A Look Ahead At Week 1 NFL Lines In Pennsylvania As Sportsbooks Ready For First Season

Posted By Juan Carlos Blanco on July 12, 2019
nfl lines week 1 pa

By this part of summer, sports fans’ palates are already typically salivating in anticipation of the start of NFL training camps.

The NBA and its star-studded free-agent class admittedly stole a bit of that thunder this year. But football is increasingly coming into focus.

It shapes up as a particularly momentous upcoming pigskin season in Pennsylvania. The state will be commemorating its first full NFL campaign with legalized sports betting. And, that will include a solid menu of online options.

SugarHouse Casino, Parx Casino and Rivers Casino already have their mobile offerings up and running in the state. FanDuel Sportsbook, in partnership with Valley Forge Casino, is expected to join them sometime this month.

Prior to the first snap of the regular season, it’s likely the foursome will be joined by several other operators in the online space as well. With that in mind — and the first meaningful kickoff of the 2019 season a mere 57 days away (!) – it’s never too early for a glance at how Week 1 lines are shaping up at Pennsylvania’s three operating online sportsbooks.

Below you’ll find the total and point spread for each Week 1 matchup. Naturally, keep in mind all of these are subject to change as the rest of the summer unfolds.

NFL Week 1 lines in PA

 SugarHouseParxBetRivers
Green Bay
Chicago
46
-3.5
46
-3.5
46
-3.5
Atlanta
Minnesota
47.5
-3.5
47.5
-3.5
47.5
-3.5
Baltimore
Miami
-4
37
-4
37
-4
37
Buffalo
NY Jets
38.5
-3.5
38.5
-3.5
38.5
-3.5
Cincinnati
Seattle
43.5
-8.5
43.5
-8.5
43.5
-8.5
Kansas City
Jacksonville
-3.5
51.5
-3.5
51.5
-3.5
51.5
LA Rams
Carolina
-3
51
-3
51
-3
51
SF 49ers
Tampa Bay
48.5
-1
48.5
-1
48.5
-1
Tennessee
Cleveland
45.5
-5.5
45.5
-5.5
45.5
-5.5
Washington
Philadelphia
46.5
-9
46.5
-9
46.5
-9
Indianapolis
LA Chargers
47.5
-3
47.5
-3
47.5
-3
Detroit
Arizona
-2.5
48.5
-2.5
48.5
-2.5
48.5
NY Giants
Dallas
46.5
-7
46.5
-7
46.5
-7
Pittsburgh
New England
52
-6
52
-6
52
-6
Houston
New Orleans
54
-7.5
54
-7.5
54
-7.5
Denver
Oakland
43
-2.5
43
-2.5
43
-2.5

Week 1 betting analysis

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles – Sunday, Sept. 8, 1 p.m. EDT

SugarHouse Casino Odds

Parx Casino Odds:

  • Moneyline: Eagles -375/ Redskins +285
  • Point spread: Eagles -9
  • Total Points: 46.5

Rivers Casino Odds:

  • Moneyline: Eagles -375/ Redskins +285
  • Point spread: Eagles -9
  • Total Points: 46.5 

The Eagles are what have to be considered monumental favorites in today’s NFL. Training camp and preseason will naturally help determine whether the current numbers hold. However, on paper as we sit here in July, the talent gap between the two teams is probably about nine points’ worth.

The Redskins look set to inexplicably enter the regular season with what appears to be a borderline NFL receiving corps. The throws that dubious group of pass catchers will see will come off the arm of journeyman Case Keenum, who came back down to earth a bit in his one year in Denver last season. And at running back, Washington is banking on a 34-year-old coming off a 251-carry season (Adrian Peterson) and a “redshirt rookie” who lost his first pro season to a torn ACL (Derrius Guice).

Meanwhile, the Eagles reloaded through the trades and the draft. They also have their franchise quarterback in Carson Wentz at full health after last season’s back fractures. His new toys include Jordan Howard and second-round pick Miles Sanders in the backfield, along with returning “prodigal son” DeSean Jackson and promising J.J. Arceaga-Whiteside at receiver. That’s in addition to holdovers like Alshon Jeffery, Nelson Agholor, Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert.

Philly comfortably prevailed in both meetings between the teams last season and has won four straight against Washington overall. The Eagles were also 5-3 (62.5 percent) as home favorites last season, while the Redskins were 3-4 (42.9 percent) as road underdogs. Philadelphia was just 3-5 (37.5 percent) versus the spread when favored at the Linc and the Over was 2-6 (25.0 percent) under those conditions as well.

The early feel is the Eagles very likely coming through as heavy moneyline favorites, with a better-than-average shot at a cover despite the expansive spread. However, the under on 46.5 at the standard -110 looks like a fairly strong wager at first glance. Both teams should have above-average defenses, and Philadelphia’s could well hold Washington to a single-digit point total. 

Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots — Sunday, Sept. 8, 8:20 p.m. EDT

SugarHouse Casino Odds

  • Moneyline: Patriots -250/ Steelers +200
  • Point spread: Patriots -6
  • Total Points: 52.0 

Parx Casino Odds:

  • Moneyline: Patriots -250/ Steelers +200
  • Point spread: Patriots -6
  • Total Points: 52.0 

Rivers Casino Odds:

  • Moneyline: Patriots -250/ Steelers +200
  • Point spread: Patriots -6
  • Total Points: 52.0 

The chip on the Steelers’ shoulder following a highly disappointing finish to 2018 and the acrimonious offseason departures of Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell may be at an all-time high by the time the prime-time regular-season opener rolls around. After all, by that point, Brown will likely have utilized his summer Hard Knocks platform to lobby some more invectives Pittsburgh’s way. Then, it wouldn’t be surprising if the New York media extracts some doozies from Bell as well during training camp/preseason.

And just as important, Pittsburgh opens the season against a team that’s consistently frustrated them over the last several seasons. The Patriots are the proverbial thorn in Mike Tomlin and company’s side. The Steelers did prevail in last year’s December meeting by a 17-10 score. However, they’d lost five of the prior six meetings with New England dating back to 2010.

The defending champion Patriots no longer have the oft-injured Rob Gronkowski on the payroll. But keen NFL observes long ago learned to stop putting much stock into what a New England roster looks like on paper as long as Tom Brady is under center.

For their part, the Steelers adjusted in surprisingly fine fashion to Bell’s season-long holdout last season. James Conner should be even better in his second year as a full-time starter, and reports are that both Jaylen Samuels (who ripped through the Pats for 142 rushing yards last season) and fourth-round pick Benny Snell will have consistent complementary roles.

The receiver cupboard is naturally somewhat depleted following Brown’s departure. However, JuJu Smith-Schuster’s 111-1,426-7 line from last season serves as pretty convincing evidence of his readiness to assume the top wideout role. There are fairly serious questions about the rest of the receiving corps. But a healthy Vance McDonald (50-610-4 over 15 games in ’18) at tight end could certainly help out Ben Roethlisberger.

The last two regular-season encounters between the teams have been decided by three and seven points, respectively. However, the last three games at Gillette Stadium specifically – all New England victories – have been by margins of 19, seven and 24 points.

Therefore, the six-point spread looks coverable by New England upon first glance. The Over on the 52.0 points is also conceivable where we stand at present. Both teams will bring plenty of firepower if healthy in Week 1. Notably, two of the last three games between the two finished with totals of 53 and 51 points.

Looking at another pair of potentially exploitable Week 1 lines

In addition to the two games involving Keystone State teams, there are a couple of other Week 1 lines that appear interesting as training camps approach:

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears — Thursday, Sept. 5, 8:20 p.m. EDT

  • Point spread: Bears -3.5 (all three sportsbooks)

Quick take: Packers played all of last season with a gimpy Aaron Rodgers, who should be back at full health. The rest of the offense returns in force, while the defense, middle of the pack last season, should at least be league average again. GB had prevailed over the Bears in five straight and nine of 10 prior to a late-season loss last December. This spread may be one to jump on before it likely shrinks.

Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars — Sunday, Sept. 8, 1 p.m. EDT

  • Total points: 51.5 (all three sportsbooks)

Quick take: It remains to be seen if the non-Eagles Nick Foles 2.0 is any better than the original version we saw in a Rams uniform a few years ago. Training camp and preseason may shed some light on the matter. But until the games start to count, color me a bit skeptical. The Jags also have some questions in the receiving corps and what seems to be a major talent gap at tight end. And, where will Leonard Fournette’s mercurial head be at by Week 1?

On the other side, a league suspension stemming from offseason legal issues will likely derail the start of Tyreek Hill’s season, at minimum. Damien Williams will also be taking on a primary back role to open a season for the first time in his career. Patrick Mahomes’ talent is undeniable, but how sharp is he right of the box without the services of his most explosive weapon? Oh, and lest we forget the Jags defense isn’t exactly a pushover (league-low 13.9 points per game allowed at home last season).

This total seems inflated at the moment. It’s one ripe for jumping on now, before an announcement of a Hill suspension probably sends it tumbling.

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Juan Carlos Blanco

Juan Carlos Blanco has served as a freelance writer for a wide variety of online publications and websites, with an intensive focus on fantasy sports. Juan has provided analysis and comprehensive coverage of the MLB, NBA, NFL, CFL, AAF and AFL while also reporting on news and developments in the daily fantasy sports and online gaming industries.

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