NFL Week 12 Teaser Legs: Four Underdogs To Choose From

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on November 22, 2022
NFL week 12 teasers

Teaser bets remain a popular option with many NFL bettors. But, you must use caution when selecting which teams you’ll tease, as you can’t win long term without a sound strategy. At TheLines, we’ll go over each week’s NFL slate to see which teams fit best in teasers. Today, we look at options for NFL Week 12 teasers.

Teasers continued to recover in Week 11, with a 3-1 record, the only loser being the Vikings, which we categorized among the iffier plays. The stronger options went 3-0.

Be sure to go over our primer on teaser bets hereIt’s imperative that you understand what to look for, from the numbers to the sportsbook juice being paid. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now.

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The Best NFL Week 12 Teasers

This week’s teaser options nearly all look pretty good, even if they are once again not the most plentiful. Each features a short underdog.

Patriots (+2.5) At Vikings

The Thanksgiving dessert, and the Patriots certainly look to have at least one key matchup in their favor here. They bring pressure at the second-highest rate in the NFL. In first? The Cowboys, who just absolutely destroyed this Vikings passing game, holding Kirk Cousins to 56 net passing yards thanks in large part to seven sacks.

To make matters worse, it looks certain Vikings LT Christian Darrisaw will miss the game. He’s been a key performer on this offense.

The market has come in on the Patriots and moved them off the key number here after the Vikings opened on the other side of -3 in the look-ahead lines. That has created an opportunity for a teaser if you like the Patriots but missed out on the good numbers.

Titans (+1.5) Vs. Bengals

The playoff rematch from last season gives the Titans a chance to avenge their playoff exit at home. In some ways, this is much the same story as the above game.

Typically, success against the Bengals has come down to beating this offensive line and pressuring Joe Burrow. He has made some uncharacteristic mistakes under pressure this year as what was supposed to be a rebuilt offensive line hasn’t made the hoped for difference. There, the Titans do pass muster with a top-five pass rush by PFF’s grades and a top-10 pressure rate despite rarely blitzing. Jeffery Simmons rounding back into good health helps immensely there.

These teams played a low-scoring 19-16 contest last year. If that sort of game flow repeats, a Titans teaser looks good, and the market certainly doesn’t expect a ton of scoring here.

Panthers (+2.5) Vs. Broncos

This one is a bit scarier than the others purely due to the range of outcomes presented by the Panthers offense. Shutouts are well within reason here and the team’s implied point total shows only the Rams expected to have a less productive offensive game in Week 12. That’s what happens when you park a clear bottom-four offense across from arguably the league’s best defense.

The good news for the Panthers is they should limit this putrid Broncos offense as well. That’s why the total sits cellar-low. All the Panthers need to do is score 14 points or so and they should cover this teaser.

Can they? D’Onta Foreman has injected some life into this offense, which has showcased a solid running game. That’s where the Broncos can be beaten. They rank middle of the pack by the advanced metrics. But, Baker Mayfield threatens to sink the offense, though it’s an open question whether PJ Walker represents any kind of upgrade, should he return from injury.

Steelers (+2.5) At Colts

Speaking of basement-level totals, we have another sub-40 number here, which makes for a delightful environment to click teasers. Monday Night Football doesn’t appeal from a viewer’s standpoint here, but at least there’s one decent betting angle to which we can look.

The Steelers struggled to contain the high-powered Bengals passing game in Week 11. But, the Colts present a more inviting target for TJ Watt, with their 32nd-ranked offense by both DVOA and EPA/play. The offensive line has struggled, and Matt Ryan under pressure has been an adventure at best this season, a disaster at worst.

The main concern here would be Kenny Pickett’s tendency to give the ball away. He’s tied for fourth-most interceptions thrown with eight, despite not starting the first few games. That’s really the only thing that would seem possible as far as creating a situation where the Colts run away with this one. Their offense just doesn’t appear capable of covering a multiple scores against a team with a pulse.

Other Potential NFL Week 12 Teasers

Eagles (-7) Vs. Packers

When it comes to more borderline plays, there isn’t much in Week 12. The closest probably comes in Sunday Night Football, with the Eagles ticking up to -7 in most spots, leaving the door open for a potential move to -7.5 at some point or just buying a sub-premium half point in a teaser off that -7.

But, not only does the line currently sit just off the ideal teaser numbers, the total is one of the higher ones this week. It’s still a bit below the threshold of safe teasers, but it does contribute to hurting the potential value.

If you’re interested in the Eagles, the best bet is likely to grab one of the straggler -6.5s or simply wait and see if the market moves back that way.

Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
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Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah