It’s been a tough season for them, but teaser bets remain a popular option with many NFL bettors. But, you must use caution when selecting which teams you’ll tease, as you can’t win long term without a sound strategy. At TheLines, we’ll go over each week’s NFL slate to see which teams fit best in teasers. Today, we look at options for NFL Week 11 teasers.
Week 10 was a banner week for teasers. Teasable sides swept the board at 6-0 with the premium sides obviously undefeated as well at 3-0.
Be sure to go over our primer on teaser bets here. It’s imperative that you understand what to look for, from the numbers to the sportsbook juice being paid. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now.
The Best NFL Week 11 Teasers
Options aren’t as plentiful for NFL Week 11 teasers. Still, of the teasable numbers out there, most look playable.
Bills (-8) Vs. Browns
Normally, we see sky-high totals on any game involving the Buffalo Bills. However, an early forecast of snowy, windy weather has pushed the total way, way down here. That has put it into prime teaser territory along with the market coming in slightly on the Browns, keeping the Bills spread in check. That makes sense in a game with reduced scoring expectation.
The Browns defense continues to struggle mightily. Unless they can tap into whatever got into their water in the Bengals matchup, they’ll have little chance of slowing the Bills. The latest disaster came at the hands of the Dolphins, which shredded the Browns to the tune of 39 points and 7.3 YPP.
Unless the weather completely kills the Bills offense — and we did see them struggle against the Patriots in disaster weather last year — they look like a great teaser side at home.
Raiders (+2.5) At Broncos
Advanced metrics give the Broncos mixed reviews on run defense. While the unit has completely dominated opposing passing games, DVOA ranks them below the fold against the run. EPA data is kinder but still rates them 12th. It’s probably fair to call this unit middling.
Everything will be up to Josh Jacobs and this line, particularly with multiple injuries to Davante Adams’ supporting cast.
Ultimately, a divisional underdog in a game with a low total against an underachieving team is at least worth a look.
49ers (-8) Vs. Cardinals (Mexico City)
So, taking the Niners now on a teaser is a bit of gamble that Colt McCoy will indeed start. If Murray can go, you’ll likely see this drop, and your best bet at that point would just be to lay some lesser amount of points with San Francisco.
If McCoy does wind up starting, this looks like a pretty good teaser play since he’s going to have a mighty difficult time moving the rock against a tremendous 49ers defense. While McCoy has been a very solid backup in his career, the 49ers bring a top-five pressure rate despite a blitz rate below the fold. Particularly with a slew of injuries dogging this Cardinals offensive line, that spells a lot of trouble.
Other Potential NFL Week 11 Teasers
Vikings (+1.5) Vs. Cowboys
Some may be surprised to find the Vikings as home underdogs, and they’ll just want to take them on the moneyline or getting a point or two on the spread. The more risk-averse do have the option of including them in a teaser, however, and home underdogs are usually a nice look for that.
The bugaboo comes in the form of the total. It’s right around the border of acceptable numbers to put in a teaser.
As for the matchup, much likely hinges on the success of the Vikings rushing attack. They need to attack the Cowboys there, where they’ve shown vulnerability in recent weeks. Assuming they’re successful, that will further shorten the game and make a teaser an even better wager. If not, Kirk Cousins facing this Dallas pass rush looks problematic, considering his passer rating falls about 30 points under pressure, per PFF.