NFL Week 10 Betting Preview: Houston Texans at New York Giants Spread

Written By Derek Wagner on November 11, 2022
texans giants spread

The Houston Texans (1-6-1) visit the New York Giants (6-2) at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov. 13. The Texans Giants spread has New York as favorites and on the moneyline. The total is set at .

In this article we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, weather, and the best available odds.

TEXANS GIANTS SPREAD, MONEYLINE, OVER/UNDER

When using the Texans Giants spread table above, click the dropdown menu to switch to moneyline or totals. 

Betting on the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a “minus” sign is the favorite. The Giants would need at least a seven-point win if you bet on New York to cover the point spread (-6.5). A spread bet on the Texans would win if Houston wins the game outright or loses by six points or fewer.

Betting the moneyline is simply betting on which particular team will win a game.

The total is the number of combined points the two teams will score. Bettors can decide to bet the over or under on how many total points will be scored in the game.

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TEXANS – GIANTS: PLAYER PROPS

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. 

TEXANS VS. GIANTS: BETTING NEWS

As of Wednesday, the Texans Giants odds at DraftKings Sportsbook had Giants -5. 62% of the money is on New York to cover the spread. Additional updates can be found below.

Giants Vs. Texans Weather

A high temperature of 52 degrees Fahrenheit, with scattered clouds and 12 mph winds, is the forecast for MetLife Stadium on Sunday (as of 10:18 AM on November 10).

Giants Vs. Texans Injury Report

New York Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Richie James Jr.WRConcussionProbable30.6
Shane LemieuxOGFootQuestionable

Houston Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Brandin CooksWRWristQuestionable51.7
Nico CollinsWRGroinQuestionable41.8
Dameon PierceRBChestQuestionable37.8
Jaleel JohnsonDTIllnessQuestionable36.5
Jalen Reeves-MaybinOLBGroinQuestionable27.1
Neville HewittLBHamstringQuestionable24.3
Phillip DorsettWRAnkleQuestionable23.6
Justin McCrayOGConcussionProbable15.4

Giants Offense Vs. Texans Defense

Giants OffenseStats (Rank)Texans Defense
20.4 (22)Points/Gm22.9 (19)
0.3 (18)Points/Play0.3 (2)
320.6 (24)Yards/Gm398.1 (30)
159.1 (29)Pass Yards/Gm217.5 (19)
161.5 (5)Rush Yards/Gm180.6 (32)
5.0 (24)Yards/Play6.0 (30)
5.7 (30)Yards/Pass7.0 (24)
4.9 (9)Yards/Rush5.5 (30)
39.6% (17)3rd Down %41.2% (19)
50.0% (23)Red Zone %55.6% (15)
8 (5)Turnovers11 (14)
25 (26)Sacks19 (17)

Texans Offense Vs. Giants Defense

Texans OffenseStats (Rank)Giants Defense
16.6 (28)Points/Gm19.6 (8)
0.3 (18)Points/Play0.3 (2)
290.5 (29)Yards/Gm345.6 (17)
188.6 (26)Pass Yards/Gm208.4 (16)
101.9 (25)Rush Yards/Gm137.3 (25)
5.0 (24)Yards/Play5.7 (22)
5.8 (29)Yards/Pass6.3 (8)
4.3 (20)Yards/Rush5.5 (30)
31.1% (30)3rd Down %33.0% (4)
52.6% (22)Red Zone %42.9% (3)
9 (7)Turnovers10 (17)
19 (13)Sacks16 (22)

TEXANS AT GIANTS BETTING INSIGHTS

Why the Giants Can Cover The Spread

The Texans rush defense has been atrocious this season. They rank dead last in defensive Rushing EPA per play and Rushing Success Rate. For context a play is successful if the team produces:

  • 50 percent of the yards needed to move the chains on first down.
  • 70 percent of yards to gain on second down.
  • 100 percent of yards to gain on third or fourth down.

Lovie Smith’s unit is struggling to limit opposing running backs. Unfortunately for Smith, the Texans face Saquan Barkley who is third in the NFL thus far in rushing yards with 779 accounted for. Slowing down Barkley is without a doubt one of the toughest challenges for Lovie’s defense so far this season.

While the Giants defense ranks outside the top-20 in pass defense DVOA (via Football Outsiders), they could be due for positive regression this week. The Texans offense is bottom three in pass offense DVOA, as their bread and butter has been running the football. If they struggle to run the ball, the Giants defense could tee off against Davis Mills in obvious passing situations.

With that in mind, the Texans pass blocking grades out as bottom 10 in the league (via PFF). If they are faced with third and long scenarios, New York’s defense could force a lot of three and outs.

Why the Texans Can Cover The Spread

The Texans have virtually been in every game so far this season. In fact, in their biggest loss to the Raiders (38-20), the Texans held a 20-17 lead entering the fourth quarter.

This game comes down to Giants inability to stopping the run though. The Giants have been gashed on the ground through eight games, allowing the second most yards per carry in the league, at 5.5. We saw the Texans hang around in Week 9 against the Eagles because Philadelphia couldn’t tackle rookie Dameon Pierce. The same game script could play out this week if the Texans look to keep this close until the end. Furthermore, if the Texans find success on the ground, they can keep third down scenarios manageable for Davis Mills and the offense.

Additionally, Brandin Cooks returned to practice this week for Houston. Having him back in the mix with this offense could prove pivotal as he is Davis Mills’ favorite receiver with a team high 51 targets so far this season.

The Giants defense owns the highest blitz rate in the NFL at 39.1%. Surprisingly, Davis Mills has been one of the better quarterbacks this year under pressure. He owns a 86.4 passer rating when pressured, good for fifth best in the league. The Giants blitz rate could play right into a strength for this Texans passing attack.

Reasons To Bet The Over

These two defenses have provided little resistance to their opponents’ offenses thus far this season. Both the Texans and the Giants defenses rank outside the top-20 as far as yards per play allowed to their opponents. A matchup against one another can be just the thing to get these offenses rolling.

Furthermore, the Texans rank twelfth in pace in neutral situations (via Football Outsiders). They have surprisingly been above league average in pace of play, and this could play a small role in the game going over.

Reasons To Bet The Under

These two teams rank outside the top-20 as far as redzone efficiency is concerned. When they get into the redzone, they fail to convert those trips into touchdowns. Overs die because of failed redzone trips, and this game could provide plenty of empty redzone trips with these inept offenses.

Combine that with the fact these two teams also rank outside the top-20 in yards per play, and this game could be a snooze fest.

TEXANS AT GIANTS PROPS: MATCHUPS TO WATCH FOR

Jerry Hughes Vs. Giants Offensive Line: Hughes has a 18.5% win rate when rushing the passer this season (via PFF), good for top-30 in the NFL. He has quietly been a very good player for Lovie’s defense. In fact, Hughes is coming off his best game of the season last week where he was credited with seven pressures against the Eagles, sacking Jalen Hurts twice. He is likely to be going up against Tyre Phillips who is filling in for injured tackle Evan Neal. Phillips played well in Week 8 against Seattle, but struggle mightily against the strong Jaguars pass rush in Week 7. If Hughes picks up where he left off against the Eagles, Phillips could be in for a long day.

Final thoughts

I already have a bet on the Texans at +7 from early in the week. All due respect to the Giants, they do not deserve to be favored by that many points over any team. It doesn’t feel great backing Davis Mills, but I would rather get plus points with Mills than laying a touchdown with Daniel Jones. This number is obviously not available anymore, but it is possible this number can be found on a live bet during the game. Best of luck betting Texans Giants odds if you choose to do so.

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