Week 13 of the NFL season will be an interesting one. With the Thanksgiving games complete, we look ahead to a robust Sunday slate, with all teams now having completed their bye weeks.
The early marquee matchup is a 49ers-Ravens showdown in Baltimore, while the afternoon schedule is headlined by a Raiders-Chiefs battle at Arrowhead Stadium that could decide the eventual winner of the AFC West. The week then wraps up with primetime main events in Patriots-Texans (Sunday night) and Vikings-Seahawks (Monday night).
Without further ado, here’s a live look at the lines at sportsbooks in the US as we begin looking toward Week 13.
NFL Week 13 odds
Week 13 predictions and analysis
Cleveland Browns (-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers
68% of tickets and 72% of money bet on Cleveland Browns at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Browns are rolling downhill now, but the Steelers may have found something in Devlin Hodges, who was impressive again Sunday against the Bengals when called upon. It remains to be seen what Mike Tomlin will opt to do at quarterback for this critical Week 13 matchup, with that decision likely influencing the number to some extent.
Cleveland has been able to get itself in gear over the last four games due to Baker Mayfield’s ability to limit turnovers following a dreadful first half of the season in that regard. Mayfield has just one turnover, an interception against the Dolphins in Week 12, over the last four contests, a span that includes a Week 11 win against the Steelers. However, Pittsburgh’s relentless defense is a challenge for any quarterback, and both Mayfield and running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will have their work cut out for them versus Pittsburgh.
On the other sideline, Hodges has been highly effective in short spurts, but how he’d perform with a full week of preparation as the starter – which would also allow the opposition to game plan for him – is anyone’s guess. The rookie has a pair of fleet-footed receivers in Diontae Johnson and James Washington to work with. However, he’ll have to deal with a Browns secondary that’s playing its best football. The ground attack would likely be relied on heavily by Pittsburgh regardless of who’s under center – the Browns 124 rushing yards per contest, and James Conner (shoulder) could be ready to return for this game.
WEEKEND UPDATE: With both Conner and JuJu Smith-Schuster (knee) now officially ruled out, this spread has gone up another point in the Browns’ favor, despite their road-team status. Hodges could naturally be much more compromised in his first start with his top receiver and running back options, as well as the absence of Maurkice Pouncey (suspension), who, in his center role, would normally be charged with protecting Hodges’ pocket from collapsing inward. Therefore, the slight bump for Cleveland is not only understandable, it’s arguably too modest.
Green Bay (-6.5) at New York Giants
96% of tickets and 92% of money bet on Green Bay Packers at FanDuel Sportsbook
Both teams are coming off Week 12 losses, although Green Bay’s was against a notably higher caliber of competition. The Packers will be looking for some redemption after an embarrassing 37-8 drubbing at the hands of the 49ers, and the Giants are simply playing out the string at this point in what has been about as poor a season was expected from them.
New York certainly has plenty of offensive talent and plays hard. Yet quarterback Daniel Jones is unsurprisingly going through some growing pains. Saquon Barkley, now presumably fully healed from the Week 3 ankle injury he suffered versus the Buccaneers, still hasn’t been able to come close to providing the type of eye-popping production he managed in his rookie season. He will have a shot at exploiting a Packers defense surrendering 125.5 rushing yards per game. But he’s hampered in part by a suspect offensive line.
The Packers will have their pick on how to attack the Giants. New York is allowing 117.5 rushing yards and 260.0 passing yards per game, both bottom-10 figures. Green Bay will be looking to get its offense back on track after last week’s disaster, and this is just the type of matchup that could serve as a confidence builder.
WEEKEND UPDATE: The line has remained steady throughout the week. Both Golden Tate (concussion) and Evan Engram (foot) are officially ruled out for New York, which surprisingly didn’t move the healthy Packers’ projected advantage even further. With such an injury-hampered offense for New York, this could be a line that’s exploitable in terms of wagering on Green Bay cover.
New York Jets (-3) at Cincinnati Bengals
91% of tickets and 91% of money bet on New York Jets at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Jets still sport an ugly 4-7 mark straight up, but their big win over a borderline playoff contender in the Raiders on Sunday was eye-opening. Sam Darnold’s play is among the best in the league over the last couple of weeks and this spread for a matchup against a winless Bengals squad seems a tad small, even factoring in it’s a road game. Cincinnati has lost all but two of its games by more than the current projected spread, although it’s played much more competitively the last two weeks in losing by only a combined 13 points to the Raiders and Steelers.
New York will have favorable matchups against the Bengals defense through both the ground and air. The Jets’ Le’Veon Bell has yet to have his first breakout performance 11 games into the season. But, if there was ever a week, this may be it. Cincy is yielding 166.4 rushing yards per contest, including an absurd 207.4 per home tilt. Not that the pass is a bad way to go, either – the 250.9 passing yards per contest the Bengals surrender also ranks them in the bottom half of the league. Darnold’s confidence is certainly going to be sky high based on his recent body of work.
The Bengals announced Monday that Andy Dalton will return to lead the offense in Week 13 after rookie Ryan Finley endured a rough three-game stretch as a starter. The fault hardly lies solely at the feet of Finley, who was thrown into the fire behind a talent-challenged, injury-hampered offensive line. Dalton will almost certainly produce better results based on experience, if nothing else. However, the matchup against the Jets on the ground is prohibitive (league-low 78.1 rushing yards per game allowed), so look for Dalton to be busy through the air right from the jump.
WEEKEND UPDATE: The line has actually crept down another half-point throughout the week, with some faith apparently being shown in a refreshed Dalton perhaps being able to coax a competitive performance out of his winless squad. The Jets have certainly laid a few eggs this season, and this could arguably represent Cincinnati’s best remaining shot at a win this season. Therefore, a tight game wouldn’t surprise, and both suspect defenses could potentially help the opposition to one of its better games of the campaign.
Philadelphia Eagles (-10.5) at Miami Dolphins
75% of tickets and 80% of money bet on Philadelphia Eagles at FanDuel Sportsbook
Philly flunks the late-season State of the Team litmus test courtesy of not being favored over the Dolphins by double digits. The Eagles’ season hasn’t completely gotten away from them because the division-leading Cowboys can’t separate, but injury-hampered Philadelphia could be in for a legitimate tussle here versus a Fins team with plenty of fight and nothing to lose.
The Eagles were playing very short-handed Sunday against the Seahawks with both Alshon Jeffery (ankle) and Nelson Agholor (knee) out of action. That could be the case again Sunday. The likes of Zach Ertz, Dallas Goedert and Miles Sanders are certainly talented enough to serve as effective complementary pieces. But without some bona fide wideouts to threaten a defense downfield, their effectiveness is significantly curtailed, as was evident versus Seattle.
The Dolphins couldn’t get back in the win colum versus the Browns in Week 12. But Miami once again displayed a feisty spirit under Ryan Fitzpatrick that it didn’t seem to have earlier in the year. One of their biggest shortcomings continues to be the complete lack of a running game. That’s heaping more pressure on the veteran quarterback and a serviceable group of pass catchers. The Eagles certainly won’t offer any easy path to success on the ground. That could leave Fitz and company with the eyes of Philadelphia’s defense primarily trained on them.
WEEKEND UPDATE: The Eagles got some good news on the injury front later in the week, with both Jeffery and Agholor shedding their injury designations altogether. Jordan Howard (shoulder) will miss another game, however, while Zach Ertz (hamstring) will carry a questionable tag into Sunday. The return of the two receivers looms large, however, as Carson Wentz could arguably cope with an Ertz absence much more effectively than he did while trying to operate without Jeffery and Agholor against the Seahawks last week. The Dolphins play everyone tough for at least a half these days, but it certainly isn’t inconceivable for a desperate Eagles team to eventually pull away by double digits here.
San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens (-5.5)
66% of tickets and 72% of money bet on Baltimore Ravens at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Ravens will play this game on a short week after tangling with the Rams in a Monday Night Week 12 interconference clash, while the 49ers are riding high following a rout of the Packers. This is the marquee slugfest of the week and could present an even tougher test for Lamar Jackson than the Patriots proved to be.
The Niners had no trouble wreaking havoc on Aaron Rodgers and his teammates Sunday night. San Francisco limited Green Bay to 198 total yards and is now allowing an NFL-low 136.9 passing yards per game, including 133.7 over its last three. Lamar Jackson has shown impressive strides as a passer this season in addition to his elite work as a runner. However, the Niners do have the ability to shut down plenty of his usual paths to success through the air. Surprisingly, San Fran is more vulnerable on the ground, yielding just over 111 rush yards per contest. Therefore, Baltimore could find a path of lesser resistance with designed running plays for Jackson and with a heavy dose of Mark Ingram.
On the other side, the Niners will have to tangle with a defense that’s cleaned up some early-season issues and is playing at its peak at the moment. The Ravens’ pass defense has essentially been as good as the 49ers’ unit since they got Jimmy Smith back from a knee injury. They’ll present quite the challenge to Jimmy Garoppolo, who’s been playing at an outstanding level over the last month. The Niners can certainly keep a defense honest, however – San Fran comes in with the second-most rushing yards per contest (145.6) and could have Matt Breida (ankle) back in the fold.
WEEKEND UPDATE: The marquee game of the early window has seen just a half-point drop in projected advantage for the Ravens throughout the week. Breida will head into Sunday with a questionable tag, but San Francisco has more than enough depth to make up for another potential absence if that comes to pass. The Ravens check in healthy but are playing with short rest, and it’s also worth noting they sport a 2-3 mark ATS as a home team this season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars
71% of tickets and 66% of money bet on Tampa Bay Buccaneers at FanDuel Sportsbook
The two in-state rivals are in rough shape overall, but this could turn out to be one of the more entertaining games of the week. The Buccaneers generally can’t play pass defense and the Jaguars are shockingly bad versus the run, which makes the Over on the current 48.5-point total intriguing.
The Bucs did manage to nab a road victory over the previously hot Falcons in Week 12, however. Jameis Winston looked like he was on his way to another disastrous outing by throwing two early interceptions, but he ended up recovering nicely and connecting with Chris Godwin all afternoon to dismantle Atlanta’s defense. The beleaguered Tampa secondary was also able to do enough to keep Matt Ryan and his crew at by.
Meanwhile, the Jaguars suffered an embarrassing divisional loss to the Titans on the road that underscored how far their once might run defense has fallen. Derrick Henry trampled Jacksonville for 159 rushing yards. The Buccaneers don’t quite have the proven backs to take advantage of such a weakness. However, Ronald Jones would seemingly have such potential should he be given the opportunity.
On the other side of the ball, Nick Foles and receivers D.J. Chark, Chris Conley and Dede Westbrook could be set up for plenty of success versus the back end of the Bucs’ defense. They could be getting plenty of work anyhow, considering Leonard Fournette is likely to find tough sledding versus Tampa’s No.2-ranked run defense.
WEEKEND UPDATE: This line has seen some major movement this week, with sharp money coming in on the Buccaneers heavily enough to push them from one-point underdogs to 2.5-point road favorites. The total is also down to 47.5 points, despite the confirmed absence of starting strong safety Ronnie Harrison (concussion) for Jacksonville, which could be especially felt versus the Bucs’ aggressive downfield passing attack. The Jaguars also have major run-stopping concerns, even though Tampa isn’t ideally suited to capitalize with two solid but not spectacular backs in Jones and Peyton Barber. Plenty of points are still likely to be scored in this spot, with the spread an iffier proposition considering the volatility Winston and his teammates have shown this season.
Tennessee Titans (-1) at Indianapolis Colts
62% of tickets and 66% of money bet on Indianapolis Colts at FanDuel Sportsbook
This is a pivotal divisional battle that could decide the eventual winner of the AFC South. The Colts will enjoy the rest advantage after having played on Thursday night in Week 12, but Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry have Tennessee’s offense clicking and could help pull off an upset in this spot.
Tannehill and Henry made a mockery of the Jaguars defense in Week 12, accounting for six total touchdowns in a 42-20 win. The Colts bring a stouter defense than Jacksonville has at the moment. But, Tannehill clearly utilized the bye week to get further immersed in the offense and seems to have very good chemistry with his young receivers at the moment. The Texans took advantage of an injury-riddled Indy secondary in a Week 12 win and Tennessee will certainly look to attack in similar fashion.
For the Colts, they’ll face a Titans defense that usually will play savvy, disciplined football. Indy escaped with a narrow 19-17 win on the road back in Week 2. However, Marcus Mariota was still helming Tennessee’s offense at that point. The Colts should have T.Y. Hilton in much better health this coming week after he managed to make it through the loss to the Texans without reinjuring his calf. However, they’re still projected to be missing lead back Marlon Mack (hand), although backup Jonathan Williams certainly gave a good accounting of himself with 104 rushing yards and a score.
WEEKEND UPDATE: The Colts’ projected advantage went down a full point over the course of the week, with Hilton suffering a setback in practice this week and subsequently getting ruled out for Sunday. Mack remains out as well, leaving Indy’s offense, particularly the passing game, significantly short-handed once again. The Titans are playing with more confidence than ever with Tannehill at the helm, and considering it’s a late-season divisional matchup with plenty at stake, this shapes up as a wire-to-wire affair. The spread flipped in favor of the Titans Sunday morning.
Washington Redskins at Carolina Panthers (-10.5)
80% of tickets and 75% of money bet on Carolina Panthers at FanDuel Sportsbook
Home field helps keep this number elevated in Carolina’s favor, although the Panthers would deserve to be favored here regardless of where the game was being played. Washington is in the rare position of coming in off a victory, but the Panthers’ relentless pass rush could very well make life difficult for rookie quarterback Dwayne Haskins.
Haskins wasn’t altogether bad when he wasn’t taking end-of-game selfies with fans in Week 12. He also blamed some accuracy issues on a wrist problem that he’ll be tending to ahead of this game. However, coach Bill Callahan will likely opt to lean on his running game, a signature of his coaching philosophy, once again. That’s not necessarily a bad recipe. Not only would it lessen the chances of mistakes by the rookie signal-caller, but Callahan does have two capable runners in Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson. Then, the Panthers also allow 125.5 rushing yards per game, ninth most in the league.
Carolina’s Kyle Allen rebounded nicely from a four-interception debacle against the Falcons in Week 11 to almost pull off an upset of the Saints on Sunday. The second-year gunslinger faces a much easier test in Week 13. The Redskins are yielding 231.4 passing yards per game. But Christian McCaffrey should definitely be the focus of the offense once again, and not just because of his otherworldly talent – Washington is surrendering 137.6 rushing yards per game and has given up 62 receptions to running backs this season.
WEEKEND UPDATE: The Panthers held steady as 9.5-point favorites throughout the week. Paul Richardson (hamstring) is confirmed out again after playing just 15 snaps versus the Lions in Week 12, while Chris Thompson (toe) has a strong chance to return for Washington. Carolina comes in at full health, and although they’ve limped to a 2-3 ATS mark as a home team this season, the Redskins sport the same mark versus the number when traveling and have an average scoring deficit of 10 points on the road.
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-11)
50% of tickets and 64% of money bet on Oakland Raiders at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Raiders will catch the Chiefs coming off a bye, and Tyreek Hill (hamstring) could well be back in action after the week off. Oakland has to be questioning themselves a bit after an atrocious showing versus a mediocre Jets squad that throttled them by a 34-3 margin.
Oakland has the type of running back in Josh Jacobs that should be able to give the Chiefs’ suspect run defense fits. Jacobs is now 43 yards away from 1,000 yards on the campaign and needed just 12 carries to compile 99 yards against Kansas City back in Week 2. Derek Carr has enjoyed a very strong season overall in Year 2 under Jon Gruden, but the Chiefs rank in the top half of the league in passing yards allowed per game (232.6).
Therefore, a ground-heavy attack might represent Oakland’s best chance of success, as it would also keep the ball out of Patrick Mahomes’ hands. Speaking of the reigning NFL MVP, he will hope to have Hill back in the fold Sunday after losing him early in Week 11. KC got through that game against the Chargers with a win, but the offense clearly looked out of sorts at times without him. The Raiders secondary is ripe for the picking, so a Hill return would be especially timely – Oakland comes in allowing 268.5 passing yards per game, fifth-most in the league.
