NFL Week 10 Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers Spread

Written By Brett Gibbons on November 13, 2022
Packers at Cowboys odds

The Green Bay Packers (3-6) visit the Dallas Cowboys (6-2) in NFL Week 10 action on Sunday, Nov. 13 at 4:25 p.m. ET. Kickoff comes from famous Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis., and will be broadcast on FOX. The Cowboys Packers spread has Dallas as road favorites and Green Bay is on the moneyline. The over/under currently sits at points.

In this article we break down everything you need to know before betting the Cowboys Packers spread, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds.

Cowboys Packers Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under

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Cowboys at Packers Player Props

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Cowboys at Packers Betting News & Angles

Cowboys at Packers Weather

As of Nov. 8, weather in Green Bay looks clear but cold for Sunday, with highs in the upper 30s. A breeze is forecast, with winds between 5-10 mph. As with all November games in Green Bay, that can change quickly, so be sure to check the forecast as kickoff nears.

Cowboys Vs. Packers Injury Report

Dallas Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Anthony BarrLBHamstringOut42.3

Green Bay Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Eric StokesCBAnkleOut61.2
De’Vondre CampbellLBKneeOut59.6
David BakhtiariOTKneeQuestionable51.2
Rashan GaryLBAclOut46.1
Romeo DoubsWRAnkleOut45.9
Krys BarnesLBConcussionDoubtful25.5
Amari RodgersWRHamstringQuestionable18.9
Tipa GaleaiLBHamstringQuestionable17.0
Shemar Jean-CharlesCBAnkleOut12.5

Cowboys Offense Vs. Packers Defense

Cowboys OffenseStats (Rank)Packers Defense
22.9 (14)Points/Gm20.9 (15)
0.4 (2)Points/Play0.4 (17)
322.1 (22)Yards/Gm309.1 (6)
190.6 (25)Pass Yards/Gm170.6 (2)
131.5 (11)Rush Yards/Gm138.6 (26)
5.4 (15)Yards/Play5.4 (13)
6.4 (14)Yards/Pass6.5 (13)
4.7 (13)Yards/Rush4.8 (24)
37.8% (22)3rd Down %32.7% (2)
63.6% (8)Red Zone %48.0% (5)
7 (2)Turnovers8 (25)
12 (2)Sacks17 (21)

Packers Offense Vs. Cowboys Defense

Packers OffenseStats (Rank)Cowboys Defense
17.1 (27)Points/Gm16.6 (3)
0.3 (18)Points/Play0.3 (2)
345.3 (14)Yards/Gm313.5 (10)
224.7 (15)Pass Yards/Gm178.4 (4)
120.7 (14)Rush Yards/Gm135.1 (24)
5.5 (13)Yards/Play4.8 (3)
6.2 (19)Yards/Pass5.5 (3)
4.8 (12)Yards/Rush4.7 (22)
39.6% (17)3rd Down %35.7% (9)
50.0% (23)Red Zone %50.0% (7)
13 (23)Turnovers13 (8)
18 (12)Sacks33 (1)

Cowboys at Packers Betting Insights

Why The Packers Can Cover The Spread

Home dogs are always fun to bet, especially in a home environment like Lambeau Field. In his career, Aaron Rodgers is 88-21-1 at home and 2-1 this year with their sole loss being to the Jets. The Cowboys are an indoor team from a warm-weather state venturing into a cold Green Bay and there’s no doubt location gives the Packers a big boost here.

That said, I won’t be betting the Packers under a touchdown in this one.

Why The Cowboys Can Cover The Spread

Dallas’ defense is beyond disruptive, led by superstar Micah Parsons. They lead the league in pressure rate (30.5%) despite a middle-of-the-road blitz rate (28%) and much of that pressure is generated by Parsons.

Teams know better than to over-blitz Rodgers, but despite an average blitz rate faced, he’s also faced the seventh-most pressures. Much of that can be attributed to no longer having a Davante Adams to get the ball out to immediately and an overall distrust for his receivers. Against a front like Dallas’, Rodgers just won’t have time to second-guess his throws.

We saw what the Packers offense can devolve into– Rodgers threw three red zone interceptions last week and the Packers were nearly shutout by the Lions. While the interceptions came at an unsustainable rate, the Lions defense plays a different sport than the Cowboys. They’ll force turnovers in their own right.

Reasons To Bet The Over

There’s not a lot of confidence in the point total, which sits at just . It’s not an impossible number to cross, but in a game involving a great defense and an average defense, it’s not an exciting over bet to make.

That said, an over/under this low may be a slight overreaction to what unfolded last week. Three red zone interceptions is nearly unrepeatable and with a QB like Rodgers, I’m not betting on it. Chances are, the offense will find its footing a bit more this week.

Reasons To Bet The Under

Ezekiel Elliott is dealing with injury and Tony Pollard likely isn’t propelling the Cowboys to another 49-point outing in this one. Realistically, these are two inefficient teams that find more success on the ground than through the air this season and that leads to low scoring.

The Cowboys’ ability to force turnovers (seventh-most in the NFL) will put early ends to Packers drives. They’re also proficient at making teams go backwards and forcing offenses off the field on third down (ninth-lowest third down conversion rate). Even if Dallas delivers their season-average 23 points per game, I doubt the ability of the Packers to score 21; it’s a mark they’ve hit just once in the last four games and never exceeded.

Packers at Cowboys Props: Matchups To Watch For

Micah Parsons Vs. David Bakhtiari: Bakhtiari is Bak-in-action after missing all of last season and PFF grades him as a top-10 offensive tackle this season. However, even the best tackles in the NFL have their hands full against the freakishly-athletic Parsons. He’s recorded the fifth-most sacks this year (eight) and forced a pair of fumbles.

Even if Bakhtiari is able to slow him down, Parsons can line up as a box linebacker, something he does on roughly one-third of his snaps, and blitz up the middle. Guard Jon Runyan (20th) left last week injured, but the Packers are sound with Zach Tom filling in (17th-graded guard, per PFF) and even at the other tackle with Yosh Nijman (28th-graded tackle).

Parsons is a disruptive force in the league, but the Packers’ offensive line may be equipped to handle him.

CeeDee Lamb Vs. Packers Corners: No matter where Lamb lines up, he’s going to be faced with a terrific cornerback. Lamb’s aligned in the slot on over 50% of snaps in all but one game this year, meaning he’ll likely draw the attention of slot corner Rasul Douglas. Douglas has played terrific football with the Packers for the past few years, allowing 23 receptions on 34 targets and just one touchdown so far this season.

At 6′ 2″, he matches Lamb’s height exactly, as well as his technique. If the Packers need to match Lamb’s speed outside, Eric Stokes is the man for that job. Given the positional matchup this week, I’ll be looking to bet under Lamb’s receiving totals.

Final Thoughts

While the Packers are a walking dumpster fire at the moment, their personnel matches up well with the Cowboys. Because of that, I’m likely not betting sides in this game.

Rather, I’m looking at under the point total. Assuming an average outing for the Cowboys offense, the Packers offense would need to greatly exceed their recent offensive outputs against one of the NFL’s most disruptive defenses. I don’t buy the probability of that being high, so I’m betting Cowboys at Packers under 43 points (-110) at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best of luck betting the Cowboys Packers spread and other odds.

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Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons