NFL Week 11 Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys At Minnesota Vikings

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on November 18, 2022
Cowboys Vikings odds

The Dallas Cowboys visit the Minnesota Vikings at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov. 20. The Cowboys Vikings spread has Dallas at and on the moneyline. The total is set at .

In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather and the best available NFL Week 11 odds. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.

Cowboys Vikings Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the Cowboys Vikings spread table, click the dropdown menu and select the type of bet you wish to make. 

Betting the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A plus sign in front of the Cowboys Vikings spread denotes the underdog, and a minus sign denotes the favorite.

In this case, the Cowboys would have to win by at least two points if you bet them to cover the point spread (-1.5). A spread bet on the Vikings would win if they win the game or lose by one point. 

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The betting total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can choose to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game. 

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Cowboys At Vikings Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. Unlike bigger markets like moneylines and spreads that often reach a consensus number, shopping for prop bet lines can often reveal sizable differences in the numbers.

Cowboys At Vikings Betting News & Angles

Use this rolling, updating list of news bites about each team to help your handicapping for Cowboys – Vikings odds.

Cowboys at Vikings Weather

This contest will be played inside (U.S. Bank Stadium), so weather will not be a factor.

Cowboys Vs. Vikings Injury Report

Dallas Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Anthony BrownCBConcussionQuestionable63.1
Michael GallupWRKneeProbable46.7
Demarcus LawrenceDEKneeQuestionable42.4
Anthony BarrLBHamstringQuestionable42.3
Ezekiel ElliottRBKneeQuestionable38.4

Minnesota Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Christian DarrisawOTConcussionQuestionable68.8
Justin JeffersonWRToeQuestionable67.1
Za’Darius SmithOLBKneeQuestionable48.9
Akayleb EvansCBConcussionQuestionable28.6

Cowboys Offense Vs. Vikings Defense

Cowboys OffenseStats (Rank)Vikings Defense
23.4 (11)Points/Gm21.2 (14)
0.382 (11)Points/Play0.326 (12)
333.1 (20)Yards/Gm381.2 (29)
198.6 (26)Pass Yards/Gm262.9 (29)
134.6 (8)Rush Yards/Gm118.3 (16)
5.4 (18)Yards/Play5.9 (28)
6.3 (18)Yards/Pass7.3 (29)
4.7 (13)Yards/Rush4.5 (15)
37.17% (25)3rd Down %36.79% (9)
65.38% (7)Red Zone %72% (31)
1 (6)Turnovers/Game2 (2)
4.71% (5)Sack Rate7.47% (11)

Vikings Offense Vs. Cowboys Defense

Vikings OffenseStats (Rank)Cowboys Defense
25.1 (8)Points/Gm18.2 (5)
0.383 (10)Points/Play0.279 (3)
355.8 (11)Yards/Gm324.8 (12)
248.8 (7)Pass Yards/Gm181.7 (4)
107 (23)Rush Yards/Gm143.1 (29)
5.4 (16)Yards/Play5 (6)
6.3 (21)Yards/Pass5.8 (4)
4.5 (17)Yards/Rush4.8 (26)
40.5% (17)3rd Down %36.8% (10)
60% (11)Red Zone %52.17% (11)
1.1 (9)Turnovers/Game1.7 (7)
5.31% (9)Sack Rate11.08% (1)

Cowboys At Vikings Betting Insights

Why The Cowboys Can Cover The Spread

The Vikings may have the gaudy 8-1 record, but the 6-3 Cowboys have been the better team over the course of the season, and not by a little. They rank fourth in DVOA, while the Vikings sit way back at 17th, and that with Cooper Rush starting about half of the season. Dallas has a beatable run defense, but the Vikings seem ill-equipped to attack that as Dalvin Cook hasn’t been his normal self this year. And Kirk Cousins’ passer rating falls 30 points under pressure, which he should himself under by this Dallas rush.

Why The Vikings Can Cover The Spread

All they have to do is win a home game, and winning games seems to be this team’s specialty. The key will be protecting Cousins against this ferocious pass rush. The Vikings look below par there with PFF’s 21st-rated pass blocking unit, but if they can get Dalvin Cook rolling against this run defense, that will allow them to keep the rush honest. Minnesota’s own pass D is exploitable, but Dak Prescott hasn’t shown a high level of play this season.

Reasons To Bet The Over

There’s going to be quite a bit of offensive talent on the field in a game taking place indoors. And one with a close spread, which means nobody is particularly likely to be killing the clock before the final drive of the second half. All you need for the over here is both teams to get to 23 points or so. That isn’t an especially high bar for two teams that just played Week 10 games that went to 59 and 60 in regulation.

Reasons To Bet The Under

Both teams have defenses that are vulnerable in spots where the other team doesn’t look especially well-suited to attacking. The Vikings are weaker against the pass, but Dallas doesn’t have a very good passing offense. The Cowboys are weaker against the run, but the Vikings have been much better throwing the ball this season.

Cowboys At Vikings Matchups To Watch For

Justin Jefferson Vs. Cowboys DBs

Jefferson just single-handedly took over with his team on the ropes against the Bills, going for 193 yards and a touchdown, including the catch of the year. The Cowboys have an ace corner in Trevon Diggs, one who has gotten burned his fair share of times but also made some big plays. A key subplot will be how often these two match up. Dallas normally ranks among the league leaders in zone but tried a heavy dose of man coverage against the Packers. On the season, Diggs shadows an opposing receiver around half of the time. How (if?) he matches up with Jefferson could swing the outcome.

Dalvin Cook Vs. Cowboys Run D

While the advanced metrics give Dallas passing grades for the run defense, the raw numbers are a bit ugly on the season, as one can see above. Minnesota brings a premium run-blocking unit to the table, one PFF rates second only to the Browns‘ road-grading group. Given Kirk Cousins’ struggles under pressure and the nature of the Dallas pass rush, it seems hard to imagine putting the game on the shoulders of this passing offense will end well for the Vikings.

Dak Prescott Vs. Vikings Defensive Pressure

Another QB whose play falls off quite a bit under pressure, Dak Prescott looked pretty rough against an injured Green Bay pass rush last week. The Vikings have a very beatable group of corners, but the Cowboys line isn’t what it once was, meaning Prescott will have to get some work done in less than pristine conditions. Minnesota’s pass rush has been solid as Za’Darius Smith and Danielle Hunter have stayed healthy. If Prescott can’t navigate the rush, he won’t have time to exploit this weak coverage group.

Final thoughts

The Vikings have walked on water all year, continually winning close games and have the breaks go their way, such as Josh Allen fumbling when he simply needed to fall down inbounds to end the game. One might expect to find big value fading a team like this, but the market remains skeptical with the Cowboys installed as road favorites even off a disappointing loss. The Vikings do sit on a nice teaser number, but the total is a bit high, on the border for such a play. If you lean to the under, that might be one way to attack this one. Otherwise, looks for player props in some of the exploitable matchups, or sell some points with Dallas if you believe the Vikings are finally primed for a fall.

Best of luck betting on the Cowboys Vikings spread and other odds.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah