NFL Week 10 Betting Preview: New Orleans Saints At Pittsburgh Steelers Spread

Written By Evan Scrimshaw on November 11, 2022
saints steelers spread

Week 10 of the NFL Season sees the 3-6 New Orleans Saints heading up to Pittsburgh to play the 2-6 Steelers. The Saints Steelers spread sits at New Orleans , with Pittsburgh to win on the moneyline. The over/under is currently .

After playing poorly on Monday Night Football, the Saints will be looking to get back into form. With the Steelers coming off a bye, it’s the ultimate test of rest over rust.

Saints Steelers Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

The Saints Steelers spread table effectively shows all the legal sportsbook Sunday Night Football odds for each of the three main markets – spreads, totals, and moneylines – so that bettors can know what they’re getting is the best price. Just use the dropdown menu to toggle between the type of bet you want, and then make sure you’re getting the best price when you bet.

If you’re looking at spreads, getting an extra half point on either side can make or break the difference, and getting the best side of a total points market can be crucial as well. When it comes to Moneyline betting, you always want to get the best number possible – all three things that the easy comparison points of the Odds Table allow.

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Saints vs. Steelers Player Props

The props tool enables bettors to effectively track Saints Steelers odds across sportsbooks for every player prop, to make sure that bettors aren’t missing out on a better total, or a better value, on a player prop.

Whether it’s getting a total you want to bet an Over on 5 yards lower, or a line where you have to pay less juice, the Props tool enables bettors to make sure they’re not missing out on the best available Week 10 odds.

Saints vs. Steelers Betting News & Angles

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Saints Vs. Steelers Weather

A high temperature of 38 degrees Fahrenheit, with overcast clouds and 13 mph winds, is the forecast for Acrisure Stadium on Sunday (as of 3:21 PM on November 10).

Saints Vs. Steelers Injury Report

New Orleans Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Ryan RamczykOTKneeQuestionable70.1
Marshon LattimoreCBAbdomenQuestionable60.4
Pete WernerLBAnkleQuestionable56.0
Marcus DavenportDECalfQuestionable45.2
Jarvis LandryWRAnkleQuestionable38.0
Mark Ingram IIRBKneeQuestionable20.4

Pittsburgh Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Myles JackLBKneeQuestionable65.8
Ahkello WitherspoonCBHamstringQuestionable65.3
Christian KuntzLSRibsQuestionable8.8

Saints Offense Vs. Steelers Defense

Saints OffenseStats (Rank)Steelers Defense
23.6 (11)Points/Gm24.6 (23)
0.4 (2)Points/Play0.4 (17)
377.6 (6)Yards/Gm395.1 (29)
246.4 (7)Pass Yards/Gm277.3 (31)
131.1 (12)Rush Yards/Gm117.9 (16)
5.9 (6)Yards/Play5.9 (28)
7.1 (7)Yards/Pass7.5 (31)
4.9 (9)Yards/Rush4.2 (7)
42.2% (12)3rd Down %43.4% (26)
60.0% (11)Red Zone %48.1% (6)
17 (30)Turnovers10 (17)
19 (13)Sacks15 (26)

Steelers Offense Vs. Saints Defense

Steelers OffenseStats (Rank)Saints Defense
15.0 (31)Points/Gm25.2 (28)
0.2 (30)Points/Play0.4 (17)
298.8 (28)Yards/Gm320.6 (11)
203.9 (23)Pass Yards/Gm199.7 (9)
94.9 (27)Rush Yards/Gm120.9 (19)
4.7 (31)Yards/Play5.3 (10)
5.5 (31)Yards/Pass6.3 (8)
4.0 (26)Yards/Rush4.5 (16)
33.6% (27)3rd Down %37.1% (10)
47.6% (28)Red Zone %50.0% (7)
14 (28)Turnovers7 (29)
21 (18)Sacks22 (15)

Saints vs. Steelers Betting Insights

Reasons The Saints Can Cover The Spread

The Steelers offense is a disaster – 24th by DVOA, 23rd by PFF, and 31st by yards/play. Some of that was from the Trubisky era, sure, but Kenny Pickett is 31st in the league in EPA/Play.

On the other side of the ball, the Saints offense did look bad last week, but Dalton is still 14th in the league in EPA/play and the Saints as a whole are 11th by PFF. The rushing game is effective – 4th by Rushing Success Rate, 9th by yards/rush – and if the Steelers don’t project to score much, then the Saints should score enough to win.

Why The Steelers can cover the spread

The Steelers have one of the biggest rest advantages you can have on the schedule – they’re gaining a full 8 days of rest on the Saints. Usually bye week effects can be overstated, but when the Bears came out of their bye, their offense was better designed for Justin Fields. Steelers fans may hope that the bye week can bring about similar changes to help Pickett.

The other way the Steelers win this game is simple – Andy Dalton goes full Dalton and starts throwing picks. He is a fan of doing that, and while the Steelers Pass D has been much worse this year than in the past, it’s still very good at ball hawking. If they can run back a Dalton duck, or even just get a short field, they can easily take advantage.

Reasons to bet the over

The Over hitting in this game either needs Alvin Kamara taking one or two long runs to speed up the game or the quarterbacks to give away some free points, because these two offenses are not good.

Reasons to bet the under

The fact that this total is still at 40 is a great sign for under bettors. The offenses are just unreliable at the best of times, and if the Saints can get out to a bit of an early lead, they’ll be content to just run the ball down Pittsburgh’s throat, which will shorten the game, reduce the number of plays, and kill clock.

Dalton throwing more red zone interceptions would also help.

Saints vs. Steelers Props: Matchups To Watch For

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards: the Saints offense floundered on Monday night in large part because they couldn’t get Kamara going. There was no offensive rhythm without him, and falling behind meant they had to abandon the run, which killed them. If the Saints want to avoid a repeat, lots of Kamara is the answer.

Final Thoughts

Nothing about the Steelers suggests they should win this game except their rest advantage, but that is a tricky thing to dismiss. The Saints played on Monday night and have to fly up to Pittsburgh to play a rested Steelers team.

If the Steelers were smart, they would have seen what Chicago has done by retooling the offense in the bye and unleashed Justin Fields, and if they have, we might see a better Fields. The problem is, that’s hope, not known yet.

The problem is the Saints aren’t actually any better than the Steelers so far this year – the Saints are 23rd by DVOA, the Steelers are 25th – and they’re on a short week, with travel. The Saints subjectively seem better than the Steelers, but there’s no actual evidence for it, and when the offense is bad, it feels horrible.

Best of luck betting the Saints Steelers spread, as well as the rest of the NFL Week 10 odds.

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