Jacksonville Jaguars At Kansas City Chiefs Spread: NFL Week 10 Betting Preview

Written By Evan Scrimshaw on November 11, 2022
jaguars chiefs spread

The 3-6 Jacksonville Jaguars are headed to Kansas City to play the 6-2 Chiefs. The Jaguars Chiefs spread has Kansas City as favorites with Jacksonville underdogs to win the game. The total is set at .

The Chiefs, off an overtime win last week, are looking for a more convincing performance. Meanwhile, the Jaguars come into Arrowhead looking to build on their first win since Week 3.

Jaguars Chiefs Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

The Jaguars Chiefs spread table above effectively shows all the legal sportsbook Sunday Night Football odds for each of the three main markets – spreads, totals, and moneylines – so that bettors can know what they’re getting is the best price. Just use the dropdown menu to toggle between the type of bet you want, and then make sure you’re getting the best price when you bet.

If you’re looking at spreads, getting an extra half point on either side can make or break the difference, and getting the best side of a total points market can be crucial as well. When it comes to Moneyline betting, you always want to get the best number possible – all three things that the easy comparison points of the Odds Table allow.

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Jaguars vs. Chiefs Player Props

The props tool enables bettors to effectively track Jaguars Chiefs odds across sportsbooks for every player prop, to make sure that bettors aren’t missing out on a better total, or a better value, on a player prop.

Whether it’s getting a total you want to bet an Over on 5 yards lower, or a line where you have to pay less juice, the Props tool enables bettors to make sure they’re not missing out on the best available Sunday Night Football odds.

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Betting News & Angles

Chiefs Vs. Jaguars Injury Report

Kansas City Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
L’Jarius SneedCBKneeProbable69.1
Travis KelceTENeckProbable57.3
Jerick McKinnonRBKneeProbable39.5
Mecole HardmanWRAbdomenQuestionable39.1
Derrick NnadiDTAchillesProbable29.1
Jody Fortson Jr.TEQuadProbable29.1
Deon BushDBKneeProbable28.4

Jacksonville Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Evan EngramTEBackQuestionable51.3

Chiefs Offense Vs. Jaguars Defense

Chiefs OffenseStats (Rank)Jaguars Defense
30.4 (1)Points/Gm19.8 (10)
0.5 (1)Points/Play0.3 (2)
415.3 (2)Yards/Gm343.4 (16)
311.8 (1)Pass Yards/Gm238.3 (22)
103.5 (23)Rush Yards/Gm105.1 (7)
6.2 (3)Yards/Play5.4 (13)
7.5 (5)Yards/Pass6.7 (17)
4.5 (17)Yards/Rush4.0 (3)
50.0% (2)3rd Down %39.6% (15)
73.5% (2)Red Zone %55.6% (15)
9 (7)Turnovers11 (14)
16 (6)Sacks16 (22)

Jaguars Offense Vs. Chiefs Defense

Jaguars OffenseStats (Rank)Chiefs Defense
22.1 (18)Points/Gm23.6 (20)
0.3 (18)Points/Play0.4 (17)
367.4 (8)Yards/Gm351.5 (20)
220.7 (17)Pass Yards/Gm249.5 (24)
146.8 (7)Rush Yards/Gm102.0 (5)
5.7 (10)Yards/Play5.5 (15)
6.4 (14)Yards/Pass6.5 (13)
5.1 (4)Yards/Rush4.4 (13)
43.8% (9)3rd Down %37.6% (11)
52.9% (21)Red Zone %70.4% (30)
13 (24)Turnovers8 (24)
12 (2)Sacks22 (15)

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Betting Insights

Reasons The Jaguars Can Cover The Spread

If the Jags can avoid an early onslaught, they could keep this game close. The Jags rushing attack is 4th in Yards/rush against a defense that’s 25th in Rush Defense grades by PFF and 20th by DVOA. If the Jags can establish Etienne, then the game will grind down and will give the Jaguars the chance to control pace and tempo.

The other way they could cover is through a backdoor cover – the Chiefs have not put teams away this year, on the whole, and the Chargers and Raiders games do suggest that with a more than a touchdown spread, the Chiefs could end up in prevent with nothing on the line except stats and a cover.

Why The Chiefs can cover the spread

The Chiefs, even when they’re off, can put up an avalanche performance on any defense, and the Jaguars don’t have the defense to slow them down. The Jags are 27th against the pass by both DVOA and PFF, which should allow Mahomes to pick them apart.

The Chiefs getting up to an early lead and converting drives into touchdowns early will help, by taking away Etienne as a weapon on the ground and forcing Lawrence into more pass happy game scripts he’s yet to show he can excel in consistently.

Reasons to bet the over

A Patrick Mahomes-led offense, regardless of its struggles, is still always capable of putting up a lot of points and a lot of them early. The Jaguars Pass Defense is really bad, which should give Mahomes easy reads, especially early in the game.

If the Chiefs can get an early lead, Trevor Lawrence will have to chuck – which can either lead to offensive success, or turnovers, both of which push games over the total.

Reasons to bet the under

The Chiefs offense is still discombobulated at this point, and they’re not clicking. The fact that they only managed to score 17 in regulation last week is a sign that Mahomes isn’t on the same page with his receivers, and their run game is ineffectual.

If the Chiefs have drives stall out, then the Jags rushing game will chew up clock and help this go under.

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Props: Matchups To Watch For

Trevor Lawrence Interceptions: Lawrence looks like he’s been able to keep control of the ball, but the thing about his control is it is very situation dependent. In 2 of his last five games, he’s thrown 2 picks – both games where the Jaguars were behind and throwing. Given that the Chiefs project to jump up in this game, Lawrence to have to try and force something seems rather likely.

Final Thoughts

The Chiefs have not been good at covering these sorts of big spreads in recent years, and that’s a problem if you want to bet them. Obviously this could end up at 10, and that key number would change this.

The Jaguars are not a great team but they’ve ran cold to only have 3 wins, and the Chiefs are not looking like themselves right now.

It’s also hard to swallow the idea that the Jaguars should be getting a field goal less than the Titans, even after Sunday night. Yes, the Chiefs should be downgraded, but there probably isn’t much separating out those two opponents, but getting KC at a field goal less seems absurd.

At the end of the day, if you’re betting the Jaguars you need an amount of faith in Trevor Lawrence, who is 13th in EPA/play so far this season at QB. Trusting that, with how inconsistent he has been, however, is rough, especially if it doesn’t get to 10.

Best of luck betting the Jaguars Chiefs spread and other NFL odds this week.

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