WEEKEND UPDATE: The Chiefs got a one-point bump in their projected advantage this week, with the confirmed return of Hill certainly playing a part. Damien Williams (ribs) is confirmed out for Kansas City, but with LeSean McCoy and Darrel Williams set to helm the backfield, the pass-heavy Chiefs offense should have enough in that duo to keep the Raiders honest. Despite the improvement Oakland has clearly demonstrated this season, KC still has the big talent edge and the Raiders also aren’t helped by the confirmed absence of Hunter Renfrow (ribs).
Los Angeles Rams (-3) at Arizona Cardinals
54% of tickets and 41% of money bet on Los Angeles Rams at FanDuel Sportsbook
This number was set before the Rams were blasted by the Ravens in Week 12 on Monday Night Football. It remains the same as of late Monday night, but it’s one that’s likely to move considering Los Angeles is seeming being exposed by the week as far from the Super Bowl-caliber team they were last season. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have been demonstrating improvement and are coming off a bye, leaving them rested for this matchup.
Los Angeles isn’t catching anyone off guard with its offense as they did during last season’s stellar run. Baltimore was able to hold the Rams to 221 total yards and 14 first downs while keeping their hosts to 2.4 yards per rush. It’s essentially the third consecutive poor offensive showing for Sean McVay’s crew, and on this occasion, Jared Goff had all of his receivers at his disposal.
The Rams defense won’t get any respite either, as they go from chasing Lamar Jackson on Monday night to having to get after Kyler Murray this coming Sunday. Jackson chewed up Los Angeles for 95 yards on eight carries, while Mark Ingram added another 111 on the ground. Chase Edmonds (hamstring) is projected to be ready to join Kenyan Drake and David Johnson in the backfield for Arizona in this game, which could certainly lead to more run-stopping problems for the Rams.
WEEKEND UPDATE: The Rams remained field-goal favorites throughout the week, even after their Monday night debacle against the Ravens. The Cardinals sport an aggressive front seven that could give the Rams continued trouble in their efforts to protect Goff, and it’s now confirmed they’ll also have Edmonds back for this game. However, Murray was a late-week addition to the injury report with a hamstring issue, even as he logged full practice participation Friday. No one is sounding the alarm yet — hence the line holding steady — but this will naturally be worth monitoring into Sunday.
Los Angeles Chargers (-3.5) at Denver Broncos
72% of tickets and 62% of money bet on Los Angeles Chargers at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Chargers can’t seem to straighten themselves out and are likely playing for Anthony Lynn’s job at this point, but the Broncos and their rag-tag offense are in no better shape. This could be one of the lower-scoring games of the week, making an early-week bet on the Under of 38.5 points interesting for starters. Each squad is also devoid of playoff aspirations at this point, although Los Angeles arguably has some glimmer of hope. Yet their quality of play is not in any way worthy of a postseason-quality squad.
The Broncos are simply in evaluation mode for next season. However, Brandon Allen looked completely lost against the Bills in about as tough a road matchup as they come Sunday. Drew Lock reportedly has a shot of making his NFL debut in Week 13, but how effective he’d be in his first NFL start is naturally anyone’s guess. Denver’s running attack could certainly help either quarterback’s cause. However, the Broncos have to avoid falling into a hole that neutralizes the ground attack.
The good news for the Denver defense is that they’ll be at home and they’re able to at least shut down the pass very effectively. The Broncos have allowed the fifth-fewest passing yards per game (207.5). They are more vulnerable on the ground, however. Denver surrendered 244 rushing yards to Buffalo, including Josh Allen’s 56-yard tally. Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler, who both benefited from the extra rest of a Week 12 bye, could therefore be in position to do some heavy lifting.
WEEKEND UPDATE: The Chargers got a half-point bump in their projected advantage. The announcement that Allen remains the Broncos starter for at least another week may have helped in that regard. Los Angeles certainly has just a bit more to play for in terms of postseason aspirations, but this game is still expected to be one of the more offensively challenged of the week with the total holding steady at 38.5 points. The returns from injured reserve of safeties Derwin James and Adrian Phillips for the Chargers should also help keep scoring down in this cold-weather battle.
New England Patriots (-3) at Houston Texans
78% of tickets and 81% of money bet on New England Patriots at FanDuel Sportsbook
The oddsmakers are showing the Texans a fairly hefty measure of respect for this primetime matchup with a slim projected edge for the defending champs. New England’s offense looks completely broken at times these days and it’s anyone’s guess what Deshaun Watson will show up. Yet it’s worth noting his track record against winning teams and strong defenses is mostly poor.
The Patriots were able to escape a home date against the Cowboys in Week 12 with a four-point win. But they looked far from effective doing it. Tom Brady has thrown for just 306 yards combined the last two games and has completed under 60.0 percent of his passes in three of his last four, including a season-low 45.9 percent versus Dallas. The Texans do have a secondary that tends to spring leaks from time to time (259.3 passing yards per game allowed), but they’re much better when cornerback Courtney Roby is available.
It’s difficult to imagine Watson not wilting to a degree versus New England’s ferocious defense, even at home. A performance similar to the clunker he threw in against another formidable unit in the Ravens a couple of weeks back wouldn’t be out of the question. The Pats were helped by weather in Week 12 against Dallas, but their unit is still yielding an AFC-low 158.0 passing yards per game and a stingy 98.4 rushing yards per contest as well. Houston will have no easy paths to success on offense and could certainly have an uphill battle protecting Watson – the Texans have surrendered 33 sacks, while New England has recorded 37 QB takedowns.
WEEKEND UPDATE: The Patriots have held steady as three-point favorites throughout the week. There are still injury question marks for New England with Phillip Dorsett (concussion) and Mohamed Sanu (ankle) both traveling with the team to Houston but still listed as questionable. Brady’s struggles could certainly continue if both of his wideouts miss. Houston still has plenty to prove against playoff-caliber teams. However, it’s worth noting they’ve only lost to one (Ravens) by more than single digits this season, while their other three losses to winning squads have been by seven points or fewer.
Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks (-3) – Monday Night
77% of tickets and 76% of money bet on Seattle Seahawks at FanDuel Sportsbook
Another candidate for the top game of the week, this conference showdown sees the Vikings coming off a bye and likely having Adam Thielen (hamstring) back in the fold. Toppling Seattle at home is always a very tall order, making the spread a tough one to prognosticate early in the week.
The Vikings headed into the bye feeling pretty good about themselves after a back-to-back wins against the Cowboys and Broncos. The former represented Minnesota’s first road victory over a team with a winning record this season, have previously come up short versus the Packers and Chiefs. Minnesota will likely look to particularly press a statistical advantage through the air in this spot, even as much as coach Mike Zimmer likes to stick to the ground attack. The Seahawks are allowing 268.7 passing yards per game, fourth most in the league. Stefon Diggs and a healthy Thielen could certainly exploit those weaknesses. Seattle is stingier on the ground, but not impossible to run on (111.5 rushing yards per game allowed). Therefore, Dalvin Cook, rested coming off the bye, should see heavy volume here as well.
For the Seahawks, an ugly 17-9 win against the Eagles in Philly during Week 12 pushed their record to a stellar 9-2. Seattle did capitalize on what was a significantly short-handed Philadelphia receiving corps that was down both Alshon Jeffery (ankle) and Nelson Agholor (knee). The challenge is exponentially tougher versus Minnesota. The team’s running back situation will also be one to monitor. Following yet another fumble Sunday – which he recovered himself – Chris Carson saw backup Rashad Penny run for a career-high 129 yards. Neither back figures to have an easy time Monday night, however – Minnesota checks in surrendering just 94.2 rushing yards per contest, and are even slightly tougher on the road (93.0) than at home (95.6).
WEEKEND UPDATE: Thielen remains a true 50/50 proposition for Monday night after turning in a pair of practices this past week. Meanwhile, Tyler Lockett is dealing with both a shin injury and an illness, so he’s likely to sport a questionable tag at minimum on the final injury report to be released Saturday afternoon. Both players are clearly significant to the fortunes of their respective offenses, but joint absences would arguably cancel each other out. Given the high stakes and close matches in talent level, this is one of the trickier games of the week to prognosticate. However, it certainly bears mentioning this is a Seattle squad that’s rather unexpectedly dropped two home games this season and come within two points of losing two more at CenturyLink Field.