NFL Weather Report For Week 11: Rain In KC, Denver

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Written By Mo Nuwwarah on November 14, 2023
NFL Weather Week 11

Each week, the NFL weather reports loom as potential game-changers. Ignore them at your detriment, as they can help you find a winning bet or avoid a losing one. Particularly with the calendar now hitting November, cold, wind, and snow could affect outdoor games in most parts of the country. NFL Week 11 odds feature some rainy, cold games, including Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football.

Week 10 had mostly clear forecasts, and sure enough, a majority of NFL games went over. That’s been a rarity this year but demonstrates how important it is to keep tabs on weather situations and/or factor in the effect of playing indoors.

Keep in mind these forecasts are always subject to change. Monitor potentially impactful situations as the week progresses to see how forecasts evolve.

Pittsburgh Steelers At Cleveland Browns

Obviously, these two teams are used to playing in suboptimal conditions, each having home stadiums in the Midwest that are known to see bad weather at times. And the conditions for NFL Week 11 weather here aren’t exactly prohibitive. But, it’s still notable that 13 mph winds could be kicking up, especially considering the low quality of these teams’ passing offenses at times. Both got it done on the ground this past Sunday, and they’ll likely need to do the same this week.

Despite the low over/under, note that this number already received a flood of under action at DraftKings Sportsbook after opening at 38.5. Most likely, that’s more a reflection of the quality of these offenses than the weather, but it’s something to keep in mind.

NFL Weather: 47 F, 23% chance of precipitation, winds 10 to 15 mph

Tampa Bay Buccaneers At San Francisco 49ers

More of a game to monitor than one that deserves immediate reaction. Santa Clara does have some medium-strength winds in the forecast, but they’re on the low end of the range that generally has a potential effect at 11 mph. Baker Mayfield generally likes to work deep more often than Brock Purdy (8.6 aDOT to 8.1), but both QBs take more than their fair shares of shots downfield.

NFL Weather: 71 F, 13% chance of precipitation, winds 10 to 15 mph

New York Jets At Buffalo Bills

It looks like there will be rain or snow at some point in Buffalo, but the precipitation looks like it should hit a bit earlier. Since this game is oddly scheduled into the afternoon slate despite featuring two East Coast teams, they’ll probably miss the worst of it. Still, with possible snow and medium-strength winds (12 mph), bettors should monitor in case the forecast worsens. One of these offenses can’t move the ball in the best of cases, and the other has struggled mightily in this matchup.

NFL Weather: 39 F, 34% chance of precipitation, 10 to 15 mph winds

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Minnesota Vikings At Denver Broncos

Denver looks basically certain to see some rain, although if the temps get cold enough, it could snow. The precipitation is forecast to be more “occasional” than a constant concern, so perhaps the majority of it misses this window. Note also, though, that the winds should be around 10 mph, right on the border with where we need to start taking note.

If the Broncos perform well against the Bills on Monday Night Football, this could represent a nice sell spot on two offenses that should be suspect in general.

NFL Weather: 34 F, 55% chance of precipitation, winds 5 to 10 mph

Philadelphia Eagles At Kansas City Chiefs

It’s another game that seems more likely than not to see rain. Interestingly, the rain is forecast to hit early in the evening and clear up later. Perhaps that will open up a live opportunity, with depressed scoring early before offenses open up in better conditions.

Heavy under action has hit odds boards, perhaps in anticipation of a slow start. The number has moved from a 48 opener at DK Sportsbook all the way to 45.5. The Eagles’ love of deep shots combined with the Chiefs receivers’ difficulties catching the ball may mean both teams feel the effects.

NFL Weather: 39 F, 55% chance of precipitation, winds 5 to 10 mph

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