facing off against an elite QB with elite weapons should in theory be a recipe for more than 44 points being scored, even with two strong defenses in play.

Reasons To Bet The Under

Well, how about those two strong defenses? And the fact that Allen simply hasn’t looked like the same guy since his injury? The Bills haven’t been the dominating force of the past since Allen got hurt. They’ve tilted more run-heavy and relied more on the defense. And it’s going to be a cold day, albeit with little wind.

Jets At Bills Matchups To Watch For

Garrett Wilson Vs. Bills DBs

One of the biggest beneficiaries of the Zach Wilson benching has been first-round WR Garrett Wilson. The Ohio State product has looked like the future superstar some draftniks billed him as, racking up 257 yards on 13 catches in the two weeks since Mike White took over the offense. The Jets will need his big play ability in a spot where they’re at a talent deficit. The Bills’ secondary has been their weak point at times, but Tre’Davious White has returned and earned solid grading from PFF in his two games back.

Josh Allen Vs. Jets Defensive Plan

Allen has consistently done damage against this Jets defense on the ground. In seven games in which he’s seen significant action against them, he has averaged nearly 60 yards rushing and found the end zone five times. That includes a 9-for-86 performance with two scores last time out. Can the Jets find a way to keep Allen in the pocket and avoid giving up key runs for first downs and touchdowns?

Stefon Diggs Vs. Jets DBs

Despite chatter in the preseason, particularly in the fantasy community, about a Gabe Davis breakout, that simply hasn’t happened. The Bills offense has frequently sank or swam with the production of Diggs, as he garnered nearly every high-leverage target last week on Thursday Night Football. The Jets have an ace coverage man in Sauce Gardner, but they have not typically used him to shadow opposing WR1s. How much of Gardner will Diggs see, and can he and the Jets’ other DBs force the ball elsewhere?

Final Thoughts

Frequently, the best way to bet some of these Bills games expected to be on the lower-scoring end has been to grab over on the Bills team total. You’ll certainly be able to find a palatable number on that one here, but the Jets defense presents real problems for the Bills between its excellent pressure rate (with minimal blitzing) and strong coverage ability. Gardner got toasted by Diggs early in the first game between these two but he seemed to recover and figure things out as the game continued. This will be a big test of both QBs. If Allen looks good and the Bills roll, then Bills futures will look pretty promising. If White plays well, then we can be pretty confident he can at least give the Jets average QB play going forward, meaning they have a fighting chance for the rest of the season.

New York should stay within 10 if this game is as low-scoring as the market expects.

Best of luck betting on Jets Bills odds.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah