NFL Week 10 Betting Preview: Indianapolis Colts at Las Vegas Raiders

Written By Justin Russo on November 11, 2022
colts raiders spread

The Indianapolis Colts (3-5-1) visit the Las Vegas Raiders (2-6) at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov. 13. The Colts Raiders spread for Week 10 currently sit at Las Vegas , with Indianapolis underdogs on the moneyline. The point total is set at .

The big storyline in this game is former Colts center and ESPN analyst Jeff Saturday taking over as interim head coach for Indianapolis with zero NFL coaching experience. This article breaks down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds.

Colts Raiders Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

Using the Colts Raiders spread table above, you can find several types of odds for this matchup. Use the dropdown menu to change the Colts-Raiders odds from the spread to another type of bet.

The table shows some different types of bets that you can make on the game. One is the point spread. This means you will bet on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign next to the number indicates that a team is an underdog, while a “minus” sign indicates that a team is the favorite. For example, the Raiders are -6 this weekend. If you bet on Las Vegas, they would need to win by seven points or more for you to win your bet. If you bet on Indianapolis, they would need to lose by five points or fewer, or win the game outright for you to win your bet. A push comes into play if Las Vegas wins by exactly six points.

Another type of bet is a moneyline bet. This is simply a bet on which team wins the game.

Then there’s the point total. Bettors can choose whether the total number of points scored in the game will be over or under the number listed.

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Colts vs Raiders Player Props

In addition to betting on traditional Colts Raiders odds, you can use the props tool on our site to search for proposition bets for any team or player. You’ll get results for which bets are available across multiple sportsbooks and at which price. This is a great tool for comparing different numbers and prices to ensure that you make the best bet when the time comes.

Colts vs Raiders Betting News and Angles

Below you’ll find additional updates for both teams leading up to Sunday’s game. Betting news, insights, and injury information will be updated throughout the week.

Colts vs Raiders Injury Report

Indianapolis Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Matt RyanQBRight ShoulderQuestionable71.6
Ryan KellyCKneeQuestionable63.1
Jonathan TaylorRBAnkleQuestionable49.0
Mo Alie-CoxTEAnkleQuestionable37.6
Deon JacksonRBKneeQuestionable24.7
Jelani WoodsTEShoulderQuestionable20.3
Grant StuardLBPectoralQuestionable18.0
Tony BrownDBHamstringQuestionable18.0

Las Vegas Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Darren WallerTEHamstringQuestionable49.3
Hunter RenfrowWRHamstring/RibsQuestionable41.8
Denzel PerrymanLBHip/RibsQuestionable36.5
Keelan Cole Sr.WRKneeQuestionable28.0
Darien ButlerLBHipQuestionable17.0

Colts Offense vs Raiders Defense

Colts OStats (Rank)Raiders D
14.7 (32nd)Points/Gm25.1 (27th)
0.222 (32nd)Points/Play0.393 (25th)
315.1 (27th)Yards/Gm371.3 (28th)
228.4 (12th)Pass Yards/Gm255.3 (26th)
86.7 (30th)Rush Yards/Gm116.0 (14th)
4.8 (30th)Yards/Play5.8 (25th)
6.6 (23rd)Yards/Pass7.3 (28th)
3.7 (30th)Yards/Rush4.2 (7th)
35.77% (24th)3rd Down %48.04% (30)
44.00% (31st)Red Zone TD %74.07% (31st)
17 (1st)Turnovers5 (32nd)
35 (32nd)Sacks9 (32nd)

Raiders Offense vs Colts Defense

Raiders OStats (Rank)Colts D
22.9 (14th)Points/Gm20.3 (13th)
0.381 (10th)Points/Play0.329 (13th)
338.4 (16th)Yards/Gm306.8 (5th)
228.1 (13th)Pass Yards/Gm192.3 (6th)
110.3 (19th)Rush Yards/Gm114.4 (12th)
5.6 (12th)Yards/Play5.0 (7th)
6.8 (17th)Yards/Pass6.5 (14th)
5.1 (6th)Yards/Rush3.8 (2nd)
37.89% (21st)3rd Down %33.05% (5th)
50.00% (23rd)Red Zone TD %58.33% (18th)
7 (30th)Turnovers9 (21st)
19 (19th)Sacks23 (12th)

Colts vs Raiders Betting Insights

Why The Colts Can Cover The Spread

The Colts are a bit of a wild card as we wait to see how they respond to new interim head coach Jeff Saturday. Indianapolis already has a solid defense that is 11th in overall defensive DVOA and top-five in rushing defense DVOA. If they can lean on the defense and stop Josh Jacobs on the ground, they can keep things close.

