NFL Week 13 MNF Betting Preview: New Orleans Saints At Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on December 4, 2022 - Last Updated on December 5, 2022
Saints Buccaneers odds

The New Orleans Saints visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday, Dec. 5. Primary markets for the game show the Buccaneers as spread favorites and on the moneyline. Saints Buccaneers odds feature a total set at .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather and the best available NFL Week 13 odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Saints At Buccaneers Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the odds table, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

In this case, the Buccaneers would have to win by at least four points if you bet them to cover the point spread (-3.5). A spread bet on the Saints would win if they win the game or lose by fewer than four.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

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Saints At Buccaneers Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike bigger markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences in the numbers.

Saints At Buccaneers Betting News & Angles

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Saints – Buccaneers odds.

Buccaneers Vs. Saints Weather

A high temperature of 71 degrees Fahrenheit, with few clouds and 6 mph winds, are the expected conditions at Raymond James Stadium on Monday (as of 11:14 PM on December 2).

Buccaneers Vs. Saints Injury Report

Tampa Bay Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Tristan WirfsOTLower legQuestionable73.4
Luke GoedekeOGFootProbable69.0
Russell GageWRHamstringQuestionable45.6
Cameron BrateTEIllnessQuestionable37.7
Sean Murphy-BuntingCBQuadQuestionable31.5

New Orleans Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Marshon LattimoreCBAbdomenQuestionable60.4
Pete WernerLBAnkleQuestionable56.0
Josh AndrewsOGAnkleProbable55.3
Juwan JohnsonTEAnkleQuestionable54.8
Bradley RobyCBConcussionQuestionable47.0
P.J. WilliamsCBKneeQuestionable38.4
Jarvis LandryWRAnkleQuestionable36.3
Kentavius StreetDTIllnessQuestionable30.9
Kevin WhiteWRIllnessQuestionable27.7
Payton TurnerDEAnkleQuestionable27.3
Juantavius GrayDBHamstringQuestionable25.9
Rashid ShaheedWRBackQuestionable23.7
Mark Ingram IIRBFootProbable20.0

Saints Offense Vs. Buccaneers Defense

Saints OffenseStats (Rank)Buccaneers Defense
20.8 (20)Points/Gm18.5 (6)
0.343 (18)Points/Play0.293 (7)
347.3 (15)Yards/Gm315.2 (9)
234.1 (11)Pass Yards/Gm192 (6)
113.2 (22)Rush Yards/Gm123.2 (20)
5.7 (9)Yards/Play5 (8)
7 (10)Yards/Pass5.8 (4)
4.5 (15)Yards/Rush4.6 (22)
40% (16)3rd Down %37.42% (9)
56.76% (14)Red Zone %63.33% (25)
1.8 (31)Turnovers/Game1 (23)
6.1% (12)Sack Rate8.96% (3)

Buccaneers Offense Vs. Saints Defense

Buccaneers OffenseStats (Rank)Saints Defense
18.2 (27)Points/Gm23.3 (20)
0.272 (28)Points/Play0.371 (21)
339.1 (18)Yards/Gm326.4 (12)
266.1 (5)Pass Yards/Gm197.3 (7)
73 (32)Rush Yards/Gm129.1 (22)
5.1 (25)Yards/Play5.2 (10)
6.2 (22)Yards/Pass6.3 (10)
3.3 (32)Yards/Rush5.2 (10)
37.97% (23)3rd Down %38.75% (12)
50% (25)Red Zone %47.06% (3)
0.8 (1)Turnovers/Game0.6 (32)
3.48% (1)Sack Rate8.03% (7)

Saints At Buccaneers Betting Insights

Why The Saints Can Cover The Spread

They’ve had the Buccaneers’ number for the most part since Tom Brady switched conference and remade the Bucs’ roster. Sure, the Bucs got them back in Week 2 in New Orleans. But, the Saints outperformed the Bucs in that game in terms of yards, yards per play and first downs. That one really just came down to five turnovers, and Andy Dalton has taken care of the ball better than that this year since he took over.

Why The Buccaneers Can Cover The Spread

When the Saints have had to face tough defense, this offense has fallen apart. In recent games against the Ravens, Steelers and 49ers, the Saints combined to score 23 points. Say what you want about this Bucs offense with its toothless running game, but the defense rates top 10 by both DVOA and EPA/play. Andy Dalton will likely be in for another long night if the running game can’t get going.

Reasons To Bet The Over

The total has barely cracked 40 and this game takes place in Florida with beautiful weather conditions in the forecast. And while New Orleans has been one of the slowest teams in situation-neutral pace, Tampa Bay ranks first in overall pace and sixth in situation-neutral pace. The Saints really haven’t stopped anyone not named Raiders all year, and Chris Godwin looks like he’s rounding into form to help an underachieving but dangerous offense.

Reasons To Bet The Under

If you think New Orleans will be the more successful team on offense, then you should be looking at under. Their slower, more ground-bound style will keep the clock moving, while the Bucs will cause more stoppages through sheer volume of passes. These Saints defenses have done exemplary work against Tom Brady in the past, including pitching a 9-0 shutout just last year.

Saints At Buccaneers Matchups To Watch For

Marshon Lattimore Vs. Mike Evans/Injury Report

This delightful battle never fails to deliver — unless Lattimore finds himself on the sideline yet again. He hasn’t appeared in a game since Week 5, but he has logged a limited practice on Friday, suggesting he has a chance to play. If he does play, he has long served as a sort of kryptonite to Evans. In that case, look for Chris Godwin to have another big week. If Lattimore misses the game, Evans could feast, especially after a week in which he produced little.

Saints Pass Rush Vs. Bucs OL

One of the keys to the Saints’ success over recent times against the Bucs has been pressuring Tom Brady with a four-man front. They’ve consistently won battles up front. But, the pass rush has not been up to its recent standards, falling to fifth-worst in pressure rate. That would bode ill here, except the Bucs just lost RT Tristan Wirfs to a high ankle sprain. He’s been a monster since they drafted him and immediately inserted him as a starter. Can the Saints take advantage and pressure Brady once again?

Alvin Kamara Vs. Bucs LBs

The Saints falling off on offense in recent weeks — they’ve scored fewer than 13 in three of their past four — has coincided with Kamara’s effectiveness falling off a cliff. Early in the season, he helped drive a surprisingly frisky offense. In the past four games, he has yet to crack either 50 yards receiving or 50 yards rushing, although he did manage high 40s of both in the win over the Rams. Kamara missed the teams’ Week 2 matchup and the offense clearly felt it. He has a tough go of it here against coverage ace Lavonte David and speed demon Devin White. Those two have helped combine to make the Bucs the fourth-worst team to throw to RBs against, in terms of DVOA produced.

Final thoughts

The past couple of matchups between these two have tended toward low-scoring rock fights, highlighted by the 9-0 shutout in favor of New Orleans last December. The market certainly expects another slog, and probably rightfully so with the way these two offense have played of late. Losing Wirfs could prove huge for the Bucs, but they just have a more talented team, so the line probably sits where it should. Projections systems might say otherwise, particularly DVOA, which has these teams quite far apart in the Bucs’ favor. The value here was clearly on the Saints in the look-ahead markets, but that has corrected. This is the Bucs’ chance to almost seal up the division, so NFC South futures bettors will have a keen eye on this one.

Best of luck betting on Saints Buccaneers odds.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah