NFL Week 10 Betting Preview: Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

Written By Eli Hershkovich on November 10, 2022 - Last Updated on November 11, 2022
Falcons Panthers Odds

The Atlanta Falcons face off against the Carolina Panthers on Thursday, Nov. 10 at 8:20 p.m. ET. This primetime affair, the first on NFL Week 10 odds boards, showcases a Falcons Panthers spread of Atlanta favorites and on the moneyline. The total is set at .

In this post, we’ll dive into everything you need to know before placing a bet on Thursday Night Football odds, including matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds.

Falcons Panthers Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

When using the Falcons Panthers spread table above, click the dropdown menu to switch to moneylines or over/unders. 

Betting on the point spread is when you wager on how many points a team will win or lose by. A “plus” sign in front of the spread is the underdog, and a “minus” sign is the favorite. The Falcons need to win by three points or more if you bet on them against the spread, as they’re priced as a 2.5-point road favorite at most shops. Conversely, a spread bet on the Panthers would need Carolina to lose by at most two points or win outright.

The total is the number of combined points that the two teams will score. Bettors can bet “over” or “under” on how many total points will be scored in the game.

Falcons at Panthers: Player Props

In the props tool search bar, type in a team or player and hit enter. You’ll see the various proposition bets offered by leading online sportsbooks. 

This is a valuable tool that allows bettors to compare odds and stats when considering a prop bet. 

Falcons at Panthers: Betting News

As of Thursday, the Falcons have accrued 62% of the spread handle and 52% of the tickets. This data comes from BetMGM Sportsbook, which is trading Atlanta at . Additional updates on the Falcons Panthers spread can be found below.

Falcons at Panthers: Weather Report

A high temperature of 65 degrees, with overcast clouds and 12 mph winds, are the expected conditions at Bank of America Stadium on Thursday.

Falcons at Panthers: Injury News

Atlanta Injuries

A.J. TerrellCBHamstringOut
Feleipe FranksTECalfOut

Carolina Injuries

Taylor MotonOTElbowQuestionable
Matt IoannidisDTBackQuestionable
Donte JacksonCBAnkleQuestionable
Chuba HubbardRBAnkleQuestionable
Rashard HigginsWRIllnessOut

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TheLines Podcast: NFL Week 10 Betting Breakdown

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Falcons Offense Vs. Panthers Defense

Falcons OffenseStats (Rank)Panthers Defense
24.1 (8)Points/Gm25.3 (29)
0.4 (2)Points/Play0.4 (17)
320.1 (25)Yards/Gm370.3 (27)
157.2 (30)Pass Yards/Gm231.0 (21)
162.9 (4)Rush Yards/Gm139.3 (28)
5.5 (13)Yards/Play5.5 (15)
7.0 (8)Yards/Pass6.7 (17)
4.8 (11)Yards/Rush4.5 (16)
45.0% (6)3rd Down %42.6% (25)
62.1% (9)Red Zone %58.8% (22)
12 (17)Turnovers8 (24)
21 (18)Sacks14 (27)

Panthers Offense Vs. Falcons Defense

Panthers OffenseStats (Rank)Falcons Defense
19.9 (23)Points/Gm25.0 (26)
0.4 (2)Points/Play0.4 (17)
289.9 (30)Yards/Gm406.9 (31)
184.6 (28)Pass Yards/Gm300.0 (32)
105.3 (22)Rush Yards/Gm106.9 (8)
5.3 (17)Yards/Play6.1 (31)
6.2 (19)Yards/Pass7.4 (29)
4.6 (14)Yards/Rush4.3 (10)
26.7% (32)3rd Down %47.5% (29)
54.5% (17)Red Zone %58.3% (18)
12 (17)Turnovers13 (8)
21 (18)Sacks12 (30)

Falcons at Panthers: Betting Insights

Why Falcons Can Cover The Spread

When these two teams faced one another in Week 8, Atlanta tallied a 37-34 overtime win. Although Carolina’s passing attack while slightly more explosive, Marcus Mariota’s overall EPA ranked in the 70th percentile. The eighth-year quarterback showcased his duel-threat presence throughout, and there’s nothing on paper that lends one to believe that he can’t replicate that performance.

However, the wrinkle in that notion is that both teams have had an opportunity to make adjustments — especially with their previous matchup coming so recently.

The Panthers should have an opportunity to dictate the line of scrimmage on the other side of the ball, too.

Why Panthers Can Cover The Spread

Although Carolina’s offense owns the third-lowest EPA per play, its rushing attack owns a top-10 standing in that department. It showed its efficiency in the first meeting against Atlanta, and the Falcons are surrendering the third-highest Rushing Success Rate (SR) overall.

For context, a play is deemed successful if it produces:

  • 50 percent of the yards needed to move the chains on first down
  • 70 percent of yards to gain on second down
  • 100 percent of yards to gain on third or fourth down

D’Onta Foreman & Co. should continue to deliver on the ground, as the run game hasn’t lost a beat after trading away Christian McCaffrey. They’ll be in position to dictate a more methodical tempo and possibly pull off the outright upset.

The absence of Falcons cornerback A.J. Terrell, who was also out the first time around, could potentially lead to another big outing for Panthers wideout D.J. Moore as well.

Related: Super Bowl 57 Odds

Reasons To Bet The Over

As I previously mentioned, these teams combined for 71 points in Mercedes-Benz Stadium, so the expectation is that a similar game script could play out once again. For what it’s worth, 69% of the total handle is on the over at BetMGM. It’s been bet up from 40.5 to 42.5 as a result.

Reasons To Bet The Under

When either of these teams grab grab a lead of a touchdown or greater, they’ve generated a bottom-seven pace (via Football Outsiders). Hence, a positive game script throughout could very well lead to the under cashing. That’s even more so the case if things go Atlanta’s way, as it’s tallied the second-highest rushing rate (57.7%) across the NFL.

Final Thoughts

From my perspective, the markets for this game are appropriately set, which means I won’t have any action on this game. Good luck if you choose to bet the Falcons Panthers spread or other odds this week.

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