Offensively, it’s been a conservative gameplan since Sam Ehlinger took over and the unit just can’t get going. If they can get Jonathan Taylor back this week and open things up on offense, they may just be able to do enough to cover and potentially win outright. Las Vegas is reeling after a few blown leads and late losses, so if the Colts can start strong they can continue to wear down Las Vegas.

Why The Raiders Can Cover The Spread

Las Vegas is in a great spot to rebound after a rough month of games. The Colts present a tough defensive challenge, but we’ve seen Derek Carr able to air it out against tough units this year. It’ll also be much easier for the offense should Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow both play this week.

The Raiders can spoil Jonathan Taylor’s return thanks to a run defense that is ranked 13th by PFF and is seventh in yards per rush allowed. If they can force Sam Ehlinger to beat them, they can reap the rewards and potentially bring their dismal turnover numbers up this week. The Colts have gone through a lot of turmoil this week with Frank Reich getting fired, and Las Vegas can swoop in and take advantage of that situation with a big win on Sunday.

Reasons To Bet The Over

These offenses don’t catch your eye statistically, but they may be able to surpass a low total of 42.5 this week. The Raiders have shown flashes but haven’t been able to put together a complete game. This week offers a great chance for them to get going with a Colts team coming in during a tumultuous week. The talent is there for them, and it can explode at any time.

Indianapolis’ gameplan remains to be seen with Jeff Saturday taking over this week. The Raiders’ defense has been spotty this year, allowing teams back in games late and giving up over 25 points per game. If Indy goes aggressive, they can exploit that vulnerability in the Raiders and at least reach the red zone. With the total only at 42.5, if they convert on a couple of trips this game could certainly reach the over.

Reasons To Bet The Under

On the flip side, the under is low for a reason. Even though these teams may have offensive potential, we have yet to consistently see it from either side. Sam Ehlinger has struggled since taking over for Matt Ryan, who himself was disappointing for the Colts’ offense which ranks last in points per game.

Las Vegas has the tools to score points, but Derek Carr hasn’t done enough given the quality of weapons around him. The offense goes cold for long stretches, and if Davante Adams is taken away things start to collapse. With both offenses in turmoil, albeit for different reasons, points could be hard to come by Sunday.

Colts vs Raiders Props: Matchups To Watch For

Davante Adams vs the Colts’ pass defense

Indianapolis really hasn’t faced many elite receivers this season. They’ve played some pretty poor passing offenses in Tennessee (2x), Jacksonville, New England, and Houston. Their strongest test was perhaps against Washington’s Terry McLaurin, who had 113 yards against them. Even though the Colts statistically have been strong against the pass, I think their numbers reflect more on their opponents than themselves. Adams is a tough challenge, and I think he’s primed for a big day this week.

Sam Ehlinger vs the Raiders’ pass defense

It’s been a rough go so far for Ehlinger in just two starts. He’s been stuck to a conservative game plan and last week against the Patriots he was tormented, getting sacked nine times. Las Vegas is last in sacks and 27th in pressure rate, meaning Ehlinger should have more time to make things work through the air this week against the Raiders’ pass defense which is 32nd in DVOA. If Jeff Saturday opens up this offense even marginally and trusts Ehlinger, the recipe for success is there on Sunday. Ehlinger’s prop market has some low totals given the last two weeks, and even one or two big plays could shift things toward the over on some of those numbers.

Final Thoughts

Between the Colts’ head coaching turmoil and the Raiders’ extreme inconsistency this season, this game is a tough one to judge. I’ll leave you with some numbers, however. 81% of the handle is on Las Vegas in this one, likely given a lack of confidence in Jeff Saturday for Indianapolis. Expect a fast start for the Raiders given that Indianapolis is 0-9 against the spread in the first half this season, it’s just up to Las Vegas to maintain a lead if they get one. As for the total, Indianapolis games have gone under in eight of nine games this season, and 73% of the handle is on the under this weekend with the public likely not trusting either offense, though especially not Indy’s.

It should be quite an interesting game Sunday with a lot of fun storylines, best of luck betting on the Colts Raiders spread and props this weekend.

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