Jets vs. Bills Preview: Best NFL Week 1 Betting Site Odds, Promos For Monday Night Football
The Buffalo Bills (0-0) visit the New York Jets (0-0) at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday, Sept. 11. Bills odds show Buffalo is a spread favorite and on the moneyline, with Jets odds at as the best price for New York to win across sports betting sites. The point total is set at . In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on Jets vs. Bills odds.
Jets vs. Bills Betting Odds
NFL Week 1 odds for Monday Night Football betting are explained below. Know what you’re betting before you bet it. You may click any of the odds in this post to navigate to the sportsbook to place a bet.
Jets vs. Bills Props
Aaron Rodgers in a new environment is probably the situation that will generate the most excitement and intrigue in the prop betting market here. In fact, that may be one of the most intriguing in the entire NFL. His number sits at a pretty paltry , but keep in mind he dragged the pace down more than perhaps any other QB in the NFL last year. Plus, Buffalo could sport a solid defense, although questions exist about the secondary.
One prop I’m interested in betting revolves around the less-discussed Bills RB situation.
James Cook O/U 43.5 Rushing Yards
The Bills appear set to turn their backfield over to James Cook. Dalvin’s younger brother takes over after holding a complementary role last year behind Devin Singletary, although it seemed more of an even split down the stretch.
While the market has tabbed Cook for a low number, I wonder if it should perhaps be even lower. Facing the Jets last season, Cook tallied just 21 yards on eight carries. The Jets boast one of the finest defenses in the NFL, and the Bills do not have a strong run blocking group. In fact, PFF rated them 28th last year and they didn’t make any meaningful improvements.
And while the reports out of camp painted Cook as the clear lead back, I expect Damien Harris to eat into Cook’s workload at least somewhat. Harris did solid work for the Patriots and averaged 4.7 YPC there.
I like Under 43.5 here.
Jets vs. Bills Player Props
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Jets vs. Bills weather
MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J., is forecast to see 63-degree weather on Monday night. Winds should be fairly calm at 5 to 10 mph, but a 30% chance of rain exists.
Keep an eye on the forecast in case things worsen, as offenses could have a tough time if so.
Jets vs. Bills Injury Report
NFL teams finalize their injury reports two days before a game and denote whether a player is questionable, doubtful or out. Practice participation is also logged throughout the week. Here is the Bills injury report and Jets injury report for this week.
Starters On The Injury Report
Bills S Micah Hyde logged a limited practice on Thursday and has a questionable tag. Keep an eye on him but expect him to play.
Bills Offense vs. Jets Defense
Last season, the Jets did a tremendous job slowing Josh Allen down. The Bills won one and lost one, but they scored 20 points in both games, so neither represented a strong offensive output.
Perhaps the biggest question surrounding Allen heading into 2023 surrounds his bizarre rash of turnovers down the stretch. Did they stem from discomfort due to his elbow injury, some new difficulty handling pressure, or a mere bad stretch of play that has no bearing going forward? The Bills’ status as favorites in Super Bowl odds hope it’s the latter.
The Jets certainly figure to test the pressure theory. If a weak link exists with this Bills offense, it’s probably the blocking, with the pass protection garnering PFF’s 22nd-ranked grade. The Jets have a potentially elite pass rush anchored in the middle with Quinnen Williams.
Of course, the marquee matchup on the outside will center around Stefon Diggs and Sauce Gardner. While Gardner enjoyed an incredible rookie season, Diggs did torch him for a long TD in their first go. Note that the Jets did not typically have Gardner shadow opposing WRs, so it’s anyone’s guess how often these two will butt heads.
Jets Offense vs. Bills Defense
Obviously, we can throw out these units’ matchups last year, given how different the Jets should look with Aaron Rodgers at the helm.
On paper, the Jets have a very top-heavy group of pass catchers, with only Garrett Wilson looking like an above-par option. Old Rodgers favorites like Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb populate the depth chart but figure to have minimal impact. Will Wilson take over in spirit from Davante Adams as an ultra-high volume target?
Like the Bills, the Jets carry some question marks in along the offensive line. Buffalo’s pressure unit made big waves at times but also completely disappeared in some big spots down the stretch. Operating without Von Miller for the time being, they should have a good opportunity here attacking a questionable unit and a QB who has been a bit sack-prone at times.
Reasons To Bet The OVer/Under
The total has been on the move downward from the opener of 48 on DraftKings Sportsbook, and it’s not too hard to see why.
Both of these teams bring potentially strong defenses to the table, particularly that of the Jets. Furthermore and perhaps even more importantly, neither was known to push the pace last season. In fact, the arrival of Rodgers could be a major factor here.
On the surface, one might expect Rodgers to boost the scoring. And in the aggregate, he probably will. However, Rodgers was a major drag on pace last year, operating as the slowest QB in the NFL, with the Packers averaging the most seconds per play for much of the season.
Still, with two standout signal-callers here, if the number keeps dipping, bettors may find a nice buy-low point below 46. At the same time, keep an eye on the weather as wet conditions could slow down these passing games.
Final Thoughts
I am a bit cool relative to the market on the Jets and I like the Bills’ chances of taking the AFC East. At the same time, I’d like to see Josh Allen return to his previous form before I start buying in week to week. Hopefully, his concerning turnovers down the stretch stemmed from not being 100% healthy following his elbow injury.
I’m taking a “wait and see” approach with both of these teams in Week 1 and likely won’t have a wager on a side or total in this one.
However, the James Cook rushing under does look enticing, and as more prop markets become available I may dive deeper and see if I can find any further value. Certainly, if Garrett Wilson becomes the target monster that Davante Adams once was for Aaron Rodgers, then Over 5.5 receptions will look far too low.
Best of luck betting Jets vs. Bills odds on Monday Night Football.
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